UFC Fight Night Prelims Picks & Predictions – Paris Undercard Best Bets
By Chris Amberley in Mixed Martial Arts News
Published:
- The UFC Paris prelims are loaded with tremendous betting value before the main card begins
- Mario Pinto offers a sharp method-of-victory angle against Ryan Spann
- Keep reading for my UFC Fight Night Prelims picks, predictions and Paris undercard best bets
The octagon touches down in France on Saturday for UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse, delivering an explosive slate loaded with betting intrigue. The action unfolds at the Accor Arena in Paris, with the preliminary card kicking off at 12:00 PM ET on Paramount+.
I am looking at a card packed with hometown heroes, but my favorite prelim fight to target is Mario Pinto squaring off against Ryan Spann, thanks to the sheer stylistic mismatch. Let’s dive into my favorite UFC Fight Night Prelims picks, predictions and Paris undercard best bets.
UFC Paris Prelims Odds
Odds as of September 4 at BetMGM. Ensure you lock in the best odds with a BetMGM promo code before placing your wagers on this Paris card.
Two UFC Paris prelims odds are dead pick’ems at -110 on both sides: Cornolle vs Sygula and Duclos vs Dias, while Aljarouj vs Sintes sits at -125/+105. Mario Pinto at -333 is the heaviest chalk on the undercard, with Nathaniel Wood next at -303.
The distance markets are where this card separates. Duclos vs Dias is -526 to end inside and Pinto vs Spann is -476, while Benouaich vs Montenegro at -227 and Cornolle vs Sygula at -200 are the two the board expects to reach the scorecards.
UFC Paris Prelims Predictions
UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Mario Pinto by KO/TKO
- UFC Paris Prelims Pick #1: Mario Pinto by KO/TKO (-128 at BetMGM)
Backing the undefeated Mario Pinto (12-0) is one of my most confident plays on the card. A straight moneyline pick is heavily juiced at -333, so I am targeting the specific method of victory prop.
Pinto recently stopped Jhonata Diniz in the second round, landing an absurd 87.88% of his significant strikes (29 of 33) and securing three takedowns. Ryan Spann (24-11) remains a dangerous veteran, but his durability has slipped badly.
Spann recently suffered a second-round stoppage loss to Waldo Cortes-Acosta. Pinto has heavy hands and clinical precision, making this an absolute nightmare matchup for Spann.
UFC Fight Night Prediction: Oumar Sy Moneyline
- UFC Paris Prelims Pick #2: Oumar Sy Moneyline (-238 at BetMGM)
Oumar Sy (12-2) presents a massive stylistic hurdle for Modestas Bukauskas (20-7) in the light heavyweight division. Sy’s offensive output is absolutely relentless.
During his unanimous decision victory against Da Un Jung, Sy poured on the volume, landing 90 significant strikes at a crisp 60.00% accuracy rate while mixing in two takedowns and over three minutes of control time. Bukauskas is a game competitor, but high-volume strikers easily expose his defensive liabilities.
He recently suffered a third-round KO/TKO loss to Nikita Krylov. I expect Sy to dictate the pace from the opening bell with his suffocating volume and timely level changes.
UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Felipe Lima Moneyline
- UFC Paris Prelims Pick #3: Felipe Lima Moneyline (-200 at BetMGM)
Felipe Lima enters this featherweight contest with a 14-2 professional record and a massive advantage in striking efficiency. In his recent submission win over Muhammadjon Naimov, Lima was razor-sharp on the feet, landing 37 significant strikes at a highly efficient 52.86% connection rate.
Morgan Charrière is undoubtedly battle-tested at 21-12-1, but his durability is a glaring issue after getting chin-checked in a quick first-round KO/TKO loss to Melquizael Costa. Lima has the precision to find the mark and force Charrière into compromising grappling situations.
UFC Fight Night Prediction: Nora Cornolle Moneyline
- UFC Paris Prelims Pick #4: Nora Cornolle Moneyline (-110 at BetMGM)
Nora Cornolle (9-4) carries frightening power for the bantamweight division, making her a tremendous play at a pick’em price. Her finishing instincts were on full display in her second-round KO/TKO win over Melissa Mullins, where she scored a knockdown and landed 36 significant strikes at a staggering 70.59% accuracy rate.
Klaudia Sygula (8-2) has put together a solid record, but matching Cornolle’s sheer force and economical striking is going to be a tall task. Cornolle maximizes damage with minimal wasted movement.
Her ability to close the show early offers incredible betting value, saving you from eating a bad beat on the judges’ scorecards.
Check out the best UFC betting apps to line shop across the industry before the Paris prelims get underway.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
