Player-Prop Picks for Spurs vs Timberwolves (Game 4)

• Game 4 of the Spurs vs Timberwolves 2nd Round series continues tonight
• Stephon Castle’s aggressive road splits and Minnesota’s leaky defense make the over on his 16.5-points prop very attractive
• See the best player-prop picks for Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4, below

The Western Conference Semifinals heat up as the Minnesota Timberwolves host the San Antonio Spurs in Game 4 tonight at the Target Center. After dropping the series opener, the Spurs have won back-to-back outings and online sportsbooks expect another victory from them in the NBA odds. I’m bypassing the spread and total for this contest on my betting card, choosing to attack the player props market instead.

Names like Victor Wembanyama and Anthony Edwards are sure to dominate the player props wagers, but while the masses flock to bet them I’m going to be targeting their teammates instead. Keep reading for my favorite player-prop picks for Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4, below.

Player-Prop Odds for Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4

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There are no new injuries to monitor in the NBA starting lineups, meaning usage and volume projections won’t change much from previous games in this series. That’s good news for San Antonio’s Stephon Castle, who is seeing more than enough shot attempts to clear his 16.5 points prop. That’s my favorite wager tonight, while I’m also targeting under 18.5 points for Minnesota’s Julius Randle.

Player-Prop Picks for Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4

• Stephon Castle Over 16.5 Points (-104 at Caesars)
• Julius Randle Under 18.5 Points (-109 at Caesars)

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Castle has been asked to shoulder a massive offensive burden in the postseason. During the regular season, he established a solid 16.7 points per game baseline. In the playoffs, his production has taken a significant leap to 18.8 points alongside a 26.2% usage rate.

Castle has exceeded 16.5 points in all three games on the road in these playoffs, amassing a wild 20.8 points per contest average away from home. Through three games in this series, he has scored 51 points total.

With the Timberwolves allowing 17.3 fast break points per game, their transitional weakness is prime real estate for a guard who excels in the open floor.

Randle meanwhile, was a reliable scoring threat during the regular season, posting 21.2 points per game at Target Center. However, his scoring efficiency has completely fallen off a cliff in the playoffs, dropping to 17.8 points overall.

Randle has stayed under his 18.5-point prop line in 3 of 4 home playoff games this year, averaging a dismal 15 points. That suppressed average holds exactly true through three games in this specific series. Without more production from him, Minnesota is an easy fade in the NBA Championship odds.

The Spurs are holding opponents to a 39.8% field goal percentage on the road while swatting 8.3 blocks per contest. Facing Wembanyama’s terrifying wingspan, Randle will struggle to find clean looks. Take the under with confidence tonight.