Openinng Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 Odds, Spread & Total

• The Cavaliers are 8.5-point home favorites over the Raptors in Game 7 on Sunday night
• The home team has won every game in this series
• See the opening Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 odds, plus my early pick below

RJ Barrett’s high-arcing 3-pointer with 1.2 seconds left in overtime saved Toronto’s season on Friday night. Now the Raptors (3-3) head back to Cleveland for a winner-take-all Game 7 against the Cavaliers (3-3) on Sunday at 7:30 pm ET, with the broadcast on NBC and Peacock.

Cleveland opened as a heavy home favorite in the latest NBA odds, which isn’t surprising given the home team has won all six games in this series. Below you’ll find the opening Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 odds, plus my early pick.

Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 Opening Odds

The opening Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 odds list Cleveland as 8.5-point favorites and -333 on the moneyline, an implied probability of 76.9%. Toronto comes back as +260 underdogs (27.8% implied), with the total set at 211.5.

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Odds as of May 2 at BetMGM. New customers can claim the BetMGM promo code and get a bonus to bet on Game 7.

Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 Spread and Total Breakdown

The home team has won every game in this series, and it hasn’t been close most nights. Cleveland is 3-0 at Rocket Arena with an average margin of victory of 9.3 points. Toronto is 3-0 at Scotiabank Arena, including blowout wins of 22 and the OT thriller on Friday.

That trend is the entire reason Cleveland is laying 8.5 here. Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley have looked like a different team at home, where the Cavs are scoring 122 points per game in the series compared to just 101 on the road.

Cavaliers Home vs Away Series Splits

Mobley has been Cleveland’s most consistent player, averaging 19.0 points and 8.8 rebounds on 56.8% shooting. He’s gone for 49 points combined in Games 5 and 6, and is shooting an absurd 85% in the restricted area for the series. Mitchell adds 23.3 per game, while Harden chips in 21 points and 6.7 assists.

The catch with Harden is the turnovers. He’s coughed it up 5.7 times per game in this series, including four in Game 6. Toronto has feasted in transition because of it, outscoring the Cavs 166-76 in fast break points across the six games.

Toronto has its own problems heading to Cleveland. The Raptors are 0-10 all-time in playoff games at Rocket Arena, including the three losses in this series. Brandon Ingram missed Game 6 with a sore right heel and his status for Sunday is uncertain.

The total of 211.5 is on the lower end of what we’ve seen in this series, but it makes sense. Game 4 in Toronto was an 89-93 rock fight, and the Cavs’ two home wins in Games 1 and 2 were both played at a fairly normal pace. Game 7s historically play tight as well.

Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 Pick

• Raptors +8.5 (-120 at BetMGM)

I love what Cleveland has done at home this series, but 8.5 points is a lot to lay against a team that’s already proven it can hang. Two of Toronto’s three road losses came by five points or fewer, and the Raptors have a young core that doesn’t seem fazed by the moment.

Scottie Barnes is playing the best basketball of his career, putting up 24.2 points and 9.0 assists per game with 1.8 blocks. RJ Barrett is right there with him at 24.3 points on 50.5% shooting. Throw in Collin Murray-Boyles, who’s been a defensive menace and is shooting 66.1% from the floor as a rookie, and Toronto has the firepower to keep this within a possession or two late.

If Harden has another sloppy night with the ball, the Raptors win this game outright. Even if Cleveland takes care of business, getting 8.5 points feels like the right side. My Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 7 pick is Toronto +8.5.