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Diamondbacks vs Giants Picks, Props & Betting Splits (May 25)

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in MLB Baseball

Published:


May 23, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants pitcher Landen Roupp (65) before the game against the Chicago White Sox at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images
  • The San Francisco Giants are favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday, May 25th
  • The pitching matchup features Merrill Kelly up against Landen Roupp
  • See the Diamondbacks vs Giants odds and analysis with my official prediction for this NL West clash

The San Francisco Giants (22-31) stay at Oracle Park to begin a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (28-24) Monday afternoon. Last week, the D-Backs swept San Fran in Arizona, winning each time on the runline. However, due to the pitching matchup, the MLB odds are pointing towards the Giants as favorites in this one. First pitch is 2:05 PM PT / 5:05 PM ET.

Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly’s ERA is rather bloated, but that’s due to a couple of rough outings to begin the campaign. He’s settled down of late, but he’s facing Landen Roupp, who’s been the anchor of the Giants staff thus far. Keep reading for my analysis and prediction along with a MLB Player Props selection.

Diamondbacks vs Giants Picks

  • The Pick: Over 7.5 Runs (-105 at Caesars)
  • Landen Roupp Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-105 at BetMGM)

I lean toward the Over 7.5 combined runs being scored in this one. That happened in all three instances last week between these two squads, with at least eight runs being accumulated. In eleven of the last twelve meetings between ARI vs SF, at least eight runs have been scored.

Arizona features a capable offense, producing 239 runs with a .717 team OPS. Meanwhile, the Giants draw a highly favorable matchup against Kelly, who surrenders 9.66 hits and 1.76 home runs per nine innings. These teams are sixth and seventh best (resisting the urge to say a 6-7 joke), in batting average on the campaign, which should give plenty of opportunities for runs to be scored.

My favorite player prop is Landen Roupp Over 5.5 Strikeouts. Though he wasn’t able to go over that threshold vs Arizona in his latest start, in eight of his other nine starts this season, Roupp has accumulated at least six K’s.

Pitching Matchup

StatisticMerrill Kelly (AZ)Landen Roupp (SF)
Win-Loss Record4-35-5
ERA5.713.27
WHIP1.511.15
FIP5.632.60
K/95.939.98
BB/93.953.44
Opponent BA.273.210
IP per Start5.865.50

Take a look at the MLB batter vs pitcher stats for additional information to glean on before wagering on the Diamondbacks vs Giants this afternoon.

Diamondbacks vs Giants Odds

Bet TypeArizonaSan Francisco
Moneyline+122-145
Runline+1.5 (-170)-1.5 (+143)
Total RunsOver 7.5 (-105)Under 7.5 (-115)

Odds as of May 25 from Caesars Sportsbook. Click here for a Caesars Sportsbook promo code before betting on Diamondbacks vs Giants.

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ARI vs SF Public Betting Splits

In the MLB public betting splits, 52% of wagers have been placed on San Fran on the moneyline, however, 72% of cash is on the visiting D-Backs. As for the run line, 71% of the moola is interestingly on SF, and the game total sees 73% of bets on under 7.5 runs, yet 73% of the handle is on over that number.

Injury Report

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatus
SFJung Hoo LeeOFBackD10
SFHeliot RamosOFQuadD10
SFLogan WebbPKneeD15
SFJared OlivaOFWristD60
AZLourdes Gurriel JrOFHamstringD10
AZCarlos SantanaIFGroinD10
AZJames McCannCQuadD10
AZJordan LawlarOFWristD60
AZPavin SmithIFElbowD60
AZCorbin BurnesPElbowD60

How to Watch Diamondbacks vs Giants

TV Network: DBACKS.TV and NBC Sports Area, MLB.TV on FUBO

Away Team: Arizona Diamonbacks

Home Team: San Francisco Giants

Date: Monday, May 25, 2026

Game Time: 2:05 PM PT / 5:05 PM ET

Venue: Oracle Park

Location: San Francisco, California

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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