San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Player Props & Picks for Flagg, Wemby & More

• Cooper Flagg and the Mavericks are home favorites against Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs on Wednesday night
• Key backcourt injuries to both starting points guards, Kyrie Irving and De’Aaron Fox, have shifted the game total three points lower
• See the full list of Spurs vs Mavericks player props, plus my expert Mavs/Spurs picks and predictions

The two most-recent first-overall picks meet on Wednesday night in the Lone Star State when Cooper Flagg and the Dallas Mavericks (39-43, 22-18 home, 38-42-2 ATS last season) host Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs (34-48, 13-27 away, 39-43 ATS last season) at the American Airlines Center in the latest iteration of the I-35 rivalry. Despite an injury to Kyrie Irving (out, knee), the Mavericks are modest 2.5-point home favorites in Wednesday’s NBA odds. This nationally televised clash tips off at 8:30 pm CT/9:30 pm ET on ESPN.

Below, I have set out the Spurs vs Mavericks player props (points, rebounds, assists, and threes for all starters plus important rotation players) along with my Spurs/Mavericks picks. At the tail end of the article, find up-to-the-minute odds for the game (moneyline, spread, total) plus the latest betting splits.

Spurs vs Mavericks Player Props

NBA player props in the table are the average across sportsbooks as of 4:32 pm ET, October 22.

Both Wembenyama (24.3 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 3.7 APG last season) and Anthony Davis (24.7 PPG, 11.6 RPG, 3.5 APG) have a point total of 24.5 O/U, eight points higher than any other player. Flagg, who averaged 19.2 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 4.2 APG in just 30.6 minutes during his lone season at Duke, has a point total of 16.5, a rebound total of 6.5, and an assist total of 4.5 in his first career game. The over is slightly favored on his point total while the under is a heavy favorite on both his rebound and assist total. The 6’9 phenom is listed as Dallas’ starting point guard.

Wemby and Davis are also tied with the highest rebound total at 11.5, with both favored to stay under that number.

In addition to newly point guard De’Aaron Fox (23.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 6.3 APG), the Spurs will also be without fourth-year pro Jeremy Sochan, who averaged 11.4 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game last year.

Spurs vs Mavericks Picks & Predictions

• Flagg over 16.5 points (+100) at FanDuel
• Over 223.5 points (-112) at FanDuel

I am backing Flagg to go over 16.5 points, which bettors can find at even-money at FanDuel. (It’s as short as -116 elsewhere.) The rationale is pretty simple. The Mavericks are missing a prolific scorer (Irving), Wembenyama is an elite post defender who will be tasked with containing Anthony Davis, and both teams play at an above-average pace. There are going to be a lot of possessions in this game, and Flagg – a hugely talented scorer – is going to have the ball in his hands a ton. Head coach Jason Kidd should encourage Flagg to call his own number whenever he sees the chance.

I’m also betting the over at 223.5, a number which has plummeted from the opening line of 226.5 O/U. The over has cashed five of Dallas’ final seven home games last year, and three of the last four head-to-head matchups between the Mavs and Spurs. Both offenses lose a lot Irving and Fox sidelined, but key defensive contributors like Sochan and potentially Dallas forward Daniel Gafford won’t be on the court, either, which creates exploitable weaknesses.

Latest Spurs vs Mavericks Odds

Roughly four hours before tipoff, the best Dallas moneyline is -144 at FanDuel. The Spurs are as long as +130 at DraftKings. The point spread is Mavericks -2.5 across the board and most sites have the odds at -110 both ways. DK is offering San Antonio at -105 to cover as 2.5-point underdogs, though. As mentioned above, the game total has come down by as many as three points at some books (from 226.5 to 223.5). Under bettors can still get 224.5 (-115) at DraftKings.

SAS vs DAL Public-Betting Splits

The NBA public betting splits show an interesting dichotomy, with the Mavs getting the bulk of moneyline handle but the Spurs getting more love from spread bettors.

• Moneyline: 72% of bets and 55% of handle on Dallas (-144)
• ATS: 62% of bets and 53% of handle on San Antonio (+2.5)
• Total: 82% of bets and 80% of handle on the under (223.5)