Mariners vs Astros Picks & Props for Sunday Night Baseball

• The Houston Astros are -133 home favorites in their series finale vs the Seattle Mariners
• The two teams have combined to score 32 runs through the first two games of this set
• Read below for the my Mariners vs Astros expert picks and props, as well as updated odds

The Seattle Mariners (58-66) look to carry their offensive momentum into tonight’s matchup as road underdogs against the Houston Astros (63-61) in the rubber match of their 3-game set on Sunday night.

The Mariners secured a 10-5 victory over the Astros, fuelled by a 15-hit performance, bouncing back from a 10-7 loss to open the series. That’s a whopping 32 runs crossing home plate if you’re scoring at home.

The books like the home team to bounce back, setting them as the favorite in the MLB odds.

First pitch goes at 7:20pm ET from Daikin Park in Houston, with national broadcast coverage on NBC/Peacock.

Read below for my Mariners vs Astros picks, props and the latest odds.

Mariners vs Astros Expert Picks & Props

While Seattle managed an upset in the series opener, the statistical profiles suggest Houston is perfectly positioned for a bounce-back victory. I project the home favorites to control this contest. The Astros hold a clear edge in overall production, boasting a .739 OPS at home compared to the Mariners’ lackluster .691 OPS on the road.

Looking at the MLB probable pitchers through their last 10 starts, their last 10 games, both have experienced turbulence. Seattle’s Bryan Woo has logged a 4.72 ERA over his recent 55.1 innings, though he maintains strong command, while Hunter Brown’s recent 10-game sample shows growing control issues, with his walk rate spiking to 4.92 BB/9 and his WHIP climbing to 1.32.

• Moneyline Pick: Astros (-130 at Caesars): Given Houston’s run-prevention advantage and superior offensive metrics, backing them to defend their home turf is the most logical moneyline angle. Start betting at Caesars now to secure this line.

• Under 8 Total Runs (-120 at Caesars): The stylistic matchup points toward a lower-scoring affair. Both starting pitchers have demonstrated the ability to limit baserunners. Additionally, Seattle’s lineup has been lackluster overall, minimizing the potential for an offensive shootout.

• Yordan Alvarez to Hit a Home Run (+250 at Caesars): Alvarez has been a dominant force at the plate this season, slashing .321 with a 1.058 OPS and 36 home runs. He offers excellent value to leave the yard tonight.

• Hunter Brown Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-113 at Caesars): Brown is averaging nearly 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. With Seattle proving highly prone to the punchout (1,061 team strikeouts on the season), Brown is perfectly positioned to eclipse this total.

Mariners vs Astros Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Be sure to use the BetMGM promo code to bet on Mariners vs Astros or any other MLB game. And don’t forget to check the MLB batter vs pitcher stats to help you shape your wagers.

Houston enters this matchup as -129 moneyline favorites at DraftKings, with bet365 listing visiting Mariners priced as +125 road underdogs.

Taking Seattle on the spread is less enticing, given they’re getting 1.5 runs, so the payout odds come in at -185. It’s a different story for the Astros, who are getting +162 odds from FanDuel if they are able to win by at least two runs.

Over bettors will want to head to bet365, where the line is set at 7.5 runs, while Under bettors will prefer Caesars, who offer a line 0f 8.0 runs, with a payout at -120 odds.