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Best Top 25 College Basketball Picks Today – A.I. Predictions on Tuesday, March 3

Chris Wright

By Chris Wright in College Basketball

Published:


The Florida Gators try to extend their winning streak tonight.
Feb 28, 2026; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators players celebrate with head coach Todd Golden and center Rueben Chinyelu (9) following the game against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. Mandatory Credit: Travis Register-Imagn Images
  • 12 Top 25 teams are in action tonight
  • Undefeated Miami (OH) risks its perfect 29-0 record in a high-stakes MAC clash with Toledo.
  • Our internal A.I. tools have generated the best ATS picks for Tuesday, March 3

Tuesday’s college basketball slate is loaded as 12 teams in the AP Top 25 are in action.

Notably, No. 19 Miami (Ohio) puts its perfect, 29-0 record on the line against Toledo.

No. 5 Florida, No. 9 Nebraska, No. 10 Texas Tech, No. 11 Illinois, No. 13 Virginia, No. 14 Kansas, No. 16 Alabama, No. 17 North Carolina, No. 18 St. John’s, and No. 24 Nebraska will all engage in conference games as we race toward the postseason.

Our internal A.I. tools have generated the best ATS and O/U picks for all 12 games featuring Top 25 teams on March 3.

Expert College Basketball Predictions for March 3

MatchupATS PickTotal Pick
Tennessee @ South CarolinaTennessee -8 (-120 at Bet365)Over 143.5 (-108 at DraftKings)
Alabama @ GeorgiaAlabama -1.0 (-110 at Fanatics)Over 179.5 (-105 at DraftKings)
TCU @ Texas TechTexas Tech -9.5 (-110 at BetMGM)Under 148.5 (-115 at DraftKings)
Clemson @ North CarolinaNorth Carolina -3.5 (-110 at Fanatics)Over 141.5 (-110 at Fanatics)
Wake Forest @ VirginiaWake Forest +14.5 (+115 at FanDuel)Under 148.5 (-110 at Fanatics)
Georgetown @ St. John’sSt. John’s -15.5 (-110 at Fanatics)Over 148.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Mississippi State @ FloridaFlorida -22.5 (-110 at FanDuel)Over 160.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Toledo @ Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -8.5 (-110 at FanDuel)Under 162.5 (-110 at Fanatics)
Oregon @ IllinoisIllinois -18.5 (-110 at Fanatics)Under 147 (-110 at Fanatics)
Kansas @ Arizona StateKansas -5 (-120 at Bet365)Over 151.5 (-110 at Fanatics)
Vanderbilt @ Ole MissVanderbilt -6.5 (-115 at FanDuel)Under 153.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Nebraska @ UCLANebraska +1.5 (-118 at DraftKings)Under 143.5 (-105 at FanDuel)

(23) Tennessee @ South Carolina Picks

  • ATS Pick: Tennessee -8 (-120 at Bet365)
  • Total Pick: Over 143.5 (-108 at DraftKings)

Despite a pedestrian 4-5 road record, Tennessee (20-9) enters Colonial Life Arena with a distinct schematic and talent edge over a South Carolina (12-17) squad struggling for consistency. The college basketball public betting market has hammered this line for a reason; the Volunteers possess the offensive firepower and efficiency to distance themselves from the Gamecocks’ defense.

The total of 143.5 looks approachable given the marquee guard matchup. Tennessee’s Ja’Kobi Gillespie is averaging 18.4 points and 5.4 assists per game, driving a potent attack that should find rhythm. On the other side, the Gamecocks will be forced to keep pace through Meechie Johnson (17.2 PPG). With both guards ranking among the conference’s top 15 in scoring production, a high-volume shooting night is expected, pushing this game over the total as Tennessee covers the spread.

(16) Alabama @ Georgia Picks

Alabama (22-7) is a small road favorite against unranked Georgia (20-9). While the Bulldogs boast a strong 13-4 record at Stegeman Coliseum, the Crimson Tide have the top-end talent to spoil the party. Alabama features the conference’s third-leading scorer in Labaron Philon Jr. (21.4 PPG), who provides the offensive ceiling necessary to win in a hostile environment.

The astronomical total of 179.5 is justified by the pace and individual scoring talent, including Georgia’s Jeremiah Wilkinson (17.7 PPG). However, the interior matchup suggests points will be contested at the rim; the game features the SEC’s top two shot-blockers in Georgia’s Somto Cyril and Alabama’s Aiden Sherrell. Despite the rim protection, the sheer volume of possessions and perimeter scoring power favors the Over, with Alabama offering value as a short road favorite.

TCU @ (10) Texas Tech Picks

  • ATS Pick: Texas Tech -9.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
  • Total Pick: Under 148.5 (-115 at DraftKings)

Texas Tech (22-7) is 14-1 at home. It faces a TCU Horned Frogs squad (19-10) that has been mediocre on the road. Even with roster adjustments due to injuries in the frontcourt, the Red Raiders have maintained their edge. Christian Anderson has stepped up significantly, recently posting 21 points and 11 rebounds, proving Tech can still control the glass and limit second-chance points.

