NBA Draft Odds for Each of the Top-10 Picks
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The 2025 NBA Draft is scheduled for Wednesday, June 25, in Brooklyn, NY
- Sportsbooks have posted odds on who will be drafted with each of the first ten picks
- See the latest NBA Draft odds for each of the top-ten picks
There isn’t a ton of drama around who the Dallas Mavericks will take with the first-overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft. But there is plenty of intrigue further down the board and, with the start of the draft less than 24 hours away, it’s time to take one final look at the NBA Draft odds for each of the top-ten picks.
The table below lists every player on the board alongside their odds to go first through tenth.
NBA Draft Top-Ten Pick Odds
The biggest favorite on the board in any market is Duke’s Cooper Flagg to go first overall at -20000, which is a 99.5% implied probability. Rutgers star Dylan Harper is a massive favorite to go second overall, as well, as -8000 (98.77%). The Spurs currently hold the #2 pick.
Indeed, each of the first four picks in the draft has an odds-on favorite, with Baylor’s VJ Edgecombe -275 to go third (73.33) to the 76ers, and Duke’s Kon Knueppel -145 to go fourth (59.18%) to the Hornets.
Of the 23 players in the table above, all but four are freshman (or freshman-aged and playing overseas). The exceptions are South Carolina sophomore Collin Murray-Boyles, Washington State senior Cedric Coward, Colorado State senior Nique Clifford, and Saint Joe’s junior Rasheer Fleming
I recognize that the table above is a bit of a beast and somewhat tricky to navigate, so I’ve compiled a second table which lists the favorite at each of the top-ten draft positions.
Betting Favorite for Each Top-Ten Pick
Once we get to pick #5, oddsmakers start to have doubts. Texas two-guard Tre Johnson is a tepid +190 favorite (34.48%) to go fifth overall to the Jazz, followed closely by Oklahoma point guard Jeremiah Fears at +275 (26.67%).
At #6, Rutgers wing Ace Bailey is a +150 favorite (40%) to go to the Wizards, with Fears again the second-favorite at +210 (32.26%).
Fears is the outright favorite to go seventh overall to the Pelicans at +140 (41.67%), followed by Duke center Khaman Maluach at +350 (22.22%). Interestingly, in the NBA draft position over/under Fears is slightly favored to go sixth or earlier (-125).
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
