Top Touchdown Picks & Props to Bet in Raiders vs Jets (Week 8)

• The Las Vegas Raiders are in New York to take on the Jets in Week 8
• Jets RB Breece Hall has gone over 13.5 carries in 10 of his last 12 starts
• See my Week 8 Raiders vs Jets TD picks and player props below

The Las Vegas Raiders visit the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on November 1, 2026, for a 1pm ET kickoff on FOX.

Prop bettors will be hyper-focused on offensive playmakers commanding elite volume. Quarterback Geno Smith leads New York, leaning heavily on running back Breece Hall out of the backfield. On the visiting sideline, Kirk Cousins directs an offense generating 269.0 passing yards per outing, while utilizing running back Ashton Jeanty in the ground game. The player prop market is ripe with statistical edges. Here are the top NFL player prop picks for this matchup.

Raiders vs Jets Player Props

The prop market for this AFC clash offers compelling angles centered on undeniable offensive volume and steady game management. Bettors can uncover actionable value by isolating consistent individual workloads and established player usage rates.

Breece Hall Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-125, BetMGM)

Breece Hall remains the undisputed engine of the New York backfield, commanding steady opportunities regardless of the expected game script. This reliable touch volume provides a sturdy floor against the 11.5 rushing attempts line. Hall has exceeded 13.5 rushing attempts in at least 10 of his last 12 games dating back to last season, logging a hefty 16.2 rushing attempts per game average over that span (and averaging 17.0 carries per game in 2026).

Las Vegas yields 143.57 rushing yards per game to opposing offenses, ranking 27th against the run while surrendering 4.68 yards per carry. That porous defensive front presents a highly favorable script for New York to establish Hall early and control the time of possession, making BetMGM‘s 11.5-carry line a significant bargain.

Brock Bowers Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (+100 / 50¢, Kalshi)

Anchoring the Las Vegas passing attack, Brock Bowers commands an elite target share as Kirk Cousins’ undisputed primary receiving option. The superstar tight end has exceeded 69.5 receiving yards in each of his five games this season (116, 86, 110, 70, and 73 yards), maintaining an impressive 91.0 receiving yards per game average on 10.4 targets per contest.

His near-100% route participation makes him a constant mismatch across the middle of the field. Facing a New York defense allowing 202.86 passing yards per game, Bowers should see plenty of high-percentage targets to move the chains. Getting even money (+100) on a player who has cleared this total in 100% of his appearances in 2026 is an absolute gift.

Geno Smith Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-137, Novig)

Protecting the football remains a durable hallmark of Geno Smith’s statistical profile in New York’s system. Smith did not throw an interception in each of his first five starts of the season, maintaining an interception-free streak through more than 150 pass attempts to start 2026.

He faces a Las Vegas secondary that struggles to disrupt passing lanes, averaging just 0.71 defensive interceptions per game and ranking in the bottom third of the league in turnover creation. With offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand designing quick, rhythm-based throws to keep Smith clean, avoiding an errant turnover presents a mathematically sound angle based on hard data.

LV Raiders vs NY Jets Touchdown Props & Odds

Raiders vs Jets Anytime Touchdown Pick

Ashton Jeanty Anytime Touchdown (+113 / 47¢ at Kalshi)

To capitalize on high-leverage red zone efficiency, back rookie sensation Ashton Jeanty to find the end zone at plus-money. Operating as the primary goal-line and short-yardage hammer in Antonio Pierce’s offense, Jeanty has already scored four touchdowns (one rushing, three receiving) while racking up 106 carries through seven games. His diverse red zone usage gives him a sturdy baseline to break the plane, as Kirk Cousins frequently dials up designed screens and goal-line swing routes to complement Jeanty’s between-the-tackles workload.

Facing a New York defense that has surrendered 11 offensive touchdowns over its last four games, the 47¢ price tag on Kalshi offers massive expected value for a running back commanding virtually all of Las Vegas’ goal-line touches.