Who Will Attend The Met Gala? See Latest Odds from Prediction Markets

• The 2026 Met Gala in New York is scheduled for Monday, and a who’s who of recognizable names from entertainment, politics, fashion, art, royalty, and more will be on the scene
• The Red Carpet coverage always dominates the airwaves and social media, and it’s set to begin at 6:00 PM ET
• Prediction markets offer options on who will be in attendance at this global spectacle

When the Met Gala started in 1948, it was little more than a fundraiser. In exchange for the price of a ticket, attendees received a meal at various venues across Manhattan. By the 1970s, it became more of a place to be seen. Annually staged at the Metropolitan Museum of Art, it boasted a luminous roster of A-list celebrities including Elton John, Diana Ross, Cher, Barbra Streisand, Liza Minelli, and Madonna. Fashion icon and former Vogue editor in chief Anna Wintour has served as the chairperson for the past three decades. With her cachet, it has evolved into one of the most exclusive parties (where cameras are allowed) on the planet.

Suffice it to say, as the Super Bowl of fashion and celebrity, it will be the center of the universe with worldwide media coverage and attention.

Name recognition is not enough to garner an invite, as evidenced by Wintour rejecting Prince Harry and Meghan Markle. Along with the increased profile from being part of the show, a public denial to those who are so wealthy and powerful that the word “no” is beyond their comprehension can accrue even more — and unwelcome — notoriety.

With that in mind, prediction markets give users options on who will appear at this year’s event.

Odds for Who Will Attend The Met Gala

Volume for this market is approaching $1.5 million, but as the day moves along, it will increase exponentially.

There are immediately recognizable names who have already stated their plans to attend. That includes singer Sabrina Carpenter, who is at more than 99% certainty in the prediction markets. Then there are other names so famous that most people don’t even recognize, they need to do a Google search before saying, “Oh, yeah. Him/her.”

Along with Carpenter in the upper-90s are actress/model/singer Teyana Taylor, Kendall Jenner, and Anne Hathaway.

Then the numbers start to drop for people who are likely to be there, but are not guaranteed. That includes Rihanna, at 85%; legendary Formula-1 driver Lewis Hamilton (reportedly dating Kim Kardashian) at 75%; Super Bowl LX halftime headliner Bad Bunny at 75% (then at 90%, then back down to 80%); and Margot Robbie at around 70%.

In the lower range are Timothée Chalamet in the mid-30s; Lady Gaga in the mid-teens; Ice Spice at around 10%; and Sydney Sweeney and Zendaya in the low single digits.

It is important to note that these percentages are ping-ponging all over the place.

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As for the market rules, if the selected name attends The Met Gala 2026, the market will resolve to Yes. The source must be a reputable one including The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Politico, USA Today, Fox News, CNN, and Vogue. A person briefly or partially attending is sufficient. The person can make social media posts to show they are there and that will be enough to verify the result.

Anne Hathaway

The Devil Wears Prada 2 was strategically released to coincide with The Met Gala. Since Meryl Streep’s Miranda Priestly is Anna Wintour, the co-star of the film, Hathaway, must be there.

The reviews of the film can only be described as “meh,” but that doesn’t matter, particularly for a Met Gala-style event where quality is secondary to being a trending topic.

Hathaway will be in attendance.

Bad Bunny

There is growing confidence that Bad Bunny will be there.

Given the leftward political tilt, at least publicly, of those who are in the Met Gala network and Bad Bunny’s controversial persona that led to complaints about him being tabbed as the Super Bowl halftime performer, it would be management malpractice if his representatives did not steer him there.

In addition, he has his own unique, androgynous style of dress and is sure to be a center of attention among the fashion crowd. It’s a very good bet that he will be at the show.

Margot Robbie

There seems to be a “probably; maybe not; then again, maybe” footnote for Robbie attending The Met Gala. She last attended in 2023.

She doesn’t have anything pending to promote unless she’s trying to get people to stream the strange and critically panned adaptation of Wuthering Heights, which looked more like a teenage girl’s preference as to how the story would go rather than what Emily Brontë actually wrote.

Her percentage to appear is relatively confident, so perhaps there are strong and believable rumors that she’ll show up.

Timothée Chalamet

Few actors are hotter than Chalamet.

Hot, of course, needs to be put in the proper context. He checks all the boxes for admirers to think he’s “hot” looking and his career scorching with his Best Actor nomination for Marty Supreme. In December, Dune 3 will be released.

He is out and about in New York, frequently seen at Knicks games with girlfriend Kylie Jenner. His prominence makes him a natural to attend The Met Gala. But he’s clearly not expected to attend, given how low his percentage is. There is, however, an opportunity for someone who wants to roll the dice for him to make a surprise appearance with the chance of a big payoff.

Meryl Streep

The legendary actress and star of The Devil Wears Prada 2 is down in the low single digits. However, given Wintour expressing her admiration for Streep’s portrayal of her, there would not be an awkward interaction if the two were together at The Met Gala. The film has had a huge opening at the box office. If it were struggling, then maybe Streep would need to promote it with an appearance at The Met Gala. Given the realities, she will almost assuredly not be there and leave that promotional bit to co-star Hathaway.