Warriors vs Timberwolves Player Props & Picks for Jan 26

• Anthony Edwards averaged 36.2 PPG average over his past four games
• Brandin Podziemski presents excellent value on his assists over 4.5
• Our expert analysis reviews the top player props and makes the best bet recommendations for Warriors vs Timberwolves

Stephen Curry scored 26 points to lead Golden State to a 111-85 victory at Minnesota on Sunday. Anthony Edward poured in a game-high 32 points but didn’t get much help from his Timberwolves teammates.

Tonight, the Warriors and Timberwolves play the second game of their back-to-back at Target Center. Tip-off set is for 9:30 pm, ET (Peacock).

Despite Sunday’s loss, the Timberwolves are a consensus 7.5-point home favorite to bounce back tonight and end their current five-game losing streak.

This analysis focuses on the player prop market and offers our expert betting advice.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Player Props

The most notable line movement centers around Anthony Edwards’ scoring total, which opened at 30.5 points at WilliamHillNewJersey but settled at the consensus 29.5 across most books. This adjustment reflects Edwards’ recent volatility despite his impressive four-game scoring average, suggesting oddsmakers are accounting for potential regression.

Stephen Curry’s made threes prop at 4.5 (+105) presents intriguing value, particularly given Golden State’s league-leading three-point volume of 44.7 attempts per game. The positive odds indicate books are slightly concerned about his efficiency against Minnesota’s perimeter defense.

Rudy Gobert’s rebounding total shows some variance, with MGM initially setting the line at 12.5 before other books settled at 11.5. This discrepancy highlights different evaluations of Golden State’s rebounding struggles, as the Warriors rank 21st in total rebounding percentage at 49.0%.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Player Prop Best Bets

After analyzing recent performance trends, matchup dynamics, and injury situations, two player props stand out as exceptional value plays for tonight’s contest.

Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points (-123) – FanDuel

Edwards scored 32 on Sunday and is averaging 36.2 points per game over his past four contests. This recent production significantly exceeds his season-long home average of 26.2 PPG, indicating he’s on a heater.

The Warriors’ road defense allows 114.2 points per game, ranking in the bottom half of the league away from home. Edwards has exceeded 29.5 points in four consecutive games, establishing a 100% hit rate over this recent sample. His aggressive shot selection and improved efficiency make this over an excellent value play despite the juice.

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Brandin Podziemski Over 4.5 Assists (+104) – DraftKings

With Butler sidelined for the season, Podziemski has seamlessly transitioned into an expanded playmaking role for Golden State. His 5.8 assists per game over his last five contests demonstrates his comfort level operating within the Warriors’ ball-movement system.

The positive odds on this prop present exceptional value given Podziemski’s recent consistency. Golden State’s league-leading assist rate (28.8 per game) and emphasis on ball movement create numerous opportunities for secondary playmakers to accumulate assists.

Podziemski has exceeded 4.5 assists in five consecutive games (100% hit rate), establishing a clear trend of surpassing this total while operating in his expanded role. The plus-money odds make this prop an outstanding value play.

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Minnesota’s Elite Interior Defense Fuels Rebounding Props

The Timberwolves possess the NBA’s second-ranked defense (109.9 defensive rating) anchored by their league-leading 5.5 blocks per game. This rim protection forces opponents into difficult shots while creating extra rebounding opportunities for their frontcourt players.

This defensive foundation directly supports Rudy Gobert’s rebounding over 11.5 (-140), as Minnesota’s shot-altering ability increases available boards. The Timberwolves’ ability to limit opponent field goal percentage to .462 means more missed shots to corral, benefiting both Gobert and Julius Randle’s rebounding totals.

Golden State’s Three-Point Volume Supports Shooting Props

The Warriors lead the NBA in three-point makes (16.3 per game) and attempts (44.7 per game), creating a high-volume environment for their perimeter shooters. Their exceptional ball movement, evidenced by ranking fourth in assists per game (28.8) and third in assisted field goal percentage (69.9%), generates quality looks from beyond the arc.

This offensive philosophy directly correlates with Stephen Curry’s made threes over 4.5 (+105) and provides context for Donte DiVincenzo’s three-point prop at 3.5 (+126). The Warriors’ commitment to pace and space creates multiple opportunities for their shooters to exceed their totals. It’s worth noting that Curry is nursing a knee issue. He was listed as questionable for Sunday’s game and played. Monitor is status ahead of game time.

Golden State’s Rebounding Deficiencies Create Value

The Warriors’ 21st-ranked total rebounding percentage (49.0%) represents a significant vulnerability that opposing big men consistently exploit. They surrender 11.6 offensive rebounds per game, providing second-chance opportunities while limiting their own transition scoring.

This weakness creates excellent value for Minnesota’s frontcourt props, particularly Gobert’s rebounding total and Randle’s double-double potential. The Warriors’ inability to control the glass should lead to inflated rebounding numbers for Minnesota’s interior players.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Injury Impact

Jimmy Butler III’s torn right ACL, suffered on January 19, 2026, represents the most significant injury. His absence benefits Brandin Podziemski’s assists prop at 4.5 (+104), as he’s absorbed additional ball-handling duties in Butler’s absence. The usage shift also creates potential value in Stephen Curry’s scoring and assists totals, assuming he plays the second game of a back-to-back.

Day-to-Day Concerns Add Volatility

Jonathan Kuminga (knee) and Seth Curry (back) remain questionable after missing Sunday’s game.

For Minnesota, Terrence Shannon Jr.’s day-to-day foot injury has minimal impact on primary prop markets, as he plays a limited role.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Odds & Betting Information

The Timberwolves enter as substantial home favorites, despite losing at home to the Warriors on Sunday.