NFL Anytime Touchdown Predictions for Week 3: See the Best Picks for TD Props

Before you go and start betting NFL touchdown props for Sunday of Week 3, you need to know this is the most popular prop being bet at all sportsbooks. This means there’s plenty of attention being given to the NFL TD betting markets by each sportsbook. It’s also an NFL prop that you cannot bet both sides of, meaning it’s a little harder to find good value. This is why it’s so important to ensure you are doing your research before betting – or finding someone who is doing it if you (understandably) do not have the time to do it yourself.

I have gone through all of the NFL anytime TD props for Week 3 of the 2025-26 NFL season – I do not bet first touchdown props, as the outcomes are too volatile – as well as all the pertinent data for betting touchdowns, and have pulled out my favorite touchdown picks. On top of that, I have done the line shopping for you, presenting the best TD odds for each prediction, and also provided my analysis and reasoning for each below!

I published this article ahead of TNF, and won my James Cook anytime TD bet!

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 3

I currently have nine players I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 3, though one of them already settled (as a winner) on Thursday night. All of the TD picks above are half-unit bets, except for James Cook and Kenneth Walker. I am actually laying 1.5 units on Cook to score a touchdown on TNF, the first time I am risking more than a unit this season. Walker is just a full unit.

If you are looking to bet more than just touchdown props in Week 3, check out our NFL props tool, where you’ll find the best lines for all passing, rushing, and receiving props as well.

I went 6-6 on my TD picks last week, and lost 0.91 units, thanks to three of my four full-unit bets missing – how do the Ravens put up 40+ points and Derrick Henry doesn’t score a single touchdown?!? I’m still up 0.28 units after two weeks, though.

If you don’t have a ton of experience with these props, check out our guide to NFL TD props to learn everything you’ll need to start betting them like a pro!

James Cook Anytime TD Pick✅

The Dolphins defense has posted some horrific numbers through the first two weeks of the season, and (to our knowledge) they have yet to play an offensive juggernaut like the Bills yet – no slight on the Colts, who have put together some good offensive numbers, but not ready to say they’re on the same level as Buffalo yet.

Miami is allowing a league-worst 51.9% conversion rate on third downs and a 60% TD rate on red zone drives – the latter isn’t horrific in a small sample size, but it’s far from good. They’re allowing their opponents to slowly march the ball down the field and score. While they have only given up the second-most points so far, they’re allowing 3.47 points per drive (3.16 is second-worst), average drives of 4 minutes and 15 seconds (3:37 is next worst), and a score on 75.6% of their opponents’ drives (55.6% is next worst).

They have forced just one three-and-out this season. Allow me to remind you one of their two games came at home against a Patriots team that only managed 13 points against the Raiders in Week 1.

All that is to say, James Cook should not have a big problem finding the endzone in Week 3. Cook has seen 11, third-most in the NFL, of Buffalo’s 34 total red zone looks and three of nine goal line looks across two games. He has three total touchdowns this season and has at least one in both games. He has scored a touchdown in each of his last six regular season games, and nine of the last ten.

This is why I’m confident enough to lay 1.5 units. I think he should be closer to -225 odds in this one.

• Pick: James Cook Anytime TD (-160 at ESPN Bet)✅

Romeo Doubs Anytime TD Pick

Of all the NFL touchdown predictions I am providing for Week 3, this is the one I am least confident in. That doesn’t mean I don’t like it, or felt forced into it – I still bet it myself. It’s just the lowest confidence of the bunch.

The reason for that is because of how much Josh Jacobs dominates Green Bay’s red zone looks – he has seen 10 of 23 through two games. However, Cleveland is pretty good against the run, only allowing 2.07 yards per attempt, which is the lowest in the NFL. It’s also worth noting they just played the Ravens in Week 2 and held Derrick Henry without a TD.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 18, 2025 at 7:25pm

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • Green Bay Packers @ Cleveland Browns

215 on Underdog Sportsbook

CLOSED • 09/21/2025

See all 1 picks

Betslip #1758223524988-5a21-510

I do think the Packers are going to score some touchdowns in this game, though, and if they do shy away from trying to powering the ball into the endzone – or Cleveland just doesn’t allow it – I like Romeo Doubs to be the receiver they look to.

