Blue Jays vs Braves Expert Picks & Player Props to Bet (June 2)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Braves are -124 home favorites tonight over the Blue Jays
- Atlanta starter Bryce Elder boasts a tidy 2.50 ERA and 1.08 WHIP so far this season
- Get the top Blue Jays vs Braves expert picks and player props to bet for the June 2nd matchup, below
The Atlanta Braves (40-20) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (29-31) to Truist Park tonight, with the opening pitch scheduled for 7:15 PM Eastern. Atlanta had their three game winning streak snapped last time out by the Reds, while Toronto is trying to recover from a 9-5 loss to the Orioles.
Online sportsbooks are siding with the Braves in the latest MLB odds, in a game I predict will fall short of the total. Keep reading to find out why, plus see the top Blue Jays vs Braves expert picks and player props to bet for June 2nd, below.
Blue Jays vs Braves Expert Picks
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My favorite bets tonight are the Braves moneyline and under 7.5 runs. Bryce Elder takes the mound for Atlanta sporting a 2.50 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP across 72.0 innings. He pitches to contact, relying on a groundball-inducing profile rather than overpowering strikeout stuff, evidenced by his 7.63 K/9.
Kevin Gausman counters for the Blue Jays with a 4-3 record and a solid 3.13 ERA. His 2.86 FIP suggests he has pitched better than his baseline numbers indicate. Gausman boasts vastly superior swing-and-miss ability with an 8.61 K/9 and a 5.50 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Kevin Gausman vs Bryce Elder Stats
Over their last 10 appearances, both starters have experienced slight regressions. Elder holds a 3.05 ERA across 59.0 recent innings, remaining effective despite issuing 3.05 walks per nine innings in that span. Gausman has seen his WHIP inflate to 1.26 over his last 57.0 innings of work, resulting in a 3.63 ERA as opponents are hitting .270 against him. Despite this, both pitchers excel at keeping runners off the basepaths.
Atlanta, a top-three World Series odds contender, holds a distinct advantage at the plate, which makes them the most logical moneyline play. With Elder and Gausman both adept at run prevention, playing the Under stands out as a high-value angle.
Blue Jays vs Braves Stats
The most glaring mismatch in the MLB starting lineups data is the contact quality each lineup generates. Atlanta is consistently squaring up the baseball at home, boasting an 89.6 mph average exit velocity that ranks fourth in the majors. Conversely, the Blue Jays struggle to make hard contact on the road, ranking near the bottom of the league at 87.3 mph. This disparity translates directly to overall run production. Toronto is mustering a meager 3.70 runs and 0.83 home runs per game on the road.
The Braves pace the league with a .667 winning percentage and possess a distinct power advantage that masks other deficiencies. Neither team steals bases at a high clip, but Atlanta rarely needs to manufacture runs with small ball. With superstars like Ronald Acuña Jr and Matt Olson anchoring the lineup, the Braves do damage without needing extra help on the basepaths. Olson’s ability to drive the ball aligns perfectly with Atlanta’s high exit velocities.
Situational Betting Trends
- Atlanta has thrived when listed as the favorite, cashing on the moneyline at a .714 clip (30-12) this season.
- Over their last 10 games, the Braves have won 62.5% of their contests as the favorite (5-3).
- The Under has hit in just 30% of Atlanta’s last 10 games.
Blue Jays vs Braves Odds
SPORTSBOOK
Blue Jays vs Braves Props to Bet
- Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+119 at DraftKings)
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In the MLB props market, Olson is my primary target. He’s slugging .543 and averages just over one hit per game. Given his consistent power output, backing Olson to record multiple bases is an attractive approach. According to the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, Olson is 4-for-16 lifetime against Gausman, with a pair of home runs and 3 RBI.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.