Texas Children’s Houston Open Picks, Predictions & Odds
By Michael Harrison in Golf
Published:
- The Texas Children’s Houston Open tees off Thursday, March 26th
- Scottie Scheffler is the heavy +270 favorite to win outright over defending champion Min Woo Lee
- See my 2026 Texas Children’s Houston Open picks, best value bets, and the odds to win the tournament
After Matt Fitzpatrick won the final leg of the Florida swing at the Valspar Championship with +1800 pre-tourney odds, the PGA Tour heads to Texas. It’s the first stop in a mini swing in the Lone Star State, and it marks the second last tournament before the Masters.
The Texas Children’s Houston Open is headlined by Scottie Scheffler, who has had a great track record at the Memorial Park Municipal Golf Course, but hasn’t lifted the trophy. In three of the last four Houston Open’s, the world #1 has been the runner-up. Min Woo Lee clipped him by one stroke last year for his first career PGA Tour triumph, and he has the second shortest odds to go back-to-back.
Texas Children’s Houston Open Odds (2026)
I’m starting my card this week with a golfer I’ve been touting a lot this season, and firmly believe he’s destined to break through and claim his breakthrough PGA Tour victory. Earlier in the campaign, he was T-3rd at the WM Phoenix Open, a shot out of a playoff. That was his fifth top-5 in the last year, and he entered the final round of the Players Championship two weeks ago in the final group. A difficult final day saw him tumbling down the board (T-22nd), but he’s so close to a breakthrough.
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Last Texas Children’s Houston Open Winners
What’s also especially appealing about Thorbjornsen is he sports +3800 odds to win outright, which is longer than the top-12 golfers on the board. If he was among the favorites, I’d have a harder time pulling the trigger if he had a +2000 listed price, for example, but at nearly double that, I’m very happy getting him with that number.
Texas Children’s Houston Open 2026 Picks & Value Bets
- Sungjae Im +5700: Sungjae Im looked poised to claim his third career victory Sunday, as he led entering the final round. However, he shot a poor 74 on the last day, falling to T-4th. Given that he was playing tremendous golf around a very difficult course at the Copperhead, I still really love him at these odds.
- Gary Woodland +11500: Gary Woodland had his best finish of 2026, T-14th at the Valspar. Last year, he very nearly came out on top at this venue, finishing runner-up to Min Woo Lee. He’s posted top-25s and top-10s the two Houston Open’s before that, so he’s comfortable at this track. This would be a massively popular win, given his recent interview revealing he has PTSD following brain surgery.
- David Lipsky +18500: David Lipsky was battling with Matt Fitzpatrick all the way to the end at the Valspar, only to wind up as the runner-up. If he needs inspiration for coming oh-so close, Fitzpatrick was second at the Players, then won the Valspar the next week, which Lipsky could replicate. He’s still searching for his first trophy on the main circuit, but has four top-5s in the last year, so he’s worth the flier at these long odds.
- Alejandro Tosti +57500: It’s been a rough year for Alejandro Tosti, who made his first cut in seven starts at the Valspar Championship (T-30th). However, at this wild number, it’s too good not to sprikle a little coin on. The last two year’s at the Houston Open, the Argentinian has been T-2nd and T-5th, so he’s a horse for this course. It’s probably a bit too much to expect him to defeat the entire field, but he’ll be interesting to monitor in the top 5/10/20 markets.
Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.