Skip to content

Home Runs Picks for Friday, March 27 – Get 3 HR Bets That Are All +560 or Longer

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


Mar 26, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Mariners right fielder Luke Raley (20) celebrates in the dugout after hitting a home run against the Cleveland Guardians during the fifth inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images
  • It’s Dinger Day in the MLB on Friday, March 27
  • We’ve got a million games on the slate, so finding two guys to get us paid should be easy
  • See below for my three best home run plays for today

We did it! We made it through Opening Day of baseball season. There are guys that will tell you that the excitement for baseball drops off drastically after Opening Day, but I disagree. In my opinion, it just gets better. Why? Because of dongs. There is just something about the opportunity to become filthy rich from guys hitting bombs that gets the blood pumping every single day of the week. In fact, I prefer that it NOT be Opening Day. It’s too hard to get a good list of guys on the first day of the season. We need a little data in our lives, and we just don’t have the best of it on the first day. Lucky for us, today is the second day of the season, so we’re heading in the right direction data-wise. And after one day, there are three guys on my radar to become Circle of Trust members. All they have to do is go deep tonight. Feels easy.

Home Run Picks For Friday (March 27)

PickOdds
Christopher Morel HR+560
Yoan Moncada HR+650
Luke Raley HR+775

Each one of the home run picks for today is at least +560, meaning if we bet the same amount on each player and one of them hit a dinger, we would profit.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK


Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings on Your Next 10 Wagers!

LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBDDYW
CODE: SBDDYW
SIGNUP PROMO
DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR NEXT 10 WAGERS!

CLAIM OFFER
MLB odds as of March 27 at FanDuel & BetMGM. Check out SBD’s take on the best sports betting app for MLB.

Friday HR Pick #1 – Christopher Morel to Hit a Home Run

I can already hear the haters now, “Slop, I didn’t even know Christopher Morel was even in the majors.” Well, he is. He’s playing for the Miami Marlins, and he’s still a “hit it out of the park” or a “walk of shame” guy. All he needs is the right pitcher to unlock his powers.

Lucky for us, Morel will be seeing Kyle Freeland tonight. There has never been a righter pitcher.

PitchMorel ISO vs LHP (2025)Freeland ISO vs RHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball.190.249

The thing with Morel and Freeland is, they have history. Not that we’re big “batter vs pitcher” people, but Morel owns this guy. He’s only seen 24 pitches from Freeland, but he’s got five hard-hit balls off of him. Two of those balls went home with a fan. All I’m saying is, Morel should not be +560 to hit a dong tonight. Feels free.

  • The Bet: Christopher Morel to Hit a Home Run (+560) – FanDuel
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
Get $300 Back in Bonus Bets Every Day For 10 Days!

Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Offer not available in IN, VA.

LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
GET $300
BONUS BETS

EVERY DAY FOR 10 DAYS!

BET NOW

Friday HR Pick #2 – Yoan Moncada to Hit a Home Run

Now that we’ve got one certified banger in our pockets, it’s time to get loose. We don’t have to go crazy with the move since early in the season, everyone besides the superstars is priced to move. With all of that in mind, one name popped into my head, and I can’t get it out now. Yoan Moncada.

The fact that Moncada has a date with Mike “Tape Measure” Burrows tonight just seals the deal.

PitchMoncada ISO vs RHP (2025)Burrows ISO vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball.381.176

I’m not trying to be mean, but we know Burrows is giving up dongs tonight. It’s what he does. In his defense, he’ll sit a few guys down, but he’s definitely going to get rocked once or twice in the process. People think it’s going to be a righty as evidenced by all the Jo Adell, Mike Trout, and Zach Neto hype we’ve seen, but why not Moncada? He abuses curveballs from righties, and this is the exact spot where he might see more than one. When that happens, that ball could end up on the moon. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Yoan Moncada to Hit a Home Run (+650) – BetMGM
BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD1500
CODE: SBD1500
SIGNUP BONUS
GET UP TO
$1,500 BACK

IN BONUS BETS!

BET NOW

Friday HR Pick #3 – Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run

Finally, we’re going after a guy who is already in the Circle of Trust. We’re talking about a guy who nearly paralyzed someone in the stands last night with an absolute piss-missile. He’s seeing the ball well and he’s facing another righty who likes to give it up. We’re talking Nuke Raley here, people.

There is no chance in hell Gavin Williams got a good night’s sleep last night knowing this matchup is coming.

PitchRaley ISO vs RHP (2025)Williams ISO vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball.222.206

Again, we’re not batter vs pitcher people, but we can’t ignore the power Nuke has over Gavin. It’s undeniable at this point. Nuke has only seen 15 pitches from Gavin in his life, but three of those pitches ended up going down as hard-hit balls. One of them even cleared a fence. I’m not saying that is the end-all, be-all; I’m just saying it happened. Above all else, Williams gave up a dinger in three of his last four Spring starts, so he’s not even ready. This could get ugly. Quick.

  • The Bet: Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+775) – BetMGM
  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 TO GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $10 & GET $365 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO GET 100% BET RESET UP TO $1,000

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    GET $300 IN BONUS BETS EVERY DAY FOR 10 DAYS

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBDDYW & DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 WAGERS!

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    GET 100% BET MATCH UP TO $100 FOR 10 DAYS

  • DRAFTKINGS T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-522-4700, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 4/6/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

NFL NBA MLB NCAAF NCAAB

Recommended Reading