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Predictions & Player-Prop Picks for Yankees vs Guardians (Jun 8)

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in MLB Baseball

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Jul 19, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Will Warren (98) throws against the Atlanta Braves in the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
  • The New York Yankees travel to Cleveland for a three-game set against the Guardians
  • Cleveland won two of three meetings just last week, with Will Warren facing Gavin Williams Monday
  • See the Yankees vs Guardians odds, analysis and MLB player props picks for June 8th

The New York Yankees (38-26) travel to Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (37-30) Monday, with first pitch set for at 6:40 PM ET / 3:40 PM PT. The home squad are slight favorites in the MLB odds after taking two of three from the Yankees in the Bronx just last week.

New York has been riddled with injuries, particularly Aaron Judge, who is expected to be sidelined at least 4-6 weeks with a stress fracture in his rib. The Yanks has won eight of twelve, while the Guardians have dropped five of eight. Keep reading for my preview for this game, along with my favorite player props wager to place in the opener of a three-game set.

Yankees vs Guardians Picks & Predictions

Tonight’s battle should be a hotly contested duel with both starting pitchers having exceptional seasons. Will Warren is pitching to a 3.22 ERA, and Gavin Williams 3.20. In six of the last eight meetings, under eight total runs have been accumulated.

Warren has surrendered two or fewer earned runs a whopping ten of twelve starts on the campaign. Williams has been fantastic also, giving up three or fewer earned runs in ten of 13 contests. Given that so many meetings have not produced a ton of runs, and both pitching staffs being in the top half of ERA amongst the bullpen, I like the UNDER eight total runs tonight.

As for my favorite MLB player props angle, I’m honing in on Will Warren’s strikeout total. To toss five or more K’s, he sits at +105, which is very appealing, given that he’s done so in nine of twelve starts on the season.

Starting Pitchers Matchup

PitcherTeamW-LERAWHIPFIPK/9OBA
Will WarrenNYY7-13.221.203.279.79.234
Gavin WilliamsCLE9-33.201.083.5410.36.212

The MLB probable pitchers feature a strong matchup on the mound. Williams enters this contest with a 9-3 record and a 3.20 ERA. He has been tough to square up, utilizing his bat-missing ability to hold opposing hitters to a .212 batting average. His 1.08 WHIP highlights his overall command and efficiency on the mound.

Yankees starter Will Warren matches him with a 7-1 record and a 3.22 ERA. While his WHIP (1.20) and opponent batting average (.234) are slightly higher than his counterpart, Warren boasts a lower FIP (3.27).

NYY vs CLE Team Stats Comparison

StatisticYankees (Away)Guardians (Home)
Overall Win Percentage.594 [5th].552 [7th]
Runs per Game4.76 [7th]4.00 [24th]
Hits per Game8.15 [15th]7.65 [22nd]
Home Runs per Game1.27 [6th]0.84 [27th]
Stolen Bases per Game0.70 [15th]0.84 [8th]
Batting Average (AVG).240 [13th].239 [20th]
On-Base + Slugging (OPS).729 [7th].702 [23rd]
Average Exit Velocity89.6 mph [3rd]86.8 mph [27th]

Yankees vs Guardians Odds & Betting Splits

Bet TypeYankeesGuardians
Moneyline-105-115
Runline+1.5 (-220)-1.5 (+180)
Total RunsOver 8 (-110)Under 8 (-110)

Odds as of June 8 from Caesars Sportsbook. Click here for a Caesars Sportsbook promo code before betting on Yankees vs Guardians.

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In the MLB public betting splits, it’s an even 50-50 split in terms of the tickets to win on the moneyline, but 66% of the handle is on the visiting Yankees. In terms of the run line, it’s incredibly close, with a 52-48% advantage for the home squad, and the total runs is a whopping 90% of bets on over 8 runs, which goes against my prediction.

Yankees vs Guardians Injury Report

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatus
NYYAaron JudgeRFRibD10
NYYGiancarlo StantonDHLegD10
NYYMax FriedSPElbowD15
NYYJasson DomínguezLFShoulderD10
NYYAustin WellsCCervical HeadachesD10
NYYClarke SchmidtSPElbowD60
NYYAngel ChivilliRPShoulderD15
CLEGabriel AriasSSHamstringD60
CLEErik SabrowskiRPElbowD15

How to Watch Yankees vs Guardians

TV Network: FS1, YES Network, CleGuardians.TV, Sportsnet (Canada)

Away Team: New York Yankees

Home Team: Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, June 8th

Game Time: 6:40 PM ET / 3:40 PM PT

Venue: Progressive Field

Location: Cleveland, Ohio

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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