Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Odds, Picks & Player Props (July 9)

• Riding a ten-game win streak, the Toronto Blue Jays go for a sweep of the AL-worst Chicago White Sox on Wednesday afternoon
• But Chicago has de facto ace Adrian Houser (1.60 ERA) on the mound, facing Toronto’s Eric Lauer (2.65 ERA)
• This article breaks down the Blue Jays vs White Sox odds and player props, and provides data-driven predictions

The hottest team in baseball, the Toronto Blue Jays (54-38, away, O/U), meet the AL-worst Chicago White Sox (30-62, home, O/U) at Rate Field in Chicago on Wednesday in the finale of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled 1:10 pm CT/2:10 pm ET.

Chicago’s quest to salvage a game in the series and end Toronto’s win streak is buoyed by the presence of ace Adrian Houser (4-2, 1.60 ERA) on the mound. But the Chicago hitters will have to deal with Houser’s longtime Milwaukee teammate Eric Lauer (4-1, 2.65 ERA), who’s in the midst of a career-best season as well.

The first table below sets out the Blue Jays vs White Sox odds (moneyline, runline, and run total). It’s followed by the batter-vs-pitcher stats and TOR vs CHW player props and, lastly, my favorite picks for Wednesday’s matinee.

Blue Jays vs White Sox Odds

Toronto is priced as a modest -156 road favorite with the White Sox coming back as +132 home underdogs in Wednesday’s MLB odds. Taking out the juice, the odds give the Blue Jays a 58.6% vig-free implied win probability, leaving the other 41.4% for the Sox. On the runline, Toronto is +106 to win by multiple runs, while the White Sox are -128 to keep the score within a run (or win outright). The run total is currently 8.5 O/U with the under favored at -115.

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The Blue Jays haven’t just been winning; they’ve been dominating, having secured a franchise-record 54 wins before the All-Star break and riding a 10-game winning streak. Their recent history at Rate Field is particularly lopsided, as they have now won nine consecutive games in Chicago. For the White Sox, this game is about finding a way to generate offense after being outscored 14-5 in the first two games of the series and snapping a demoralizing home losing streak to a division rival. This preview will dive into the odds, analyze critical pitcher-batter matchups, and deliver our best bets and player prop picks

CHW vs TOR Odds Movement

The most significant line movement has occurred on the total, which has seen a sharp 15-cent shift toward the under after opening at +100. This indicates that, despite the Blue Jays’ potent offense, bettors are weighing the strength of the starting pitching matchup heavily. Both Houser (1.60 ERA) and Lauer (2.65 ERA) have been effective at limiting runs, and the market has adjusted accordingly, pushing the price on the under from even money to -115.

The moneyline has seen a slight drift toward the White Sox, moving from +136 to +132. While public betting is overwhelmingly on Toronto, this subtle reverse line movement could suggest some sharp money believes Houser gives the White Sox a better chance to compete than the opening line indicated.

Toronto Blue Jays Career Statistics vs Adrian Houser

While Adrian Houser has been fantastic this season, the Blue Jays have seen him before with mixed results. Alejandro Kirk (6-for-9) and Ernie Clement (2-for-3) have hit him well, but Houser has successfully neutralized the powerful bats of Vladimir Guerrero Jr (1-for-8) and Bo Bichette (2-for-10). Overall, the Blue Jays hitters have a modest .658 OPS against him with no home runs in 49 total at-bats, suggesting Houser knows how to navigate this lineup despite its depth.

Chicago White Sox Career Statistics vs Eric Lauer

The Chicago White Sox have far fewer at-bats against Eric Lauer. Austin Slater has the best numbers, going 5-for-12 with the only home run. Only one other player has a hit off him: Andrew Benintendi is 1-for-2 with a double.

Lauer relies on a mix of a low-90s fastball, a cutter, and a changeup to induce weak contact and ground balls. This profile is particularly effective against lineups like Chicago’s which have struggled with situational hitting and have a tendency to hit into double plays. Lauer’s ability to limit hard contact should play well against a White Sox team that lacks consistent power threats. Chicago doesn’t have a single player among the top-100 home run leaders this season.

Blue Jays vs White Player Props

MLB player props represent the consensus across sportsbooks on July 9, 2025.

Lauer’s line for outs (15.5 O/U) looks appealing. The over at +105 offers value against a White Sox offense that has been completely stifled in this series. Lauer’s style is well-suited to keep them off balance, and he should be able to complete at least five full innings. For Adrian Houser, his strikeout prop of 3.5 is low, but the Under (-142) is justified against a disciplined Blue Jays lineup that puts the ball in play.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Prediction

• Toronto Blue Jays moneyline (-156)
• Under 8.5 (-115)
• Lauer over 15.5 outs (+105)

The core of this matchup is whether Adrian Houser’s remarkable season can neutralize a Toronto Blue Jays offense that is firing on all cylinders. My expectation is that it won’t.

While Houser’s 1.60 ERA is elite, he faces a lineup that has dominated Chicago, especially at Rate Field. The Blue Jays have won nine straight in this ballpark and, as mentioned at the top, are on an MLB-best ten-game winning streak at the moment. Their offense, which has put up multiple five-run innings in this series, is a nightmare matchup for any pitcher, regardless of their recent success.

On the other side, Eric Lauer’s 2.65 ERA and pitch-to-contact style are perfectly suited to shut down a Chicago offense that has struggled to string together hits and has been prone to rally-killing double plays.

Several betting trends also support my play on the Toronto moneyline. The Blue Jays are a profitable 32-20 (.615) as a favorite this season, while the White Sox have lost five straight games against opponents with winning records. The head-to-head history is also damning for Chicago, with the White Sox going just 2-6 against Toronto in their last eight meetings.

The most compelling trend points toward a lower-scoring affair: the under has hit in five of the last six games between these two teams. Given the quality of both starting pitchers and the heavy line movement toward the under, that feels like the sharpest play on the total.