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Top Player Props to Target in Rams vs Seahawks

Chris Wright

By Chris Wright in NFL News

Published:


Matthew Stafford has intriguing player props in NFC Championship.
Jan 10, 2026; Charlotte, NC, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) drops back to pass against the Carolina Panthers in the first half during the NFC Wild Card Round game at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images
  • QBs Matthew Stafford and Sam Darnold have intriguing Over/Unders
  • Our analysis likes kicker Jason Myers to exceed 1.5 field goals
  • We analyze the Rams vs Seahawks player prop market and recommend the best bets

Who’s ready for Round 3?

Division rivals Los Angeles and Seattle square off again, this time in the NFC Championship. Kickoff is set for 6:30 pm, ET, Sunday January 25 (FOX).

The teams split the two regular-season meetings, each holding serve at home.

The Rams bring explosive offensive firepower led by NFL MVP candidate quarterback Matthew Stafford. Running back Kyren Williams is hot after punching in two touchdowns in the Divisional Round, while the dynamic receiving duo of Puka Nacua (7.5 catches per game in the playoffs) and Davante Adams provides elite target options. Nacua particularly stands out.

Seattle counters with its own offensive weapons, headlined by Kenneth Walker III’s explosive ground attack. Walker ran for three touchdowns in the Divisional Round. Quarterback Sam Darnold added a touchdown pass in that game.

Seattle enters as a consensus 2.5-point home favorite. This comprehensive analysis examines the most compelling player prop opportunities Rams vs. Seahawks.

Rams vs Seahawks Player Props in NFC Championship

Quarterback Passing Props

PlayerTeamPassing YardsPass CompletionsPassing TDs
Matthew StaffordLA254.522.51.5
Sam DarnoldSEA234.519.51.5

Passing Props Analysis: Stafford’s passing yards prop has ticked down from an opening total of 258.5 to 254.5, while his completion total dropped from 23.5 to 22.5. This movement suggests oddsmakers anticipate Seattle’s defense applying more pressure than initially projected, potentially forcing quicker throws and limiting deep shot opportunities. However, his passing touchdown line remains steady at 1.5, indicating confidence in red zone execution.

Darnold experienced similar downward adjustments, with passing yards declining from 237.5 to 234.5 and completions dropping from 20.5 to 19.5. The consistency in both quarterbacks’ touchdown props at 1.5, despite yardage reductions, signals expectations for efficient scoring drives rather than volume-heavy aerial displays in this championship atmosphere.

Rushing & Receiving Player Props

PlayerTeamRushing YardsRushing AttemptsReceiving YardsReceptions
Kyren WilliamsLA53.513.512.52.5
Puka NacuaLA4.51.591.57.5
Davante AdamsLAN/AN/A49.54.5
Blake CorumLA28.57.50.50.5
Kenneth Walker IIISEA85.519.5N/A2.5

Rushing & Receiving Props Analysis: Williams saw his rushing yards drop from 57.5 to 53.5, with attempts declining from 14.5 to 13.5, suggesting oddsmakers expect Seattle’s defensive front to limit his production. However, his receiving props remained stable, indicating the Rams may utilize him more in the passing game.

Nacua’s receiving yards declined from 94.5 to 91.5, though his reception total holds at 7.5. Interestingly, his rushing props increased from 3.5 to 4.5 yards and 0.5 to 1.5 attempts, hinting at potential gadget play usage in crucial championship moments.

Walker represents the most intriguing prop movement. While his rushing yards dropped from 89.5 to 85.5, his receiving yards surged dramatically from 16.5 to 24.5, signaling Seattle’s intention to feature him heavily in the passing attack during this high-stakes encounter.

Touchdown Scorer Props

PlayerTeamAnytime TD ScorerFirst TD Scorer
Kyren WilliamsLA+117+717
Puka NacuaLA+118+717
Davante AdamsLA+126+800
Blake CorumLA+278+1467
Colby ParkinsonLA+325+1800
Tyler HigbeeLA+550+2833
Kenneth Walker IIISEA-156+443
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA+100+658
AJ BarnerSEA+198+1100
Cooper KuppSEA+282+1533
Rashid ShaheedSEA+357+1933
Sam DarnoldSEA+950+4500

Touchdown Props Analysis: Walker stands as the clear favorite at -156 for anytime touchdown, strengthening from opening odds of -165. His championship game momentum following a three-touchdown divisional performance positions him as the premier scoring threat.

The Rams present multiple viable options, with Kyren Williams and Puka Nacua both offering strong value around +117-118. Blake Corum’s odds drifted significantly from +100 to +278, indicating reduced confidence in his championship game role.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba at even money (+100) for anytime touchdown represents compelling value, especially considering his consistent target share and red zone opportunities in Seattle’s balanced offensive attack.

