Skip to content

Predictions, Props & Splits for White Sox vs Cubs on Aug 18

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in MLB Baseball

Published:


Pete Crow-Armstrong celebrates with Seiya Suzuki
Jul 21, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Cubs center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong (4) celebrates with right fielder Seiya Suzuki (27) after they both scored against the Detroit Tigers during the first inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images
  • The Cubs are favorites to defeat the White Sox in MLB action Tuesday, August 18th
  • The pitching matchup features Bryan Hudson up against Kevin Gausman
  • Continue reading for my White Sox vs Cubs picks and favorite MLB player props

The Chicago Cubs (73-53) host the Chicago White Sox (65-59) tonight at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 PM ET on August 18. The game will be broadcast nationally on TBS and locally on MARQ and CHSN.

In their latest duel Monday, the Cubs secured a 7-5 victory over the White Sox in extra innings. Pete Crow-Armstrong became the first player since 2010 to hit a lead-off home run in the first pitch of the game and also then smash a walk-off home run to defeat his opponent.

White Sox vs Cubs Prediction & Best Bets

Prediction Markets
Best Bets
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Under 8.5 Runs
49%
White Sox to Win
40%

I anticipate an upset tonight, making the White Sox moneyline (+150 at Kalshi) and over 8.5 runs (+104 at Kalshi) my primary predictions in Tuesday’s MLB odds. The pitching discrepancy on the mound stands out. Don’t forget to claim the Kalshi promo code to score a bonus to bet on MLB today.

The White Sox will send Bryan Hudson to the hill as an opener. He boasts a 3.14 ERA in 51.2 innings of work on the campaign. The Cubs counter with veteran Kevin Gausman. He has surrendered a 6.17 ERA over 11.2 innings since joining the club.

With both offenses showing consistent power, the bats should have plenty of opportunities. They can push this game over the total against a vulnerable Gausman.

Best Player Prop: Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-157 at Caesars)

Despite his inflated ERA, Gausman still possesses solid swing-and-miss stuff. He is currently averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings. The opposing lineup is prone to the punchout, accumulating 1,135 total strikeouts this season, fifth worst in MLB. The -157 odds suggest the market respects his whiff rate. You can find options like this among various MLB pitcher strikeout props.

I am relying on home statistics for the North Siders and road numbers for the South Siders to contextualize this matchup.

StatisticChicago Cubs (Home)Chicago White Sox (Road)
Win-Loss Record (Overall)73-53 [5th]65-59 [10th]
Runs per Game5.06 [5th]4.70 [6th]
Home Runs per Game1.32 [8th]1.35 [2nd]
Batting Average (AVG).254 [9th].232 [25th]
OPS.777 [5th].715 [14th]
Stolen Bases per Game0.68 [14th]0.46 [26th]

The home team has a distinct advantage when generating base runners. Their .254 home batting average and .777 OPS suggest a lineup that avoids easy outs.

Conversely, the visitors struggle with contact on the road. They rank 25th in road batting average (.232). However, they launch an elite 1.35 home runs per game in away contests. This power surge allows them to average 4.70 runs per game.

Reviewing the MLB ATS records and totals data, I have identified several situational angles that meet the threshold for significance:

  • The White Sox boast a 64.5% win rate (20-11) as moneyline favorites this season.
  • The Over has cashed in 70% of the Cubs’ last 10 games.
  • The Under has hit in just 20% of the Cubs’ previous 10 contests.
  • The Over has also hit in 70% of the White Sox’s last 10 games.

Betting Odds & Public Splits

Bet TypeChicago White SoxChicago Cubs
Moneyline+150-160
Runline+1.5 (-155)-1.5 (+130)
Total RunsOver 8.5 (-110)Under 8.5 (-110)

Odds as of August 18, 2026, from Caesars Sportsbook. Start betting at Caesars now.

Casual bettors are backing the home favorites on the runline, with 70.7% of tickets laying the runs. However, professional money tells a different story. A massive 80.9% of the money handle is backing the road underdogs to cover the +1.5 spread.

In the moneyline market, the ticket count heavily favors the home side at 76.7%. Yet, their share of the money percentage drops to 60.3%. The visitors have attracted only 23.3% of the tickets but hold a disproportionate 39.7% of the handle.

My prediction on the Total aligns perfectly with the broader market. The Over has accumulated 76.9% of the betting tickets. It is backed by an even stronger 80.8% of the total money percentage.

White Sox vs Cubs Injury Report

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatus
CHCDansby SwansonSSSide10-Day IL
CHCMatt ShawOFHand10-Day IL
CWSJoey BartCHand10-Day IL
CWSKyle TeelCAnkle10-Day IL
CWSBrooks BaldwinOFElbow60-Day IL

How to Watch White Sox vs Cubs

TV Networks: TBS, CHSN and Marquee Sports

Away Team: Chicago White Sox

Home Team: Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, August 18th

Game Time: 8:05 PM ET / 5:05 PM PT

Venue: Wrigley Field

Location: Chicago, Illinois

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

Entertainment NFL NBA MLB NHL Golf NCAAB

Recommended Reading