Sweden vs Poland Odds, Best Bets & Picks

• Sweden is a +100 favorite Tuesday against Poland in a UEFA World Cup Qualifying Final
• Poland hasn’t won a soccer match on Swedish soil in 96 years
• See below for my Sweden vs Poland best bets and picks as well as the latest updated odds

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After a disastrous initial World Cup Qualifying group campaign, Sweden is now just a win away from punching its ticket into the 2026 World Cup, filling out the last spot in Group F.

They still have to go through Poland, though — a team that is looking to snap a 96-year winless drought on Swedish soil.

Action kicks off Tuesday at 2:45pm ET on from Friends Arena in Stockholm, Sweden, with Fubo TV broadcasting for fans in the United States, while the match can be watched on DAZN in Canada.

Sweden vs Poland Odds

As of Monday night, Sweden was getting +100 odds to win outright, with a Poland win paying out at +270 odds.

The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over paying out at +110 and the Under at -130.

Odds as of March 31. Make sure you use SBD’s exclusive DraftKings promo code to bet on World Cup qualifying.

Sweden vs Poland Picks & Predictions

• Draw (+235 at DraftKings)

Just eight spots separate these two nations in FIFA’s world rankings, creating what is, on paper, the most evenly matched of the four UEFA playoff finals.

It’s been a long and winding road for Sweden, but they have found their way back under the tutelage of manager Graham Potter, and now sit just a win away from advancing to the World Cup.

After picking up just a single point in qualifying, the Swedes used a second-chance lifeline by winning their C1 group in the 2024-25 UEFA Nations League. That earned them a spot in the Path B playoff battle.

Thanks to a Viktor Gyökeres hat-trick in a 3-1 win over Ukraine last game, they’re now just a single W away from locking in a World Cup spot in Group F, where the Netherlands, Japan and Tunisia awaits.

Poland is coming off a 2-1 win over Albania to advance to this winner-take-all final. It would be an opportunity to exorcise some personal and national demons, as it’s been nearly a century since Poland beat Sweden in a 3-0 friendly in Stockholm in 1930.

However, it doesn’t seem like Poland is carrying that weight for past failures, as they’re more concerned about seeking its third straight World Cup appearance, while Sweden is looking to join the World Cup for the first time in 2018.

Robert Lewandowski and Pietr Zielinski tallied for Poland in the last match, and if it’s a combination that sounds familiar, those are the same snipers who scored in a 2-0 win over Sweden the last time they played in 2022.

The stakes were just as high then: a berth in the World Cup in Qatar.

Sweden had not found the back of the net in five straight games until its win over Ukraine. For Poland, their issue lay in their inability to keep a clean sheet — conceding goals in six of their last eight.

They’re both playing well, with Poland more consistent, but Sweden feeling like it’s carrying more momentum.

In the end, I think this means both sides — who don’t factor into the latest World Cup odds — compete hard, with extra time being needed to decide this one Tuesday.

Sweden vs Poland Injury Report

Sweden will be shorthanded Tuesday with its two best players on the shelf. Alexander Isak is still recovering from a broken leg, while Dejan Kulusevski has been out of action since last May with a knee injury.

Isak Hien will also sit Tuesday out with thigh injury. Eric Smith suffered a fitness setback and his participation is also in doubt. He was an unused substitute on Thursday night.

Lucas Bergvall recently returned from an ankle injury to make Potter’s squad, but the Tottenham midfielder only came in as a substitute against Ukraine.