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MLB Home Run Picks & Predictions for Dinger Tuesday (September 16)

Zach Reger

By Zach Reger in MLB Baseball

Published:


Romy Gonzalez at bat
Sep 7, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Boston Red Sox first baseman Romy Gonzalez against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
  • It is yet another Dinger Tuesday during the MLB season
  • New and existing FanDuel users can claim a 30% profit boost to use on any player to hit a home run
  • See below for my MLB home run picks for Dinger Tuesday on September 16

All 30 MLB teams are in action, and with a doubleheader, there are 16 baseball games today. It is the perfect day to bet on some home runs, as there are just a few Dinger Tuesdays left this year to take advantage of.

Both new and existing FanDuel users can opt in and claim a 30% profit boost to use on any player to hit a home run today.

Keep reading for my home run picks for Dinger Tuesday on September 16.

MLB Home Run Picks Today

I have three home run picks today.

PlayerOddsSportsbookStart Time
Romy Gonzalez+625FanDuel Sportsbook6:45 pm ET
Yandy Diaz+450FanDuel Sportsbook7:35 pm ET
Mickey Moniak+420FanDuel Sportsbook8:40 pm ET

Home Run Pick #1: Romy Gonzalez (+625 at FanDuel with 30% Profit Boost)

My favorite home run pick today Romy Gonzalez against Jeffrey Springs and the Athletics. Gonzalez is originally +480 at FanDuel Sportsbook to hit a home run, but with the 30% Dinger Tuesday boost, he is now +625. Those are incredible odds for this matchup.

Gonzalez absolutely crushes left-handed pitching. He might only have nine home runs on the year, but seven have come against lefties, and he is slugging .629 against them.

He has also been red-hot. Gonzalez is riding a 14-game hit streak where he has multiple hits in eight of them, and he is slugging .568 in the month of September.

Gonzalez has an exit velocity of 93.1 and an absurd 57.3% hard-hit rate. In his career against Springs, Romy is slugging 3.000. He is 2-2 with a double and a home run.

Springs has struggled against right-handed batters as they have hit 25 of the 28 home runs that he has allowed. He just gave up two homers in his last start and has allowed nine over his last nine starts. I love getting boosted odds on Gonzalez to hit a home run at home against a lefty.

Home Run Pick #2: Yandy Diaz (+450 at FanDuel)

My next home run pick is Yandy Diaz for the Rays at +450 odds. He is facing Jose Berrios, who has given up four home runs over his last four starts.

Berrios has allowed more home runs on the road this season, and now he is pitching at George M. Steinbrenner Field, where Diaz has hit 17 of his 24 home runs this year.

Diaz has hit 14 home runs off right-handed pitching, and over the last seven days, he is slugging .652 with two home runs.

He has a 93 exit velocity and a 52.1% hard-hit rate.

In his career against Berrios, Diaz is 6-20 and slugging .550 with a home run. I believe Yandy Diaz can hit another home run off Berrios tonight at home.

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Home Run Pick #3: Mickey Moniak (+420 at FanDuel)

My final home run pick today is Mickey Moniak at +420.

Eury Perez takes the mound for the Marlins, and despite having a good season early on, has really struggled of late. Perez has a 13.06 ERA over his last three starts and has given up four home runs during that stretch.

All 11 of the home runs that he has allowed have come on the road, and now he has to pitch in Colorado at Coors Field. Perez has a road ERA of 6.11 this season.

This is a good matchup for Moniak because lefties have hit seven of the 11 home runs that Perez has given up.

Moniak is slugging .537 this month and just hit two home runs in his last game on Sunday. He is slugging .534 against right-handed pitching and has hit 20 of his 21 home runs this year off righties.

He has also hit more home runs at home and is slugging .583 at Coors Field this season.

Moniak has a 45.7% hard-hit rate, so I am betting on him to hit yet another home run at Coors.

Zach Reger
Zach Reger

Social Media Manager; Sports Betting Personality & Handicapper

Zach has been involved in the sports betting industry for three years. After starting to bet on sports in college, Zach was interested in how it can make any game interesting. The trends, line movement, and finding unique angles to predict the outcomes of games captivated Zach to get more involved.

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