Best Bets & Player-Prop Picks for Twins vs White Sox on May 28

• The White Sox are heavy home favorites with Davis Martin on the mound.
• The Twins counter with Kendry Rojas, an inexperienced starter battling severe command issues.
• I project a low-scoring Chicago victory with excellent value on strikeout props.

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The Chicago White Sox (28-27) look to win the series as home favorites when they continue their series against the road underdog Minnesota Twins (27-29) at Rate Field on May 28, 2026, at 2:10 PM ET.

Yesterday, the White Sox rocked Conor Prielipp (six earned runs) and Minnesota’s bullpen en route to a massive 15-2 win. David Sandlin twirled a quality start while both Chase Meidroth and Munetaka Murakami hit home runs. On Minnesota’s side, Byron Buxton and Kody Clemens hit homers.

The White Sox and Twins are second and fourth, respectively in odds to win the AL Central. The White Sox were massive underdogs entering the season, but they are now within something of a striking distance on the favored Guardians.

I will dive into the starting pitching matchups, offensive production, and injuries to help you find the best value on the board. Keep reading for my best bets and player prop picks.

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Picks & Predictions

Chicago will send Davis Martin to the mound, and he has been nothing short of spectacular. Across 61.2 innings, Martin boasts a 2.04 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP, consistently limiting traffic on the basepaths.

Meanwhile, Minnesota counters with Kendry Rojas. Although Rojas has a 1.26 ERA in 14.1 innings, he carries a bloated 1.47 WHIP. His lack of control makes him highly vulnerable against a lineup featuring elite power threats.

Davis Martin vs Kendry Rojas

Martin commands the zone expertly, walking just 1.75 batters per nine innings. Averaging over six innings per start, the Sox can comfortably rely on him to pitch deep into the afternoon and bridge the gap to their late-inning relievers.

Martin is averaging 9.63 strikeouts per nine innings and draws a highly favorable matchup against an offense prone to the swing-and-miss. Minnesota has accumulated 482 strikeouts at the plate so far this year. Getting plus-money on Martin to reach six punchouts is arguably the best betting value on the board.

While Rojas struggles with baserunners, he generates plenty of whiffs with an 8.79 K/9 rate. Chicago strikes out even more frequently, racking up 512 team strikeouts. At +134 odds, Rojas exceeding a modest 3.5 strikeout threshold offers excellent upside.

Official Best Bets:

• Moneyline: White Sox (-145, theScore Bet)
• Total Runs: Under 7.5 (+100, theScore Bet)
• Davis Martin Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100, BetMGM)
• Kendry Rojas Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+124, FanDuel)

Team Statistics Comparison

The most glaring discrepancy lies in offensive production. Chicago is formidable at Rate Field, scoring 4.93 runs per game with a .756 team OPS. This stands in stark contrast to Minnesota, managing just 4.44 runs per game and a .690 OPS on the road.

Paced by Murakami, the home team launches 1.41 home runs per game. The visitors average just 1.11 homers per game away from Target Field. Both teams share an identical 87.9 mph average exit velocity, but Chicago elevates the baseball much better.

The South Siders also hold an edge on the basepaths, stealing 0.78 bases per game compared to 0.59 for their opponents.

White Sox vs Twins Odds & Betting Trends

The moneyline originally opened as a pick’em with both sides priced at -110. The odds have since shifted in favor of the White Sox. I have noticed this line movement aligns directly with the betting splits. The White Sox are now a strong -160 favorites with a -1.5 mark on the runline for +143 odds. The Twins can be had for +135 on the moneyline or +1.5 on the runline (-170 odds).

The projected total opened at 7.5 runs and has remained at that number. Originally, the Under was favored at -120. However, a massive wave of money pushed the Over juice to -115 and dropped the Under to -105. The line has currently settled at -110 odds on both sides.

Odds as of May 28, 2026, at 11:15 AM ET from Caesars Sportsbook.

Key Matchup Trends:

• Chicago is an unblemished 3-0 (100%) when listed as the betting favorite over their last 10 games.
• The Over has hit in 70.0% of Chicago’s last 10 matchups.
• Minnesota has been dangerous as an underdog recently, winning 66.7% (4-2) of their games when getting odds over their last 10 contests.
• The Under has cashed in just 32.1% of Minnesota’s games this year, and 36.4% for Chicago.

White Sox vs Twins Public Betting Splits

Analyzing the MLB public betting splits can often highlight potential advantages in betting on the game itself. In the moneyline market, Chicago commands 54.3% of the betting tickets and 62.4% of the total money. With the cash percentage notably higher than the ticket percentage, it is clear larger wagers are backing the home favorites. Minnesota draws 45.7% of the tickets but only 37.6% of the overall stake.

This betting behavior aligns with my official prediction, reinforcing my confidence in backing the home club to secure the outright victory.

The total runs market presents a divided picture. Currently, 53.8% of the betting tickets are on the Under. However, a staggering 73.1% of the money is riding on the Over.

White Sox vs Twins Injury Report

Injuries are playing a significant role in this American League showdown. Both clubs are managing crowded injured lists that deeply impact outfield depth and bullpen availability.