College Basketball Picks & Best Bets Tonight (Feb 13)

• Sharps fade public sentiment on Saint Louis, backing Loyola Chicago as massive home underdogs
• Michigan State targets a pivotal Big Ten road cover against Wisconsin in Madison
• Our A.I. tools recommend the best college basketball bets for February 13

No. 10 Michigan State, No. 18 Saint Louis and No. 23 Miami (Ohio) are all in action tonight, highlighting a busy February 13 slate.

Michigan State is a narrow favorite at Wisconsin. Saint Louis, which has won 17 consecutive games, is a heavy road favorite at Loyola, and Miami (Ohio) is a heavy home favorite against Ohio.

From early tip-offs in the Atlantic 10 to late-night Mountain West clashes featuring Boise State hosting the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, bettors have a wide array of lines to attack. Whether backing surging road favorites like Saint Louis or hunting for value with home squads in the MAAC, today’s schedule offers high-stakes matchups across the board.

Here are the best bets for these six college basketball games on February 13.

Expert College Basketball Predictions for Feb 13

Our A.I. tools need to bounce back after going 3-7 on Thursday, Feb. 12. Based on current market trends, efficiency metrics, and line movement analysis, here are the projected best bets for today’s NCAAM slate.

All odds and lines listed above are sourced from consensus sportsbooks at the time of publication.

Perhaps the most fascinating movement on the board involves Saint Louis and its trip to Loyola Chicago. While the college basketball betting public is heavily backing the Billikens — likely chasing their impressive winning streak — with 87.17% of the moneyline tickets, the handle tells a completely different story. Loyola has commanded 67.36% of the moneyline stake despite receiving just 12.83% of the bets. This drastic “Pros vs. Joes” disparity suggests that larger, more sophisticated wagers are anticipating the home underdog to stand their ground.

In the Mountain West, the spread action is decidedly one-sided favoring the road team. UNLV is seeing overwhelming support against the spread at ExtraMile Arena. Currently, 69.85% of spread bets and a commanding 76.85% of the handle are on the Runnin’ Rebels to cover the number against Boise State. While the Broncos remain a heavy favorite on the moneyline (garnering 93.64% of straight-up bets), bettors are clearly banking on a competitive contest that stays within the 9.5-point spread.

In the Atlantic 10 clash at the Charles E. Smith Center, bettors are lining up behind the road squad. The George Mason Patriots are attracting 69.43% of the spread tickets and an even more significant 79.84% of the money wagered. This alignment of ticket count and handle indicates strong market confidence in George Mason’s ability to cover against the George Washington Revolutionaries.

Finally, while spreads dominate the conversation, the total in the Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Siena Saints matchup at MVP Arena is seeing steady upward pressure. With the line sitting at 143.5, 60.14% of the bets and 62.42% of the money are on the OVER, suggesting bettors expect a faster pace or higher efficiency than the initial projection implied.

Saint Louis at Loyola Chicago Picks & Predictions

Picks: Loyola +19 (-110 at Bet365) | Over 155.5 (-110 at Fanatics)

Saint Louis is 23-1 — and its only loss was by 1 point to Stanford — with a No. 20 RPI ranking, but the betting markets suggest this line has become inflated. Despite the public hammering the Billikens, sharp money has taken a position on Loyola Chicago to stay within the massive 19.0-point number at Joseph J. Gentile Arena.

The Ramblers are just 6-19, but they possess a defensive difference-maker in Miles Rubin, who leads the Atlantic 10 with 58 blocks this season. His ability to alter shots at the rim could be enough to disrupt Saint Louis’ rhythm just enough to cover the spread. On the offensive end, Saint Louis features a potent attack led by Robbie Avila (12.8 PPG) and Trey Green (12.0 PPG), suggesting the Billikens will still find scoring avenues. With the total set at 155.5, and both teams showing defensive lapses at times, the Over is the correlated play alongside the home underdog cover.

UNLV at Boise State Picks & Predictions

Picks: UNLV +10 (-110 at Fanatics) | Under 156 (-110 at Fanatics)

Boise State (15-9) is 9-2 at home, but UNLV (12-12 overall) has enough firepower to keep this contest competitive. The primary catalyst for the Rebels is Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (18.7 points per game). His scoring ability provides UNLV with a reliable closer to prevent the extended scoring droughts that typically doom road teams in the Mountain West.

While Boise State’s Dylan Andrews (12.3 PPG) and Andrew Meadow lead a balanced attack, the Rebels have garnered nearly 70% of the spread bets, indicating strong confidence in their ability to cover the 9.5 points. Defensively, Boise State holds opponents to a lower effective field goal percentage, and with UNLV fighting to stay close, expect a grind-it-out game pace that leans toward the Under 155.5.

Michigan State at Wisconsin Picks & Predictions

Picks: MSU -1.5 (-110 at FanDuel) | Under 146.0 (-110 at Fanatics)

No. 10 Michigan State (20-4, 10-3 Big Ten) looks to stay in the Big Ten title hunt at Wisconsin (17-7, 9-4 B1G). Spartans guard Jeremy Fears Jr. leads the B1G with 9.1 assists per game. His ability to control the tempo and find open looks for shooters like Jaxon Kohler gives Michigan State a distinct efficiency advantage in the half-court.

Kohler is also a force on the glass, averaging 9.38 rebounds per game, which should limit Wisconsin’s second-chance opportunities—a critical factor in road conference games. The short road spread offers value. Furthermore, Big Ten battles often devolve into defensive struggles; with the total sitting at 146, the Under is the prudent play in what should be a physical affair.

George Mason at George Washington Picks & Predictions

Picks: GMU +2.5 (-105 DraftKings) | Over 148.5 (-110 at Fanatics)

The disparity between the records and the betting line in this matchup is striking. George Mason is 21-4 yet finds itself as a 2.5-point underdog against a 14-11 George Washington squad. The market has reacted swiftly, with nearly 80% of the handle backing the Patriots, and the statistical profile supports this move.

George Mason is powered by Kory Mincy, who leads the team in scoring (15.6 PPG) and creates significant mismatch problems on the perimeter. While George Washington has a rim protector in Rafael Castro (31 blocks), its defense frequently allows high point totals. With both Mincy and GW’s Garrett Johnson (13.4 PPG) capable of heating up, expect a high-scoring affair that clears the 148.5 total, with the Patriots poised to cover and potentially win outright.