Hawks vs Knicks Predictions & Best Bets for Game 5
By Michael Harrison in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The New York Knicks host the Atlanta Hawks in a crucial Game 5 showdown at MSG
- See why I’m picking the favored Knicks with the series tied 2-2
- Hawks vs Knicks best bets and prop picks for this Eastern Conference First Round series
The New York Knicks host the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden tonight, at 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT. With the series tied 2-2, you can catch this pivotal clash nationally on NBC and Peacock in the United States and TSN in Canada. The Hawks enter Game 5 as a dangerous road underdog, riding the wave of thrilling back-to-back one point victories in Games 2 and 3, before New York responded with a dominant 114-98 win in Game 4 to even the series.
I am banking on New York’s elite offensive engine, Jalen Brunson, alongside the imposing presence of Karl-Anthony Towns, to dictate the pace and protect home-court advantage. In this article I’ll give you my best bets for this massive Game 5 at the Garden. The NBA odds have New York as the favorite in this one.
Hawks vs Knicks Predictions
- The Pick: Knicks -6.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
I am backing the Knicks -6.5 at the best-available odds, which is at BetMGM. The Knicks are 8-4 against the spread at home over their last twelve games, and they’re 5-2 ATS as a favorite over their last seven contests. Conversely, the Hawks have struggled immensely when oddsmakers count them out, posting a dismal 2-5 straight-up record as an underdog in their last seven affairs.
- Best Player Prop: Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 Points (-115 at Fanatics)
With New York boasting a 110.5 offensive rating, I expect the ball to be in Jalen Brunson’s hands early and often. He’s blown over the listed 26.5 total in six of his last nine contests vs the Hawks, and this is such a gargantuan game to give the Knicks the edge. Atlanta’s poor defensive rating helps aid in my belief that he’ll rack up points.
Knicks vs Hawks Playoff Statistical Breakdown
Hawks vs Knicks Game 5 Odds
Odds as of April 28, 2026, at 12:34 PM ET. Check out the full list of DraftKings deposit methods before betting on Hawks vs Knicks.
Hawks vs Knicks Game 5 Betting Splits
In the NBA public betting splits, bettors are showing a proclivity towards New York and also for the over points total.
The Spread Market:
- Knicks: 61% of tickets | 63% of money
- Hawks: 39% of tickets | 37% of money
Bettors are confidently laying the points with the home team. New York is drawing nearly an identical share of the ticket count and the overall handle. Casual bettors and heavy hitters are operating in lockstep here, matching my official prediction of Knicks -6.5.
The Total Market:
- OVER: 87% of tickets | 86% of money
- UNDER: 13% of tickets | 14% of money
A massive 87% of the tickets and 86% of the overall handle are hammering the Over. The public always loves a shootout, and they’re banking on that happening at MSG.
The Moneyline Market:
- Knicks: 81% of tickets | 73% of money
- Hawks: 19% of tickets | 27% of money
The Knicks command 81% of the betting tickets and 73% of the money. While a small fraction of heavier bettors might be taking a flier on the underdog at plus-money, the overwhelming consensus expects the home squad to win.
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

