Chargers vs Patriots Same-Game Parlay (Wild Card)

• I’ve put together a +750 Chargers vs Patriots Same-Game Parlay for their Wild Card matchup
• Justin Herbert is 13-6-1 ATS as a road ‘dog of at least 3 points
• Keep reading for my best Chargers vs Patriots Same-Game Parlay for their Wild Card showdown

The nightcap of Sunday’s Wild Card tripleheader features the Chargers visiting the Patriots. New England has been pegged as a 3.5-point favorite in the NFL odds, a line I believe is inflated due to the Pats ridiculously soft schedule.

I’m looking to bet against New England in this matchup, and I’ll anchor my Chargers vs Patriots same-game parlay with LAC plus the points.

Below you’ll find the rest of my SGP picks for this AFC Wild Card contest, plus the odds and analysis behind each selection.

Chargers vs Patriots Same-Game Parlay

My Chargers vs Patriots same-game parlay comes with +750 odds if you play it at bet365, which has the most-favorable price at the time of writing. In addition to LAC +3.5, I’m also betting under 46 points, and 3+ catches for Chargers RB Omarion Hampton.

Looking for more LAC/NE picks to tail? Check out:

• Sascha Paruk’s Chargers vs Patriots picks and predictions
• Michael Harrison’s Chargers/Patriots touchdown-scorer picks

Chargers vs Patriots SGP Pick #1: LA Chargers +3.5 (-110)

Whenever you’re putting together any kind of NFL bet slip, make sure to use the best football betting apps to find the top odds.

I’ve been patiently waiting to fade New England, and I believe LAC has the ingredients to not only cover but beat the Pats outright.

Let’s start with New England’s strength of the schedule. It’s widely considered the easiest of any team in the last 25 years. They faced just two playoff teams all year (Buffalo twice, Pittsburgh once), and nine of their games were versus bottom-9 squads per DVOA.

Despite the soft schedule, the Patriots defense fell off a cliff in the second half. They ranked 21st in overall success rate, 31st in rush success rate, and dead last in opponent red zone scoring rate. Not exactly the resume of a Super Bowl odds contender.

NE Patriots Defense Since Week 10

To make matters worse, they struggle to generate pressure which is the most glaring issue with the Chargers offense. LAC is missing its top two tackles, but New England ranks bottom-eight in both pressure rate and sacks.

Offensively, the Pats are top-five in both EPA/play and success rate, but as we’ll discuss with our next selection, the Chargers are built to take away what New England does best.

Then there’s the Drake Maye factor. First time playoff quarterbacks do not have a long track record of success, especially versus postseason tested quarterbacks like Justin Herbert. QB’s making their first start versus a playoff experienced quarterback are 20-39-1 against the spread (34%).

Sticking with the trends, backing Herbert as an underdog is a moneymaker. He’s 13-6-1 ATS all-time as a road underdog of 3 points or more.

Chargers vs Patriots SGP Pick #2: Under 46.0 Points (-110)

Back to Maye and the Pats offense. The NFL MVP odds favorite has shredded opposing defenses with deep passing and explosive throws, but that won’t work against LAC. The Chargers have allowed the fewest explosive passes this season, and rank number one versus deep throws.

They have a negative EPA on deep passes against, recording more interceptions than touchdowns allowed.

As for the LAC offense, I do think they’ll find success on the ground and with running backs in the passing game, but this is far from an efficient unit. Since Week 10, the Chargers rank bottom-three offensively in yards per play, success rate and points per drive.

Still not convinced a low scoring game is on deck? Then consider this: LAC has faced seven playoff teams so far this season, allowing more than 21 points just once. All seven of those games finished with 43 total points or less, while the Chargers back ups just held the Broncos without an offensive touchdown in Week 18, in a game Denver was trying to win.

Chargers vs Patriots SGP Pick #3: Omarion Hampton 3+ Catches (+143)

On to Hampton now, who is set up for success on the ground and through the air. We’re targeting him for 3+ catches in this matchup, a feat he accomplished four times in his past seven games.

Last time out he hauled in all eight of his targets, while he also has two six catch and a five reception game on his 2025 resume.

New England meanwhile, bleeds production to RB’s through the air. They allowed the fifth most receptions to enemy running backs during the regular season, yielding an average of 5 catches to the position per game.

They surrendered five catches to a single RB seven different times, making it viable for you to also bet 4+ catches (+322) or 5+ receptions (+700) if you want to boost your SGP odds even higher.