Predictions, Props & Splits for Rays vs Orioles (May 26)

• The TB Rays are very slight road favorites when they play the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday
• The Orioles have won four of their last five, including 9-7 over the Rays in Monday’s series opener
• Read below for the my Rays vs Orioles prediction, picks updated odds and betting splits

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The Baltimore Orioles have won four of five, and look for a series win Tuesday when they host the Tampa Bay Rays for the middle matchup of their 3-game set. Baltimore handed the AL East leaders a 9-7 loss in the series opener.

The books like a Tampa bounce back, pegging them as slight -115 favorites in the MLB odds.

First pitch goes at 6:35pm ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, with MLB TV providing the broadcast coverage.

Rays vs Orioles Prediction

• Best Bet: Rays ML (-115 at bet365)

The MLB probable pitchers is a glaring mismatch in the Rays’ favor.

Baltimore starter Shane Baz takes the mound with a 4.87 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .269 opponent batting average.

Griffin Jax vs Shane Baz Stats

Baz is searching for consistency with a 1-5 record. His 4.41 FIP is lower than his 4.87 ERA, hinting at better underlying performance. Baz averages 5.73 innings per start but must limit free passes to navigate a dangerous lineup.

Conversely, Tampa Bay counters with Griffin Jax, who holds a 1.42 ERA. His 4.83 FIP indicates favorable sequencing and strong defense. He averages just 3.80 innings per start over his last 10 appearances, meaning a heavy dose of the bullpen early.

His recent strikeout rate sits at a strong 8.22 K/9 over his recent outings.

Tampa has been solid as a favorite this season, posting a 20-5 record, including a 5-2 record over their last 10 when pegged as a betting favorite.

Baltimore isn’t exactly a frisky underdog bet, as they are just 8-16-0 against the betting favorite this season, and post a 1-3 record over the last 10 games when they’ve been listed as the favorite.

Those struggles as a favorite on top of this pitching disparity is enough for Tampa to find its way back into this series.

TB Rays vs BAL Orioles Prop Picks

Player Prop Pick: Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115 at DraftKings)
Junior Caminero is enjoying a fantastic season, highlighted by an .845 OPS and 13 home runs. Baz surrenders 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Banking on Caminero to record multiple total bases offers excellent value.

Shane Baz Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (+115 at DraftKings)
Baz struggles to pitch efficiently, as evidenced by his 1.45 WHIP. Against a patient lineup, his pitch count should elevate quickly. I expect an early exit before he can complete the sixth inning, making his under for pitching outs an attractive target.

Rays vs Orioles Odds & Betting Splits

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Be sure to use the BetMGM promo code to bet on Rays vs Orioles or any other MLB game.

Tampa Bay enters as slight road favorites at -108 on the moneyline at FanDuel, with Tampa getting -105 odds from bet365 to win outright.

The runline features the visitors at -1.5, paying at +150 odds, while Baltimore is getting 1.5 runs, paying out at -170 odds at bet365.

There’s some shopping you’ll need to do as there are different totals for Tuesday night. Over bettors should head to bet365, where the line is 8.5 points, with the Over paying out at -120 from bet365. Under bettors can grab an extra half point over at DraftKings, as they set their run total to nine points.

There’s little variance in the MLB public betting splits. The public likes the Rays to win on the spread, with a massive 95% of the money on Tampa, though it’s taking 50% of the bets.

Looking at the spread, the public is again team Tampa, with a large 86% of the bets on Tampa to win outright, though it’s also receiving 66% of the bets.

The total is the even more overwhelming, with the betting public taking 91% of the bets and and equal 91% of the money.