Final Maryland vs Wisconsin Prediction, Best Prop Bet & Closing Odds

• Maryland enters as 10-point road underdogs against Wisconsin on Saturday afternoon
• The Terrapins’ freshman QB Malik Washington faces his first true road test at Camp Randall
• Check out my final Maryland vs Wisconsin prediction, closing odds and best prop bet below

Saturday’s Big Ten opener between Maryland (3-0) and Wisconsin (2-1) features two teams heading in opposite directions. The Terrapins have steamrolled their first three opponents by a combined 103-13 score. Meanwhile, the Badgers are still searching for answers after Alabama embarrassed them 42-10 last week in Madison.

Despite Wisconsin’s struggles, the college football odds have moved heavily in their favor. The spread jumped from Wisconsin -7.5 to -10, suggesting the market doesn’t trust Maryland’s perfect record against weak competition. It’s a classic case of reputation over recent results.

Kickoff is set for noon ET from Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI, with NBC providing the broadcast coverage.

Final Maryland vs Wisconsin Prediction

• Maryland +10 (-110 at Bet365 Maryland)
• Malik Washington Over 207.5 Passing Yards (-115)

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Wisconsin hasn’t shown they can score enough to cover double digits. The Badgers have managed 14 points or fewer in five of their last six games against Power 4 opponents. That’s not a team built to blow anyone out.

Yes, Maryland’s true freshman quarterback Malik Washington faces his first road test in one of college football’s toughest venues. But the kid has been sharp through three starts, completing 61% of his passes for 773 yards with a 6-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

He’s averaging 257.7 yards per game and has yet to face a defense this good, but Wisconsin’s secondary just got torched for nearly 400 yards by Alabama.

The Badgers’ offense remains a mess. They’re shuffling between quarterbacks after Billy Edwards Jr. got hurt in Week 1. Danny O’Neal has thrown 4 interceptions in limited action. Against a Maryland defense that leads the nation with 7 picks through three games, that’s a recipe for disaster.

Wisconsin’s offensive line was exposed badly in the Alabama game. Now they face a Maryland pass rush averaging 3.3 sacks per game. The Terrapins don’t need to dominate to stay within this number – they just need to create a few short fields with turnovers and capitalize.

Why Washington Goes Over His Passing Prop

Washington’s 207.5-yard prop feels low for several reasons. First, he’s cleared this number in all three starts, averaging 257.7 yards per game. Second, Wisconsin’s pass defense just got exposed, allowing 224.3 yards per contest.

Most importantly, Maryland will need to throw to move the ball. Wisconsin’s run defense remains stout, allowing just 96.7 yards per game on the ground. The Terrapins know they can’t pound the rock against this front seven. They’ll have to let Washington air it out.

Maryland spreads the ball around too. Four different receivers have 10+ catches already this season. That balance makes it harder for Wisconsin to key on one target and easier for Washington to find the open man.

Maryland vs Wisconsin Closing Odds

The public loves Wisconsin here, pushing this line from -7.5 all the way to -10. That’s created tremendous value on Maryland, especially catching double digits on the road. The total, meanwhile, has stayed relatively stable at 44.5.

Wisconsin’s moneyline has shortened from -340 to -425, reflecting the heavy public backing. But at +335, Maryland offers intriguing upset potential for those willing to take a shot.

The best value remains on the spread. Getting Maryland at +10 feels like a gift when Wisconsin can’t score and Maryland’s defense creates havoc. DraftKings still has the best price on the Terrapins at -108.

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Odds as of 9:30 am ET, Sept. 21. Check out the top US betting sites for Maryland vs Wisconsin.

Historical Dominance vs Current Reality

Wisconsin owns this series historically, going 4-0 against Maryland since the Terrapins joined the Big Ten. They’ve won by an average of 23 points in those meetings.

But this isn’t the same Wisconsin team. They’re averaging just 136.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 90th nationally. Without their trademark ground-and-pound attack, the Badgers become one-dimensional and predictable.

Maryland’s defense might not be elite by Big Ten standards, but they’re opportunistic. They’re second nationally in sacks and first in interceptions. Against a Wisconsin offense that can’t protect the quarterback or hold onto the football, those strengths become magnified.

Camp Randall remains intimidating for any visiting team, especially one led by a freshman quarterback. But double digits is too many points for a Wisconsin team that hasn’t proven they can score consistently. Take the points and the over on Washington’s passing yards.