Player Props & Picks for Cardinals vs Yankees (Aug 3)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Cardinals and Yankees open up a new Interleague series tonight in the Bronx
- My top player prop pick is Jasson Dominguez to record over 0.5 hits
- See the top player props and picks for the Cardinals vs Yankees matchup on August 3rd, below
The New York Yankees (63-49) welcome the St. Louis Cardinals (55-57) to Yankee Stadium for the opening game of their Interleague series tonight. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM Eastern in the Bronx, with the MLB weather forecast calling for 82 degree temperatures.
New York enters play as the favorite in the MLB odds, fresh off taking two of three games versus the Cubs. Meanwhile, the Cardinals hit the road as underdogs despite taking down the Blue Jays 5-1 in their previous contest. Even without some of their elite sluggers, the Yankees boast dangerous bats like Jazz Chisholm Jr and look to back starter Cam Schlittler. Schlittler brings a 15-8 record into tonight, making him a daunting assignment for any lineup.
St. Louis counters with Michael McGreevy, who holds a 9-12 mark. He is a pitch-to-contact arm tasked with silencing the crowd and neutralizing New York’s firepower. Below, you’ll see my favorite player props and picks for the Cardinals vs Yankees series opener on August 3.
Player Prop Odds for Cardinals vs Yankees
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Whether you want to back the power in New York’s lineup or fade the strikeout totals on the mound, the player prop markets offer excellent value. I always look at MLB park factors before placing my bets, and Yankee Stadium plays a pivotal role tonight.
Through 49 games this season, the stadium yields 9.06 runs, 15.39 hits, and 2.69 home runs per game. The notoriously short porch in right field makes it an enticing spot for left-handed power.
Ben Rice enters this contest as the overall favorite to go deep. The Yankees slugger has swatted 31 home runs on the season and is priced at +276 to add to his tally. If you prefer to play it slightly safer, his Total Bases prop sits at 1.5 with favorable +109 odds on the over.
For the Cardinals, Jordan Walker leads the power market at +406. Walker has been the primary deep threat with 22 home runs this year.
On the mound, Schlittler has been a premier strikeout artist this season, carrying 165 total punchouts across 136.2 innings. Despite his swing-and-miss stuff, his strikeout prop is heavily juiced to the under (-154) at 7.5.
Conversely, St. Louis starter Mike McGreevy registers just 5.90 K/9 over his 116 frames. His strikeout line is much lower at 4.5, with the under juiced all the way to -170.
The story of this game from an injury perspective revolves entirely around the Bronx Bombers’ missing firepower. With Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Giancarlo Stanton all on the injured list, New York is missing a staggering amount of middle-of-the-order production.
This power vacuum directly affects how oddsmakers price the Yankees’ team totals. The World Series odds contender will have to manufacture runs through situational hitting and base hits rather than relying on the long ball.
Player Props and Picks for Cardinals vs Yankees
When scanning the MLB player props market for tonight’s clash, identifying players riding extreme hot or cold streaks provides my preferred roadmap for finding betting value. By combining hitting streaks with starting pitcher profiles, I have isolated three standout prop bets to target.
Pick: Jasson Dominguez Ov 0.5 Total Hits (-204 at Caesars)
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If there is one player who has figured out how to consistently produce at home lately, it is Jasson Dominguez. Looking at his specific situational trends, Dominguez has gone over 0.5 hits in 4 of 4 home games recently. This makes it one of the most reliable angles on my betting card.
Beyond just his home splits, Dominguez has exceeded 0.5 hits in 11 of his last 14 games overall, creating an elite 79% hit rate over that span. He steps into the box against McGreevy, a pitch-to-contact arm who generates very few swings and misses (5.90 K/9). With McGreevy flooding the strike zone, Dominguez is heavily favored to put the ball in play and cash this ticket.
Pick: Jordan Walker Un 1.5 Total Bases (-188 at Caesars)
While you might find plus-money for Walker to go over this number on some betting apps, the recent data strongly suggests fading the young St. Louis outfielder. Walker is 2-6 versus a total bases over/under of 1.5 in his last 8 games (a 75% under rate). He has also struggled immensely to produce runs, failing to exceed 0.5 RBIs in 10 of his last 14 appearances.
Pick: Paul Goldschmidt Un 0.5 Total Hits (+159 at BetMGM)
For bettors looking for an under-the-radar plus-money payout, fading a struggling veteran is my preferred route. Paul Goldschmidt has failed to record a hit in 4 straight games, and batted a dismal .171 in the month of July per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.