Best NBA Props to Bet Today – AI Picks for Thursday, Nov 20

• Thursday brings a light four-game slate in the NBA
• I have generated our A.I.’s top player-prop pick from each of the four games
• See today’s top NBA player props to bet from a model that’s 15-7 (+5.83 units) over the last three days

Yesterday was another brilliant performance for our A.I. NBA prop picks, going 6-2 and profiting +2.99 units on one-unit wagers.

Thursday’s schedule isn’t as heavy but I have, nonetheless, gone through the same exercise: I asked our A.I. to tell me its top player prop to bet from each of the four games.

The table below sets out the prop from each game, plus the sportsbook currently offering the best price on that NBA player prop. Under the table, I have set out the A.I.’s explanation for each pick plus a one-click button to tail the bet.

NBA Player Props to Bet Today (Nov 20)

After throwing in one under bet yesterday, the A.I. is back to its usual shenanigans today with four over bets. That includes one plus-money wager (Andre Drummond over 10.5 rebounds at +107). The A.I. missed on its only plus-money bet yesterday, but is still +5.46 for the season on plus-money wagers.

Best odds as of 1:01 pm ET. See the current pre-reg offers from DraftKings Missouri ahead of launch in December.

LA Clippers vs ORL Magic Player Prop to Bet: Suggs Over 1.5 Threes

A.I. explanation: “The Clippers’ perimeter defense provides the perfect storm for Suggs’ home-court shooting prowess. LA surrenders 15.0 threes per road game while allowing 38.3% accuracy from deep, creating clean looks for competent shooters.

Suggs has connected on 2.2 threes per home game this season, shooting 41.9% from deep at Orlando compared to approximately 21.5% on the road. The Clippers allow opponents to make 14.8 threes per game, with individual players routinely exceeding season averages against their switching scheme.”

ATL Hawks vs SA Spurs Player Prop to Bet: K Johnson Over 6.5 Rebounds

A.I. explanation: “The Hawks allow 12.9 offensive rebounds per game, ranking among the league’s worst in defensive glass control. Johnson has responded to increased minutes by averaging 8.0 rebounds over his last five games, well above his season average of 6.2. Situational trend support: In 9 home games this season, Johnson’s rebounding average jumps to 6.8 per contest, demonstrating consistent home-court improvement.

With Wembanyama out, additional rebounds become available throughout San Antonio’s frontcourt, and Johnson’s activity level positions him to capitalize against Atlanta’s porous defensive rebounding.”

PHI 76ers vs MIL Bucks Player Prop to Bet: Drummond Over 10.5 Rebounds

A.I. explanation: “This selection targets Milwaukee’s most exploitable weakness while capitalizing on Drummond’s recent dominance on the glass. The veteran center has been absolutely relentless on the boards during his expanded role, averaging 13.2 rebounds per game over his last five contests. Milwaukee’s 46.4% Total Rebound Percentage ranks 27th in the NBA, creating the perfect matchup for Drummond to dominate the glass on both ends.

The combination of increased minutes due to Embiid’s absence and Milwaukee’s fundamental rebounding deficiencies makes this prop particularly attractive. Drummond’s offensive rebounding rate of 13.1% this season means he’ll consistently generate second-chance opportunities against a Bucks team that struggles to secure defensive boards.”

SAC Kings vs MEM Grizzlies Player Prop to Bet: Edey Over 9.5 Rebounds

A.I. explanation: “Sacramento’s rebounding metrics are historically poor, ranking 29th in Total Rebound Percentage (46.3%) and second-to-last in Offensive Rebounding Percentage (20.4%). Road teams have particularly exploited this weakness, grabbing 11.0 offensive rebounds per game against the Kings away from home.

Edey has dominated the glass in limited action, averaging 9.0 total rebounds and 3.5 offensive boards in just 24.9 minutes per game. His 7-foot-5 frame and positioning fundamentals create a natural mismatch against Sacramento’s undersized and poor-boxing-out frontcourt.

Even if Domantas Sabonis returns from his knee issue, Sacramento’s systemic rebounding problems persist regardless of personnel. Edey has consistently demonstrated strong rebounding ability when given significant minutes against similarly poor rebounding teams. The rookie doesn’t need expanded minutes to cash this over; his efficiency per possession on the glass against a defensively challenged opponent creates clear value.”