Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys Picks, Prediction & Updated Betting Lines (Week 12)

• The Eagles have a 3.5-game lead in the NFC East
• Dallas’ playoff chances are on life support
• Continue reading for my Eagles vs Cowboys picks and predictions

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The Philadelphia Eagles (8-2, 4-1 road) look for the season sweep against the Dallas Cowboys (4-5-1, 2-1-1 home) on Sunday afternoon in Week 12. AT&T Stadium in Arlington plays host at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday, Nov. 23. FOX will carry the broadcast.

I have finalized my four favorite Eagles vs Cowboys picks below. Continue reading for my key players to watch as well as the final Eagles/Cowboys betting lines for this NFC East battle.

PHI Eagles vs DAL Cowboys Picks & Predictions

• Eagles -3 (-105 at bet365)

Despite their offensive struggles in recent weeks, the Eagles have been covering machines this season. They have a 7-3 ATS record, covering in seven of their last nine games. This is particularly impressive as they have been favorites in all ten of their games. The only game they won without covering the spread was Week 1 versus Dallas.

The first player in Eagles history to win Special Teams Player of the Week and Defense Player of the Week in the same season. Congrats JD 👏 pic.twitter.com/aqFAKnFH9Z

— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) November 19, 2025

Admittedly, Dallas has been great at covering as underdogs. They have a 3-1 ATS record as underdogs. That said, overall, the Cowboys have a 4-5 record ATS in their last nine games.

While I would stay away at -3.5, getting -3 is a great value for the defending Super Bowl champs. The Eagles have not been involved in a game with a margin of fewer than three points this season.

• Jalen Hurts Over 205.5 Passing Yards (-117 at BetRivers)

Jalen Hurts has only cleared this number four times this season. In Week 1 versus Dallas, he only threw for 152 yards. However, Dallas’ defense has dramatically shifted since Week 1 as they traded for Quinnen Williams and got Demarvion Overshown back from injury.

With this in mind, I anticipate Philadelphia having some issues running the football, forcing them to rely on Hurts and the electric duo of A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to move the football. 205.5 is a quite modest line that likely needs just one or two deep passes in addition to about 125 yards from standard Hurts activities

Hurts is averaging 199.5 passing yards this season. He has averaged 26.9 pass attempts per game. In the last six games, these marks are 231.0 passing yards per game and 28.0 pass attempts respectively.

• Under 48.5 (-122 at BetRivers)

The under is 5-5 in Eagles games and 3-7 in Cowboys games. However, most of those Cowboys games were before they traded for Williams and got Overshown back from injury. Last week, the Cowboys only allowed 16 points, and the over only hit after the Cowboys recorded a safety in the fourth quarter.

On the Eagles’ side, their last two games have sailed well under the total. The Eagles have allowed 20 or fewer points in three straight games. The offense has scuffled, scoring just 26 points in its last two games, but the Eagles did win 10-7 and 16-9.

• George Pickens Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-117 at BetRivers)

The hope here is that CeeDee Lamb draws the more difficult matchup in Quinyon Mitchell, and George Pickens lines up against Adoree’ Jackson. Pickens has a huge size advantage, and he has been red-hot. Pickens has at least 75 yards in five straight games. He has averaged 90.8 yards per game as a Cowboy and has cleared 64.5 yards in eight of 10 games.

George Pickens 17 game pace…

141 targets
99 receptions
1,544 receiving yards
12 touchdowns

The Cowboys really got him for a 3rd and 5th round pick 🤯 pic.twitter.com/OL6Gi6Qqht

— Underdog (@Underdog) November 18, 2025

Pickens was held to just three catches for 30 yards back in Week 1, but he has averaged a ridiculous 97.6 yards per game since. Some of his production came with Lamb out of the lineup, but since Lamb returned, Pickens has averaged 8.8 targets, 6.5 catches, and 95.8 yards per game.

By volume allowed, the Eagles have a middle-of-the-pack passing defense. Eight receivers (and two running backs) have tallied at least 65 receiving yards versus the Eagles this season. Lamb did so in Week 1, tallying 110 yards, but the Eagles have surrendered 65 receiving yards to a pair of pass catchers three times this season: Minnesota, Detroit, and Tampa Bay.

Eagles vs Cowboys Betting Lines

The Eagles are road favorites with the total set between 47.5 and 48.5 in the current NFL odds. Over bettors can take over 47.5 at ESPN Bet for -105 odds. Under bettors can get under 48.5 on BetRivers for -122 odds.

Philadelphia bettors can get the Eagles on the spread at -3 on bet365 for -105 odds or -160 on the moneyline, also at bet365. For Dallas bettors, take the Cowboys at +3.5 at Underdog (-122 odds) or +142 odds at FanDuel on the moneyline.

PHI vs DAL: Last Five Matchups

The Cowboys hold a lifetime 74-59 edge in this divisionl rivalry, winning 71 of 129 regular-season games and three of four playoff games. However, the Eagles have won the last three games and are looking for their longest winning streak over the Cowboys since winning six in a row from 2000 to 2002.

Back in Week 1, the Eagles won a tight game that featured just three points in the second half. The Cowboys were plagued by drops, hurting an otherwise sharp day by Dak Prescott. Philly found the end zone three times on the ground, finishing with over 150 rushing yards.