Pacers vs Thunder Picks, Player Props & Odds for Game 7

• The Indiana Pacers and OKC Thunder meet in a winner-take-all Game 7 on Sunday night
• The Thunder are heavy Game 7 favorites but the spread has moved towards the Pacers
• See the Pacers vs Thunder picks, player props, and best available odds for Game 7

The Indiana Pacers (65-39, 50-52-2 ATS) and OKC Thunder (83-21, 62-38-4 ATS) meet in the final game of the NBA season on Sunday night at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals is scheduled to tip-off at 8:05 pm ET and the Pacers/Thunder odds still heavily favor OKC.

That said, the line has been steadily moving in Indiana’s direction over the last 48 hours.

Indiana Pacers vs OKC Thunder Odds

The spread, which opened at OKC -9.0, has come down as far as OKC -6.5 at BetMGM, where Thunder bettors can get OKC to cover at -118. The best option for Indiana ATS bettors at the moment is +7.0 (-108) at FanDuel.

Counterintuitively, BetMGM has the longest moneyline odds on the Pacers at +240, while ESPN Bet has the best price on OKC to win straight-up (-245).

The game total is still sitting at 214.5 at most books, the same number it opened at, but it’s moved half a point higher at Caesars and bet365, with -110 odds each way at both sites. Over bettors can still find 214.5 (-110) at DraftKings.

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Oklahoma City was a massive -1638 favorite (on average) in the NBA Championship odds ahead of Game 6. After Indiana’s 108-91 rout on Thursday, OKC is now just -259 on average. Indiana has improved from +913 to +208 to win the title.

Pacers vs Thunder Player Props for Game 7

NBA player props from bet365 on June 22nd.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (30.0 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 6.3 APG postseason), who’s stayed under in back-to-back games, still has a game-high point total of 33.5 O/U, same as Game 6. Teammate Jalen Williams (21.5 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 4.9 APG postseason), who had a run of three straight overs come to an end last time out, has the second-highest point total of the night at 22.5 O/U.

On the Indiana side, Pascal Siakam (20.7 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 3.5 APG postseason) has the highest point total for the seventh straight game at 20.5 O/U. The 2019 NBA champion with Toronto, Siakam had 20 or more from Games 3 to 5, but was held to just 16 in Indiana’s lopsided Game 6 victory.

Battling through a calf strain, Tyrese Haliburton (17.7 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 9.0 APG postseason) has seen his point total increase from just 13.5 in Game 6 to 15.5 O/U in Game 7. Haliburton scored only 14 points on Thursday, but did so in just 23 minutes. Expectations are that he’ll be more mobile on Sunday.

Pacers vs Thunder Picks & Predictions

• Pacers +7.0 (-108) at FanDuel
• First quarter under 52.5 (-110) at BetMGM
• TJ McConnell over 10.5 points (+116) at FanDuel

I’m expecting a cagey, defensive battle from the outset, which will mean a few things: a low-scoring first quarter, hard minutes on D, and more playing time for TJ McConnell, who’s gone over 10.5 in each of the last two games while Haliburton has labored under his ankle injury.

The under has hit in the last four Game 7s in NBA Finals history (every Game 7 since the turn of the century), and no team has hit 100 points in any of those four games. There hasn’t been a Game 7 since 2016 and, of course, basketball has continued to evolve into the three-happy game it is today. But the fact remains that oddsmakers don’t set the line low enough when Game 7s roll around.

SBD’s score predictor has been high on the Pacers all series, and I expect their success to continue on Sunday night.