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Opening Chargers vs Patriots Odds, Spread, Total for Wild Card

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye throws a pass against the LA Chargers
Dec 28, 2024; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) passes the ball against the Los Angeles Chargers in the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-Imagn Images
  • The New England Patriots will host the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card Round
  • This is New England’s first home playoff game post-Tom Brady
  • See the opening Chargers vs Patriots odds for the 2026 Wild Card Round

For the first time since the Tom Brady era, the New England Patriots (14-3, 6-3 home) will host a playoff game. The #2-seeded Pats will welcome the #7 Los Angeles Chargers (11-6, 5-3 away) to Gillette Stadium on either Jan. 10th, 11th, or 12th (schedule TBD).

The Patriots have opened as modest 3.5-point home chalk.

Opening Chargers vs Patriots Odds for Wild Card Round

MarketLACNE
Spread+3.5 (-120)-3.5 (-102)
Moneyline+154-184
TotalO 45.5 (-118)U 45.5 (-104)

The opening Chargers vs Patriots odds list New England at -184 on the moneyline, which equates to a 64.79% implied win probability. The Chargers come back as +154 road underdogs (39.37% implied win probability).

The game total has opened at 45.5 with the over favored at -118 at FanDuel.

Odds as of 7:35 pm ET, Jan. 4th, at FanDuel.

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LAC vs NE: Team Stats Comparison

Chargers StatisticPatriots
21.6 (20th)Points Per Game28.8 (2nd)
19.6 (8th)Points Allowed Per Game18.8 (5th)
328.7 (17th)Yards Per Game377.2 (3rd)
282.4 (3rd)Yards Allowed Per Game294.3 (8th)
3 (10th)Turnover Differential3 (10th)
14.17 (23rd)Total EPA125.11 (1st)
19thOff. DVOA6th
10thDef. DVOA25th

The Chargers and Patriots didn’t meet this season. Los Angeles obliterated the Pats 40-7 in New England in Week 17 of the 2024 regular season. But Drake Maye, the odds-on favorite in the NFL MVP odds, has obviously evolved into a much different player than he was back then.

The Chargers enter the postseason on a two-game losing streak, though Jim Harbaugh opted to rest many of his key starters in the team’s Week 18 loss at Denver. The Patriots have won three straight. They fell a tiebreaker short of claim the AFC #1 seed from the Denver Broncos, who await the worst remaining AFC seed in the Divisional Round two weeks from now.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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