Predictions & Player-Prop Picks for Orioles vs Blue Jays (June 7)

• The Blue Jays are -134 moneyline favorites this afternoon versus the Orioles
• Kevin Gausman boasts a 3.36 ERA and 1.09 WHIP this season
• Keep reading for the best predictions and player prop picks for Orioles vs Blue Jays on June 7, below

The Toronto Blue Jays (30-34) host the Baltimore Orioles (31-33) this afternoon with first pitch set for 1:37 PM Eastern. The MLB weather forecast is calling for ideal conditions, paving the way for the roof to be open at Rogers Centre.

Online sportsbooks are siding with the Blue Jays in the latest MLB odds, as they look to build momentum after securing a 6-4 victory in yesterday’s matchup. Toronto’s offense was fueled by Ernie Clement, who smacked a three-run home run that proved to be the difference.

With the series deadlocked at 1, I’m predicting the Blue Jays will take the rubber match. Keep reading to find out why, plus see the best predictions and player prop picks for the Orioles vs Blue Jays matchup on June 7, below.

Predictions for Orioles vs Blue Jays

• Blue Jays Moneyline (-134 at Caesars)

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings on Your Next 10 Wagers!

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBDDYW

CODE: SBDDYW

SIGNUP PROMO

DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR NEXT 10 WAGERS!

CLAIM OFFER

My favorite bet when examining the pitching disparity between these two starting rotations is the Toronto moneyline. The Blue Jays hand the ball to right-hander Kevin Gausman, who provides a steady presence. Over 75.0 innings, Gausman boasts a 3.36 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. The Orioles counter with Shane Baz, who enters this contest carrying a 4.29 ERA and an elevated 1.37 WHIP across 71.1 innings.

Shane Baz vs Kevin Gausman Stats

The pitching advantage extends into the late innings according to the MLB starting lineups. The bullpen for the Orioles has struggled to close the door cleanly, posting a combined 4.64 relief ERA compared to a 4.01 mark for the Blue Jays. Given Gausman’s elite form and home-field advantage at the Rogers Centre, backing the Blue Jays moneyline is my top priority.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Stats

The Blue Jays are highly efficient at getting on base in their home ballpark, boasting a .249 batting average and a .719 OPS. This visibly outpaces the road metrics for the Orioles, who sit at a .230 average and .687 OPS. Led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr, the home lineup is well-positioned to exploit an opposing pitching staff that yields a 4.63 overall ERA.

However, when the Orioles make contact on the road, they hit the ball with authority. Their average exit velocity sits at 90.2 mph, dwarfing the 87.6 mph mark for the Blue Jays at home. This data suggests batted balls from the Orioles carry significant damage potential, firmly supporting my recommendation to back Pete Alonso’s total bases prop which I outline below.

Odds for Orioles vs Blue Jays

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US), 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD1500

CODE: SBD1500

SIGNUP BONUS

GET UP TO
$1,500 BACK

IN BONUS BETS!

BET NOW

Player Prop Picks for Orioles vs Blue Jays

• Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+109 on DraftKings)
• Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases (+119 on DraftKings)

DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Sign Up Today & Receive Up to
$1,050 in Bonuses!

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 2/1/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/25/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

LOCK IN PROMO

SIGNUP PROMO

SIGN UP
& GET $1,050

BONUS BETS + DEPOSIT BONUS

GET PROMO

I am also targeting the MLB props markets. Gausman Over 6.5 Strikeouts offers excellent standalone value. He currently averages 8.88 strikeouts per nine innings and works deep into his outings, logging 5.77 innings per start. His elite control remains intact, evidenced by a 1.87 BB/9 over his last 10 appearances.

For an offensive angle, Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases presents a highly appealing option. The powerful first baseman has generated a .452 slugging percentage this year, racking up 13 home runs and 40 RBI. Even in a tough matchup against Gausman, Alonso’s ability to drive the ball for extra bases makes this plus-money prop a strong addition. Per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, Alonso is a career .333 hitter against Gausman, with a home run and 4 RBI.