Doubs has seen three red zone looks and one goal line look, while playing 72.4% of Green Bay’s offensive snaps, which is by far the highest of any Packers receiver – the next highest is Golden at 54.3%. He’s second on the team in targets per game and is targeted on 20% of the snaps he’s on the field for. I like Doubs to find the endzone again in Week 3 after scoring his first TD of the season last week.

• Pick: Romeo Doubs Anytime TD (+200 at ESPN Bet) – – Sign up for ESPN Bet to tail this pick

Nico Collins Anytime TD Pick

The Houston Texans have only scored two total touchdowns this season, but Nico Collins has one of them. The big wide receiver leads the team in red zone looks with four (44.4% of team’s total) and goal line looks with two (66.6%).

With the Texans desperately needing a win to avoid an 0-3 start, I think they’ll look to Collins even more than they already have. Collins has been the target on 32.6% of CJ Stroud’s passing attempts.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 18, 2025 at 7:39pm

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

145 on ESPN BET

CLOSED • 09/21/2025

See all 1 picks

Betslip #1758224389555-5a21-926

I know Jacksonville’s defensive numbers look pretty good on paper, but I don’t think they’re that good. They just played arguably the worst offense in the league in Week 1, the Carolina Panthers. The Jaguars gave up more than 300 yards through the air to the Bengals, who had their backup QB in for most of the game, and they were torched by Ja’Marr Chase for 165 yards and a touchdown.

I would be more concerned if Jacksonville were applying good pressure on opposing QBs so far this season, as not being able to protect Stroud seems to be the root of their problems, but they only generate pressure on 20.2% of their opponents’ passing snaps, which is pretty average.

By no means am I suggesting Nico Collins and Ja’Marr Chase are on the same level. I just think Collins is the weapon on the Texans offense that will see the most volume, and Houston likes targeting him in the red zone.

• Pick: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+145 at ESPN Bet)

Tyler Allgeier Anytime TD Pick

By all means, Bijan Robinson is the leader of the Falcons backfield – his odds to score a touchdown were just too short for me. However, Tyler Allgeier is still seeing an average of 13.5 scrimmage touches per game this season, and his low is ten in Week 1. He is seeing 38.8% of the team’s total rushing attempts through two weeks.

He has also been used in the red zone and goal line, seeing six red zone looks, which is four fewer than Bijan, and two goal line looks, which is the same as Bijan.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 18, 2025 at 8:06pm

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers

260 on Bet365

CLOSED • 09/21/2025

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Betslip #1758225995298-5a21-608

The Falcons are preparing to take on a Panthers defense that’s allowing 5.2 rushing yards per attempt, which is sixth-worst in the league. Carolina’s defense has tightened up a bit in the red zone, only allowing a touchdown on 44% of their opponents’ red zone drives, but I think that’s more about the Jaguars and Cardinals offenses they have seen so far.

I like Atlanta to play most of this game with a lead, which I think will only add to Allgeier’s opportunities.

• Pick: Tyler Allgeier Anytime TD (+260 at bet365)

Jaylen Warren Anytime TD Pick

After taking a bit of a backseat to Kenneth Gainwell in Week 1, where he only played 45% of Pittsburgh’s snaps, Jaylen Warren flipped that split around and saw 58% of their snaps in Week 2. But it’s also clear there’s far more of an effort to get Warren the ball when he is on the field versus Gainwell. Warren has accounted for 61% of their rushing attempts and is seeing 15.5 looks per game.

Warren has also been the guy for the Steelers in the red zone. The RB has seen eight of their 13 red zone looks and three of their seven goal line looks. It has only resulted in one touchdown so far this season, but I think he scores another TD in Week 3.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 18, 2025 at 8:29pm

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots

120 on Bet365

CLOSED • 09/21/2025

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Betslip #1758227346969-5a21-433

The Patriots defense has not seen any big improvement under new head coach Mike Vrabel yet either. They’re allowing a touchdown on 66.7% of their opponents’ red zone drives, and 6.55 total net yards per play, which is second-worst in the league.

I don’t think Aaron Rodgers can really push the ball down the field too much at his age, and think we’ll see Warren targeted pretty heavily in the passing game again this week.

This is also a great price on Warren, who I was seeing as short as -110 at the time of writing this.

