Gauff vs Svitolina Picks, Predictions & Odds for Jan 27
By Ryan Potts in Tennis
Published:
- Top-ranked American Coco Gauff looks to make the semifinal at the Australian Open
- Elina Svitolina aims to make her fourth Grand Slam semifinal
- Continue reading for Gauff vs Svitolina picks, predictions, and odds for Jan. 27
World No. 3 and top-ranked American, Coco Gauff, faces No. 12 Elina Svitolina for the second semifinal spot at the 2026 Australian Open. Both Gauff and Svitolina have equalled their performance at the 2025 Aussie Open, but they have their sights set on the semifinals and beyond.
Gauff vs Svitolina is scheduled for 3:00 am ET on Tuesday morning (7:00 pm local time) in Rod Laver Arena.
Gauff is a big favorite, and she can be found as short as 10-to-1 to win the whole tournament in the Australian Open odds.
Gauff vs Svitolina Picks
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Gauff vs Svitolina Predictions
In a battle of strengths, I expect this match to go the distance. Gauff has lived on the edge in recent rounds, winning each of her last two matches in the third set. Svitolina has dominated, winning all eight sets so far in Melbourne.
The key will be Gauff’s service game. She is the WTA’s most prone to double fault, so limiting free points for Svitolina must be a priority. Svitolina has been a dominant service player but not as dominant as a return player. Gauff must force Svitolina to return over and over.
In a potential three-set match, I see value in the +176 line for Svitolina. If you are betting on Gauff, I would recommend taking her with an exact 2-0 set score as opposed to laying -200 odds.
Gauff vs Svitolina Odds: Best-Available Lines
For Coco Gauff bettors, take -200 on the moneyline at Caesars or -3.5 games at BetMGM (-110 odds). For Elina Svitolina bettors, take +176 on the moneyline at FanDuel or +3.5 games, also at FanDuel (-112 odds).
For this best-of-three match, you can get under 2.5 sets for -185 on DraftKings or over 2.5 sets for +150 on Caesars.
The game total is set between 20.5 and 21.5. Over bettors should take the over 20.5 line from FanDuel (-122 odds) while under bettors should take under 21.5 games from Caesars (-110 odds).
Gauff vs Svitolina Stats
Gauff is the higher-ranked player both officially and by Elo rating, but Svitolina has been strong in 2026. In particular, she has used a strong service game to jump on her opponents early. She has won 69.2% of her first serves and 53% of her second serves, both well above the average. She has won an excellent 63.4% of service points and a whopping 85.8% of service games.
Gauff’s serve has been inconsistent this year. She has 28 double faults (the most of the year) with just five aces to her name. She is below the WTA average in winning second serves and saving break points.
However, Gauff has been strong in the return game. She has won a healthy 48.7% of return points with an above-average rate of winning on first returns and second returns. She has won half of her return games this year, compared to Svitolina’s 28.9%.
When Svitolina is serving, it will be strength versus strength with Gauff’s elite return game.
Elo ratings are sourced from Tennis Abstract.
Gauff’s Path to the Quarterfinals
Gauff has battled through three-set matches in each of her last two outings. In the third round, she managed to come from a set down to smash Hailey Baptiste, winning 12 of the last 15 games.
Svitolina’s Path to the Quarterfinals
Svitolina has yet to drop a set in Melbourne, dispatching a pair of ranked players in Diana Shnaider and Mirra Andreeva. Svitolina was particularly dominant even as the lower-ranked player, winning 12 of 18 games against Andreeva.
Previous Australian Open Performances
Gauff’s career-best performance in Melbourne is a semifinal appearance in 2024. Heading into this tournament, the Australian was Gauff’s second-worst Grand Slam by winning percentage, posting a 16-6 record. Gauff has five career Grand Slam semifinal appearances.
Svitolina has equalled her best performance ever at the Australian this year, her fourth time reaching the quarters in Melbourne. It is her 14th career Grand Slam quarterfinal, but she only has a 3-10 record in this round. Australia is Svitolina’s second-best Grand Slam as she had a 71% win rate heading into the tournament.
Gauff vs Svitolina H2H Record
Coco Gauff holds a 2-1 edge lifetime against Elina Svitolina. However, Svitolina won the lone matchup at the Australian Open, back in 2021. Gauff secured a pair of three-set wins in 2024 to take the lead in the series.
At Grand Slam events, Gauff and Svitolina are 1-1 against one another. Svitolina won in the second round of the 2021 Australian Open, and Gauff won in the third round of the 2024 US Open.
Ryan Potts is a veteran football and baseball content creator. He was previously a credentialed NFL media member, covering the draft, bombine, and Super Bowl. He has been featured on Atlanta sports talk radio and Arizona student radio. Ryan is a journalism graduate from the University of Arizona.