Several key statistical trends emerge from regular season matchups and recent performances that shape championship game prop values:

  • Kenneth Walker III Touchdown Dominance: Walker has scored touchdowns in 73% of his games this season. His championship game momentum makes the anytime touchdown prop highly attractive.
  • Sam Darnold’s Turnover Vulnerability: Sam Darnold’s Turnover Vulnerability: The Rams’ opportunistic secondary recorded 4 interceptions in their last two games, creating a compelling over 0.5 interceptions prop scenario.
  • Puka Nacua’s Target Consistency: Nacua’s 7.5 reception prop offers solid value given his chemistry with Stafford in high-pressure situations.
  • Jason Myers’ Field Goal Reliability: The Seattle kicker hit multiple field goals in 71% of games, making his over 1.5 field goals prop particularly attractive for championship game scoring scenarios.

Rams vs Seahawks Top Player Props

Matthew Stafford Over 254.5 Passing Yards (-113) — FanDuel

Stafford has been the engine of the Rams’ playoff run, averaging 281 yards through the air across two games. Despite a Seattle defense that showcased dominance in the divisional round, Stafford’s chemistry with Nacua and Adams provides a high floor in a game where the Rams are expected to be trailing. Weather conditions will be favorable Sunday. The Rams will likely use a pass-heavy script to stay competitive, making the ‘Over’ on his yardage a premier play. Stafford threw for a season-high 457 yards in the Rams’ 38-37 overtime loss at Seattle in mid-December.

Kenneth Walker III Anytime Touchdown (-156) — DraftKings

Walker enters this championship clash as the most reliable scoring option on either roster. His three-touchdown divisional performance caps a season where he’s found the end zone in 73% of games, averaging 116 rushing yards per game with an explosive 6.11 yards per carry.

The statistical foundation proves compelling: Seattle averages 41.0 points per game with 66.7% red zone touchdown efficiency (4 touchdowns on 6 attempts). Walker’s championship momentum combines with Seattle’s potent offensive system to create a high-probability scoring scenario. Walker’s championship momentum combines with Seattle’s potent offensive system to create a high-probability scoring scenario.

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Sam Darnold Over 0.5 Interceptions (-158) — FanDuel

Darnold faces a Los Angeles defense that forced turnovers at an elite rate down the stretch, recording 4 interceptions over their last two games while maintaining a +3 turnover differential. The quarterback’s oblique injury (questionable status) adds another layer of concern for throwing mechanics and decision-making under championship pressure.

Historical context supports this prop: Darnold threw six interceptions against the Rams in two games this season, including four in the loss at Seattle.

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Jason Myers Over 1.5 Field Goals (-157) — BetMGM

Myers presents exceptional value based on Seattle’s offensive tendencies and his accuracy. Myers has made at least two field goals in 14 games this season, including in Seattle’s Divisional Round win. He made four field goals in an earlier loss to the Rams.

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Rams vs Seahawks Injury Report

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatusFantasy/Betting Impact
SEASam DarnoldQBObliqueLimited ParticipationOblique injury may affect throwing mechanics; supports the Over 0.5 Interceptions prop and could limit passing yardage.
SEAJaxon Smith-NjigbaWRRestLimited ParticipationLimited practice suggests potential snap count management; monitor for impact on his 89.5 receiving yards prop.
SEACharles CrossTFootDid Not ParticipateAbsence of the starting tackle significantly weakens pass protection, increasing Darnold’s turnover risk.
SEALeonard WilliamsDTRestLimited ParticipationInterior presence is crucial for stopping Kyren Williams; limited status could boost Rams rushing prop outlook.
LAEmmanuel Forbes Jr.CBShoulderLimited ParticipationKey secondary piece; any limitation could open more opportunities for JSN and Cooper Kupp in the passing game.
LAByron YoungOLBKneeDid Not ParticipateAbsence of a primary pass rusher reduces pressure on Darnold, potentially hurting the Rams’ defensive interception props.

Championship Impact Analysis: Seattle’s injury report presents more significant concerns, particularly Sam Darnold’s oblique issue and Charles Cross’s foot injury. An oblique injury can severely impact a quarterback’s throwing power and accuracy, directly supporting the interception prop while potentially limiting all Seattle passing game props.

The potential absence of Cross creates a domino effect: weaker pass protection increases Darnold’s turnover risk while potentially limiting Walker’s rushing effectiveness behind a compromised offensive line. However, if the Rams’ pass rush is also limited by Byron Young’s knee injury, it could offset some of Seattle’s protection concerns.

Rams vs Seahawks NFC Championship Game Odds

  • Moneyline: Seattle Seahawks (-144) | Los Angeles Rams (+121)
  • Spread: Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (-112) | Los Angeles Rams +2.5 (-108)
  • Total: Over 47 (-109) | Under 47 (-111)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM

The Seahawks enter as narrow home favorites, with their moneyline strengthening slightly from an opening of -154 to -144, indicating increased confidence in their championship game prospects. The total dropped marginally from 47.5 to 47, suggesting oddsmakers anticipate a more defensively oriented championship battle than initially projected. This line movement supports field goal props and defensive-oriented plays while maintaining realistic expectations for a high-scoring NFC West clash. The Seattle kicker converted 100% of field goal attempts this season, making his over 1.5 field goals prop particularly attractive for championship game scoring scenarios.

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Chris Wright

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Chris Wright is an Evergreen and AI editor for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.

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