NBA Three-Point Contest Predictions, Picks & Odds (2026)

• The NBA Three-Point Contest goes down tonight as part of All-Star Saturday
• Rookie Kon Knueppel is the betting favorite, but Donovan Mitchell offers the most value
• Keep reading for my NBA Three-Point Contest predictions and picks, along with the latest odds

The NBA’s Three-Point Contest goes down tonight as part of All-Star Saturday inside the Intuit Dome, in Los Angeles, California. The league’s premier sharpshooters will take part, including the 2023 and 2024 winner Damian Lillard. The Trail Blazers guard is currently rehabbing a torn Achilles, but the injury won’t stop him from trying to take a home more hardware.

Online sportsbooks have pegged Hornets rookie Kon Knueppel as the favorite, in front of Lillard and Nuggets guard Jamal Murray. A little further down the board we’ll find Donovan Mitchell, who’s my favorite selection to take home the title.

Here are my NBA Three-Point Contest predictions and picks, along with the latest odds.

NBA Three-Point Contest Odds (2026)

Mitchell is currently priced at +750, which is the third longest price on the board. In addition to the names already mentioned, the field also includes Suns guard Devin Booker, Sixers guard Tyrese Maxey, Heat guard Norman Powell, and Bucks big man Bobby Portis.

NBA Three-Point Contest Predictions

• Donovan Mitchell (+750 at DraftKings)

There are a few different stats I’m looking at when trying to predict a winner. Wide open 3’s is an obvious one, but while most people look at catch and shoot percentage, I think it makes more sense to look at how players perform on handoffs. After all, players are not receiving a pass and then shooting, but rather reaching across their body to grab a ball – similar to a handoff.

We should also look at long range threes, or logo shots. Those balls are worth three points, and swung last year’s competition, allowing Tyler Herro to steal the title.

NBA Three-Point Contest Winners – Last 5 Years

I can’t fathom betting Knueppel at the top, if for no other reason than he’s never been in this type of situation before. Yes, the NBA rookie of the year odds candidate is having a tremendous season shooting the ball, but let’s see how he does surrounded by the best in the world before we anoint him the three-point king.

As for Lillard, he’s an insta-fade for me as well. We have no idea how his injured Achilles will hold up, as it will take multiple rounds to take home the trophy. In my opinion, he should be priced down in the Maxey, Mitchell and Powell range, rather than close to the top.

Speaking of Mitchell, he’s been here before and is in the midst of one of his finest shooting seasons. He leads the NBA in made 3’s, and is shooting a staggering 50% on wide open triples.

Also working in his favor, is a 42% shooting percentage on handoffs, and a 38.4% field goal percentage on long range threes, which is one of the best marks of any shooter in the competition.

The icing on the cake is the price. I’ll gladly take a swing on the NBA’s current three-point leader at +750 odds

NBA Three-Point Contest Picks

• Tyrese Maxey (+700 at DraftKings)

Sticking in the same range as Mitchell, I’m also betting Maxey at a similar number. Maxey currently ranks fourth in made threes this season, and has 26 games with 4+ triples already, the most in the NBA.

He also checks the box on handoff shooting percentage (49.4%), wide open threes (40.5%), and ranks just behind Mitchell in field goal percentage on long range triples (38.1%).

Maxey is one the most electrifying players we have in today’s NBA, and is a legit threat to win not only this competition, but also tomorrow’s MVP honors (+1200) in the All-Star Game.