While TCU has a defensive anchor in David Punch (over 2.0 blocks/game), holding off Tech’s offense at home is a tall order. The Under 147.5 is the play here, as Texas Tech’s ability to control the tempo and suffocate TCU’s offensive opportunities should allow them to pull away for a comfortable cover in a game that stays under the total.

(14) Kansas @ Arizona State Picks

  • ATS Pick: Kansas -5 (-120 at Bet365)
  • Total Pick: Over 151.5 (-110 at Fanatics)

Kansas (21-8) travels to Tempe as a moderate road favorite, looking to exploit an Arizona State team (15-14) hovering near .500. The Jayhawks have the personnel to dictate this game, led by Darryn Peterson (19.7 PPG) and the efficient Flory Bidunga, who leads the conference with a 64.8% field goal percentage.

The betting markets have shown sharp interest in the Over, and the stats align with that movement. ASU features a true facilitator in Moe Odum, who ranks fourth in the Big 12 with 170 total assists and adds 17.1 points per game himself. With Odum pushing the pace and Kansas capitalizing on high-percentage interior looks from Bidunga, this game has the ingredients of a shootout. Expect Kansas to cover the 5.5 points in a high-scoring affair that clears the 151.5 mark.

Clemson @ (17) North Carolina Picks

  • ATS Pick: North Carolina -3.5 (-110 at Fanatics)
  • Total Pick: Over 141.5 (-110 at Fanatics)

North Carolina (23-6) defends home court against a tough Clemson (21-8) squad in a crucial ACC showdown. The Tar Heels are fighting for optimal ACC tournament seeding and have been formidable at the Smith Center. Expect UNC’s offense to dictate the pace, allowing the Heels to cover the modest 3.5-point spread in a matchup that clears the 141.5-point total.

Wake Forest @ (13) Virginia Picks

  • ATS Pick: Wake Forest +14.5 (+115 at FanDuel)
  • Total Pick: Under 148.5 (-110 at Fanatics)

Virginia (25-4) boasts a stellar home record, but laying 14.5 points against an ACC rival like Wake Forest (15-14) is a tall order. The Cavaliers’ pace limits possessions, making large covers difficult. Take the Demon Deacons to keep it within the number in a game that heavily leans toward the Under.

Georgetown @ (18) St. John’s Picks

  • ATS Pick: St. John’s -15.5 (-110 at Fanatics)
  • Total Pick: Over 148.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

St. John’s (23-6) has been an offensive juggernaut under Rick Pitino and welcomes a struggling Georgetown (13-16) team to Madison Square Garden. The Red Storm have the firepower to blow this game open early. Expect St. John’s to cover the hefty spread while pushing the total Over 148 in a fast-paced Big East clash.

Mississippi State @ (5) Florida Picks

  • ATS Pick: Florida -22.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
  • Total Pick: Over 160.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Florida (23-6) is arguably the hottest team in the nation, riding a nine-game win streak that includes an unbeaten February. The Gators host a Mississippi State (13-16) team that will struggle to keep up with the Gators’ elite scoring depth. While 22.5 points is a massive spread, Florida’s recent blowouts suggest they can handle it easily in a game that hits the Over.

Toledo @ (19) Miami (OH) Picks

  • ATS Pick: Miami (OH) -8.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
  • Total Pick: Under 162.5 (-110 at Fanatics)

The nation’s only remaining undefeated team, Miami (OH) (29-0), puts its perfect record on the line against MAC rival Toledo (16-13). The RedHawks have the motivation and the talent to handle business at Millett Hall. Look for Miami to comfortably cover the 8.5 points, controlling the tempo and keeping the total Under 162.5.

Oregon @ (11) Illinois Picks

  • ATS Pick: Illinois -18.5 (-110 at Fanatics)
  • Total Pick: Under 147 (-110 at Fanatics)

Illinois (22-7) welcomes an Oregon (11-18) team that has stumbled mightily this season. The Illini are virtually unbeatable at the State Farm Center and possess overwhelming offensive advantages in this Big Ten matchup. Illinois should have no problem covering the 18.5-point spread in a game dictated by its defense, keeping the total Under.

(24) Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss Picks

  • ATS Pick: Vanderbilt -6.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
  • Total Pick: Under 153.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Vanderbilt (22-7) hits the road to face an Ole Miss (12-17) team desperate for momentum. The Commodores have been remarkably consistent, and laying 6.5 points against a lower-tier SEC opponent is a highly favorable spot. Expect Vandy’s efficiency to secure the cover in a game that stays Under 153.5.

(9) Nebraska @ UCLA Picks

  • ATS Pick: Nebraska +1.5 (-118 at DraftKings)
  • Total Pick: Under 143.5 (-105 at FanDuel)

In a fascinating Big Ten duel, Nebraska (25-4) travels to Pauley Pavilion as a slight road underdog against UCLA (19-10). The Huskers have proven to be road warriors this season, and their balanced attack should break through the Bruins’ typically stout home defense. Back Nebraska to edge out a win straight-up in a tight, low-scoring affair.

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Chris Wright

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Chris Wright is an Evergreen and AI editor for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.

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