Rangers vs Yankees Expert Picks & Predictions (May 7)

• The Yankees are -150 moneyline favorites over the Rangers this afternoon
• New York has won five of its last six games overall
• See my favorite Rangers vs Yankees expert picks and predictions for May 7th, below

The AL East leading New York Yankees (25-11) host the Texas Rangers (16-19) in the rubber match of their three-game set this afternoon. Online sportsbooks are siding with the Yankees in the MLB odds, pegging them as -150 moneyline favorites in a matchup with an 8.5 run total.

First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium with ESPN Unlimited, YES and The Rangers Sports Network providing broadcast coverage. This matchup pits a potent New York lineup, anchored by superstars like Aaron Judge, against a underwhelming Texas pitching staff.

Keep reading for my favorite Rangers vs Yankees expert picks and predictions for the May 7th contest, below.

Rangers vs Yankees Expert Picks

• Yankees Moneyline (-150 at Bet365)
• Over 8.5 Runs (-115 at Bet365)

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My two favorite Rangers vs Yankees expert picks today are the New York moneyline and over 8.5 runs. The Yankees enter this contest with a clear statistical edge on both sides of the ball. The Yankees have plated 199 runs with a robust .797 team OPS this season, heavily outproducing a Rangers lineup that has managed just 131 runs and a .689 OPS. Given the starting pitching disparity and New York’s superior offensive metrics at home, the favorites are the distinct choice to win outright.

While the Yankees hold a strong 2.98 team ERA, the Rangers’ pitching staff has been vulnerable. Texas starters carry a combined 4.43 ERA into this contest. Against a Bronx offense that relentlessly capitalizes on pitching mistakes, expect New York to do the heavy lifting on the scoreboard to push this total Over.

MacKenzie Gore vs Ryan Weathers

Tasked with slowing down a hot New York offense, MacKenzie Gore brings an impressive strikeout rate to the mound but struggles with command. Gore holds a 2-2 record and generates 11.68 K/9, holding opposing batters to a .223 average. However, his 4.67 BB/9 rate is the primary culprit behind an inflated 1.36 WHIP. Because he averages under 5 innings per start, he frequently forces the Texas bullpen into the game early.

Countering for the home team is Ryan Weathers, who has been highly dependable. Weathers boasts a 3.03 ERA backed by a 3.61 FIP. Unlike Gore, Weathers exhibits strong command over his pitches, issuing walks at a sparse 2.33 BB/9 clip and driving his WHIP down to an excellent 1.19. While opponents hit slightly better against him (.245 OBA), his 10.47 K/9 ensures he can comfortably escape jams while pitching deeper into games.

Rangers vs Yankees Stats

Digging into the MLB starting pitchers and lineups, where the Yankees offensive prowess is impossible to ignore. New York leads the majors in almost every significant offensive category when playing at home, generating 6.72 runs per game with a .873 team OPS and a league-leading 90.7 mph average exit velocity. Texas has maintained a respectable .737 OPS and a .250 batting average on the road, which matches New York’s home average. However, the Rangers lack the elite run-producing power and baserunning aggression to keep pace with the World Series odds contender, managing just 0.45 stolen bases per game compared to New York’s 1.28. Texas will desperately need stars like Corey Seager to step up offensively to match the Yankees’ scoring pace.

Rangers vs Yankees Odds

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Rangers vs Yankees Predictions

• Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-108 at DraftKings)

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For my best player prop, I am looking directly at Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases. The superstar outfielder is mashing this season with 14 home runs and a 1.060 OPS. Judge is slugging .648, meaning it often takes just one swing of the bat for him to clear this threshold. Also working in his favor, is an excellent track record versus Gore per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats. Judge is 3-for-7 lifetime against Gore, with 2 home runs.