• Pick: Jaylen Warren Anytime TD (+120 at bet365)

Kenneth Walker III Anytime TD Pick

Kenneth Walker III has taken a bit of a backseat to Zach Charbonnet in terms of snaps through the first two weeks, as Charbonnet has been on the field for 56.4% versus Walker’s 37.6%. However, there has been a real effort to get Walker the ball when he is on the field, as the two have seen an equal 29% of the Seahawks’ touches.

The two players have dominated the team’s red zone looks, totaling 11 of 14. However, Charbonnet is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game against a pretty shaky Saints defense.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 20, 2025 at 4:48am

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

-140 on Bet365

CLOSED • 09/21/2025

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Betslip #1758343692894-5a21-782

New Orleans is allowing a touchdown on 80% of their opponents’ red zone drives, tied for third-worst in the league, and an average of 2.3 points per drive, which is 12th-worst.

With Charbonnet likely to be missing from the lineup, and Walker already coming off a great 105-yard performance on just 13 carries, I suspect Walker’s workload will see a massive increase, and he’ll find the endzone for a second straight game.

• Pick: Kenneth Walker III Anytime TD (-140 at bet365)

Javonte Williams Anytime TD Pick

Cowboys new running back Javonte Williams has opened the season with three touchdowns, scoring at least one in both games so far. Williams has operated as the clear lead back, playing 74% of their offensive snaps and a whopping 37.6% of their total touches.

He’s been the guy Dallas leans on in the red zone and goal line as well. Williams leads the team with five red zone looks and recorded two of their three goal line looks.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 20, 2025 at 4:58am

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears

100 on Bet365

CLOSED • 09/21/2025

See all 1 picks

Betslip #1758344316894-5a21-351

He now gets a Bears defense that’s allowing their opponents to score touchdowns on 80% of their red zone drives, and has allowed ten total touchdowns in just two games. Chicago has not been good against the run, as they allow 5.3 yards per rushing attempt, the fifth-highest in the league.

Whether we do or do not get some heavy rain in Chicago on Sunday, I like Dallas to continue feeding Williams and for him to extend his touchdown streak to three games.

• Pick: Javonte Williams Anytime TD (+100 at bet365)

Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD Pick

The Chiefs offense has been struggled to score to start the 2025-26 season. They rank 11th in net yards per play, but have only scored a total of four touchdowns across two games. The red zone has been a tough place for Kansas City so far. They have only scored on 80% of their red zone drives, and only have touchdowns on 40% of their red zone drives, which is 27th in the league.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 20, 2025 at 5:03am

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Giants

185 on BetMGM

CLOSED • 09/22/2025

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Betslip #1758344603536-5a21-100

I think the red zone gets a lot easier for the reigning AFC champs in Week 3, though, as they’ll take on a Giants team who is allowing touchdowns on 85.7% of their opponents’ red zone drives, the second-highest in the league. No team has given up more rushing touchdowns than the Giants, and they’re being gashed for 5.92 yards per rush attempt, the second-worst mark in the NFL.

Isiah Pacheco has played 54.2% of Kansas City’s offensive snaps and has a team-high 21.7% of their total touches. The running back only has one red zone look this season, but I think that changes this week. I’m betting him to score his first TD of the season in Week 3.

• Pick: Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD (+185 at BetMGM)

DeAndre Hopkins Anytime TD Pick

I appreciate that DeAndre Hopkins is not playing a ton of snaps, just 26.2% through two weeks, and has only seen 4.8% of Baltimore’s total touches. But he has a touchdown in both games this season. I can’t believe DraftKings is offering +400 odds on a guy who has scored two touchdowns already.

Matthew McEwan

Sports Betting Dime • September 20, 2025 at 5:23am

Pick

Odds

Player

Game Prop

NFL • Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens

400 on DraftKings

CLOSED • 09/23/2025

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Betslip #1758345811105-5a21-432

Sportsbooks have confirmed my expectation of a lot of points to be scored in the Lions vs Ravens Monday Night Football game by setting the total at 53. Baltimore has scored more than 40 points in each of their first two games and have a total of ten touchdowns.

They have spread those touchdowns around pretty well, but no one on the team has more TDs than Hopkins this season. He has obviously built Lamar Jackson’s trust, catching all four of his targets and providing a receiver who can win jump-ball scenarios.

In what I expect to be a fast-paced game, I like Jackson to remain aggressive and give Hopkins more targets in the endzone.

• Pick: DeAndre Hopkins Anytime TD (+400 at DraftKings)