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Braves vs White Sox Expert Picks & Props to Bet

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in MLB Baseball

Published:


Grant Holmes throws pitch
Mar 29, 2026; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves pitcher Grant Holmes (66) pitches against the Kansas City Royals during the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
  • The Braves and White Sox battle in a makeup game that should’ve been played two months ago
  • Atlanta are road favorites with Grant Holmes facing Anthony Kay
  • Continue reading for my Braves vs White Sox predictions and favorite MLB player prop

The Braves (74-53) head to Rate Field to take on the White Sox (66-60) to finish off their series from June in a makeup game. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 PM ET / 11:10 AM PT with live broadcasts on BravesVsn and CHSN.

Atlanta comes in stumbling, having dropped five of their last six. The White Sox, meanwhile, lost two of three to their state rival Cubs, though they won the latest outing 3-0. Continue reading for my preview for this matinee affair between two clubs currently leading their respective divisions.

Braves vs White Sox Picks & Predictions

I see a distinct advantage for Atlanta on the mound, making them my definitive moneyline play. Braves starter Grant Holmes provides a reliable edge over Chicago’s Anthony Kay. The Braves also boast a 62.6% win rate (57-34) when favored this season. Rather than using traditional sportsbooks, I am looking to the prediction market Kalshi, which prices an Atlanta win at 51¢. This translates to an implied -104 price, offering superior value compared to standard market odds.

My official picks for this matchup:

  • Braves Moneyline: Kalshi 51¢.
  • Over 8.5 Total Runs: Kalshi 52¢.
  • Matt Olson 2+ Total Bases: Kalshi 41¢.

For the game total, the offensive firepower points toward the Over. The Braves and White Sox have each scored over 600 runs this season, ranking 7th and 8th in runs scored in the MLB. At 52¢ on Kalshi, taking the Over is a sharp mathematical play.

In the MLB player props market, I am backing Matt Olson to record multiple bases. Atlanta’s underlying contact metrics are exceptional, and Olson consistently benefits from high-velocity contact. Don’t forget to claim the Kalshi promo code to score a bonus to bet on MLB today.

Probable Pitchers

Grant Holmes vs Anthony Kay

MetricGrant Holmes (ATL)Anthony Kay (CWS)
Win-Loss Record7-59-5
ERA3.824.01
WHIP1.351.34

This matchup features two comparable starters who carry nearly identical workloads. Holmes has been slightly more effective at preventing runs, holding opposing hitters to a lower .247 batting average. Meanwhile, Kay owns a minor edge in peripheral metrics, boasting a lower FIP and a slightly better WHIP.

Team Stats Comparison

StatisticBraves (Road/Overall)White Sox (Home/Overall)
Win Percentage (Overall).583 [4th].524 [10th]
Runs per Game (Split)4.53 [14th]4.97 [8th]
Stolen Bases per Game (Split)0.50 [23rd]0.66 [15th]
Batting Average (Split).236 [21st].246 [17th]
OPS (Split).695 [22nd].745 [12th]
Average Exit Velocity (Split)88.8 mph [6th]88.1 mph [16th]
Team ERA (Overall)3.67 [5th]4.08 [15th]

Braves vs White Sox Betting Odds & Public Splits

Bet TypeBravesWhite Sox
Moneyline-111+101
Runline-1.5 (+150)+1.5 (-178)
Total RunsOver 8.5 (-115)Under 8.5 (-105)

Odds as of August 20 from Caesars Sportsbook. Start betting at Caesars now.

The MLB odds show the Braves as narrow road favorites, while the White Sox sit as slight home underdogs. Given the nearly identical pitching metrics and Chicago’s strong home offense, oddsmakers project a highly competitive game. For runline bettors, laying the spread with Atlanta offers an enticing +150 payout, whereas backing Chicago requires laying steep -178 juice.

Looking at MLB public betting splits, there is a distinct flow of capital backing the road team. While Atlanta commands a modest 56.2% of the moneyline tickets, they draw an overwhelming 81.4% of the overall money. This massive disparity indicates that larger, sharper wagers are heavily invested in the Braves taking care of business straight up.

Interestingly, bettors trust Atlanta to win but expect a tight game. Chicago is drawing 57.1% of the runline tickets and a robust 71.8% of the runline money. For the total, 61.5% of the tickets are backing the Over, showing public confidence in both capable lineups.

Injury Report

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatus
White SoxJoey BartCHand10-Day IL
White SoxKyle TeelCAnkle10-Day IL
White SoxTanner MurrayOFShoulder60-Day IL
White SoxBrooks BaldwinOFElbow60-Day IL
White SoxDavis MartinSPFinger15-Day IL
White SoxDrew ThorpeSPElbow60-Day IL
White SoxKy BushSPElbow60-Day IL
BravesSpencer StriderSPElbow60-Day IL
BravesReynaldo LópezSPKnee15-Day IL
BravesSpencer SchwellenbachSPElbow60-Day IL
BravesRobert SuarezRPElbow15-Day IL
BravesJoe JiménezRPKnee60-Day IL

How to Watch Braves vs White Sox

TV Networks: BravesVision & Chicago Sports Network

Away Team: Atlanta Braves

Home Team: Chicago White Sox

Date: Thursday, August 20th

Game Time: 2:10 PM ET / 11:10 AM PT

Venue: Rate Field

Location: Chicago, Illinois

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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