NBA Player Props to Bet Today – Top A.I. Picks from All Six Games on Nov 18
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- I have generated our A.I.’s top NBA player-prop picks for Tuesday, Nov. 18
- The A.I. is coming off a +3.51-unit night yesterday
- See the top NBA player props to bet tonight
Coming off a 6-2 performance last night (+3.51 units), our internal A.I. has once again been tasked with finding its favorite player prop to bet in each of Tuesday’s six NBA games.
The table below sets out the top A.I. NBA prop picks for November 18th, along with the sportsbook currently offering the best price on each prop. Under the table, I have set out the A.I.’s explanation for each bet plus one-click options to tail the picks.
Best NBA Player Props to Bet Today (Nov 18)
As it does most days, the A.I. is exclusively targeting over bets on Tuesday. It has just one plus-money wager on the board: Detroit’s Jalen Duren to go over 12.5 rebounds. The A.I. is +7.46 units on plus-money bets this season.
- A.I. NBA props record this season: 53-52 (-3.17 units)
Best odds as of 10:51 am ET. See the latest pre-registration offers from Underdog Missouri before launch in December.
GS Warriors vs ORL Magic Player-Prop Pick: Wagner Over 23.5 Points
A.I. reasoning: “This represents the most logical play on the board. With Paolo Banchero (21.7 PPG) and his 14.8 field goal attempts per game officially ruled out, the entire Orlando offense now rests on the shoulders of Franz Wagner. He has already been scoring at a high level, and his volume is set to explode. Wagner is averaging an impressive 23.1 points per game on the season. Over his last five games, he has ramped that up to 24.2 PPG, demonstrating his readiness to be the top option. He excels at getting to the free-throw line, a trait that will be amplified as he becomes the primary attacker. Wagner has attempted a staggering 9.8 free throws per game over his last five contests, converting at an 83.7% clip.”
BOS Celtics vs BKN Nets Player-Prop Pick: Pritchard Over 2.5 Threes
A.I. reasoning: “Pritchard’s recent three-point surge creates exceptional value against Brooklyn’s permissive perimeter defense. His hot shooting streak aligns perfectly with expanded opportunity in Tatum’s absence. Over his last five games, Pritchard averages 4.0 three-pointers made per game on scorching 47.6% shooting from deep. This massive improvement from his season-long 2.5 makes on 32.1% shooting indicates peak rhythm and confidence. He’s connected on the over in four of his last five games with elevated minutes.”
DET Pistons vs ATL Hawks Player-Prop Pick: Duren Over 12.5 Rebounds
A.I. reasoning: “This selection targets the perfect storm of Detroit’s offensive rebounding excellence meeting Atlanta’s defensive glass struggles. Duren has been phenomenal on the boards recently, recording 15.0 rebounds per game over his last three outings while facing far superior defensive-rebounding teams than the Hawks.
Atlanta allows opponents to grab 13.4 offensive rebounds per game, the second-worst mark in the NBA. Duren’s 4.6 offensive rebounds per game directly exploits this weakness. Duren has recorded double-digit rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games played (87.5%), including three consecutive games with 14+ boards.. With Detroit’s offense likely struggling without key scorers, the team will generate more missed shots for Duren to corral.”
MEM Grizzlies vs SA Spurs Player-Prop Pick: K Johnson Over 5.5 Rebounds
A.I. reasoning: “Johnson’s recent glass-cleaning surge perfectly positions him to exploit the massive rebounding void created by Wembanyama’s absence. While Johnson’s season average sits at 6.2 rebounds per game, his recent production tells a different story. Over his last five contests, he’s averaging 8.2 rebounds, representing a 32% increase that reflects his expanded frontcourt responsibilities.”
UTA Jazz vs LA Lakers Player-Prop Pick: Markkanen Over 25.5 Points
A.I. reasoning: “Markkanen becomes a different player at home, consistently exceeding his season averages in scoring efficiency and volume. His home scoring surge represents one of the most reliable trends in the current NBA landscape. In his seven home games this season, Markkanen is averaging 35.1 points on elite 51.9% shooting, well above his 30.6 season average. His usage rate jumps to 28.1% at home, supported by over 22 shot attempts per game. Markkanen has exceeded 25.5 points in five of seven home games this season.”
PHX Suns vs POR Trail Blazers Player-Prop Pick: Avdija Over 38.5 P+R+A
A.I. reasoning: “Avdija has transformed into Portland’s offensive engine, and his recent production surge makes this combo prop exceptionally attractive. His season averages of 26.0 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 4.8 assists (37.3 total) already approach this line, but his last five games tell a more compelling story: 40.4 PRA average.
The matchup favors continued excellence, as Phoenix’s road defense allows 119.3 defensive rating while turning the ball over 16.1 times per game. These turnovers create transition opportunities where Avdija excels at filling multiple statistical categories. In games where opponents commit 15+ turnovers this season, Avdija has shown a strong ability to exceed 38.5 PRA. Avdija has hit this number in four of five home games this season and eight of 11 games overall when facing teams with defensive ratings worse than 115.0, like Phoenix.”
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.