Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 3 Odds, Picks & Predictions

• The Denver Nuggets are slim -2.5 point favorites in Game 3 against the Minnesota Timberwolves
• See why I think this should be a high scoring game and the reasoning behind back the OVER points total
• Analysis, betting splits and early leans for the Western Conference first round duel

The stakes are escalating in the NBA Odds as the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves clash in Game 3 of their Western Conference First Round playoff series. With two hard-fought skirmishes already in the books, the scene shifts to Minneapolis for a pivotal showdown. This tilt is scheduled to tip off at 6:30 PM PT / 9:30 PM ET Thursday evening at the Target Center, with national broadcast coverage streaming on Amazon Prime Video and TSN in Canada.

Will Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and the battle-tested Nuggets flex their pedigree as road favorites, or can Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, and the Timberwolves capitalize as pesky home underdogs? Game 1 Denver was victorious 116-105, but Game 2 Minny returned the favor 119-114. See my predictions in the article below.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 Odds

Odds as of April 23, 2026, at 3:34 AM ET. Check out the full list of DraftKings deposit methods before betting on Nuggets vs Timberwolves.

The current betting markets position the visiting Denver squad as narrow 2.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, the towering 233.5-point total reflects the blistering 102.6 pace both squads have showcased thus far.

A $100 wager on the favorites would yield an extra $74 for a total of $174. If you were to back the underdog T-Wolves with the same wager, that would cash an additional $114 for a total of $214. In the NBA Championship Odds, Denver is the fourth choice at +1500, while Minnesota is a super longshot of +10000.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Picks & Predictions

Against the Spread Pick: Denver Nuggets -2.5 (-108 on DraftKings)
Minnesota has played well recently, going 3-1 straight up over their last four. However, their ability to follow up on success and cover the number is highly suspect; they are just 1-4 ATS after a win over their last five games. I Expect Denver’s championship-level execution to exploit this letdown spot so I’m laying the points with the away favorites. In both meetings in Minnesota on the campaign, Denver won by double digits (thirteen and eleven points).

Over/Under Pick: OVER 233.5 (-110 on Fanatics)
I am backing the Over 233.5, considering the over has hit in four of Denver’s last five games, including four of their last five contests as a betting favorite. Most notably, a flawless 100% trend supports a shootout, with the over cashing in each of the last six Nuggets games on the road after a loss. Minnesota echoes this scoring surge, cashing the over in three of their last four games following a win.

The defining characteristic of this head-to-head clash is unrelenting speed. Both teams are operating at a blistering pace of 102.6 possessions per 48 minutes, tied for the fastest tempo in the entire postseason. Through the first two games of this series, Denver has managed to narrowly outscore Minnesota 230-224 in total.

DEN vs MIN Betting Market Splits

Moneyline: In the NBA public betting splits straight-up winner market, Denver is drawing the majority of the tickets at 56%, but Minnesota commands a significant 61% of the overall handle.

Spread: In the spread market, Denver is taking a slight edge in ticket count with 52% of the slips. Additionally, the money shows 55% of the overall stake backing the Nuggets.

Game Total: Bettors are flocking to a shootout in the totals market. The Over is generating a massive 72% of the tickets and 69% of the money percentage, which supports my selection.

How to Watch Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3

TV Network: Prime Video (United States), TSN (Canada)

Away Team: Denver Nuggets

Home Team: Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: April 23, 2026

Game Time: 6:30 PM PT / 9:30 PM ET

Venue: Target Center

Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota