Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds & Tuesday Night CFB Picks

• Miami (OH) puts a three-game win streak on the line against 5-3 Buffalo on Tuesday night
• A stout run defense and a dual-threat quarterback shape my Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) prediction
• Read below for my Buffalo vs Miami (OH) spread, total and player prop picks, plus a same-game parlay

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Midweek MACtion returns with a high-stakes clash as the Buffalo Bulls travel to Oxford, Ohio, to face the Miami (OH) RedHawks at 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, on ESPN.

Buffalo enters 5-3 overall and 3-1 in conference play, while the home favorite RedHawks bring a three-game winning streak into this pivotal conference battle.

We will analyze the Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) odds, examining spread and moneyline edges, over/under totals and college football player props to find the best value on the board.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Odds and Picks

Odds verified at BetMGM on November 2, 2026.

BetMGM lists Miami (OH) as a -238 moneyline favorite, with Buffalo at +195. The total sits at 44.5, with the Under at -111 and the Over at -108. Removing the vig gives Miami roughly a 67.5% chance to win outright.

The market expects a low-scoring home win, and the spread sitting just under a touchdown is where the value lies. Compare prices across the top College Football betting apps before kickoff.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Pick #1: Miami (OH) -6.5

• Pick: Miami (OH) -6.5 (-111 at BetMGM)

Miami’s -238 moneyline price in the college football odds signals heavy market confidence, yet the spread sits at 6.5 points. Laying the points just under the critical touchdown threshold presents the best ATS value.

Miami’s run defense is the matchup edge. The RedHawks allow 94.9 rushing yards per game, 14th nationally, and have held opponents to 272 yards on 109 carries over their last four games.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Pick #2: Under 44.5

• Pick: Under 44.5 (-111 at BetMGM)

The total sits at 44.5, and neither offense projects for high passing volume. Miami’s Caleb Heavner, set for his fifth start, has completed 56 of 102 passes for 615 yards and three touchdowns.

Buffalo leans on Messiah Burch, who has 845 rushing yards and five touchdowns, but he runs into a Miami front allowing just 2.5 yards per carry over its last four games. A grind-it-out script limits total possessions and makes the Under the optimal play.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Pick #3: Caleb Heavner Anytime TD

• Pick: Caleb Heavner Anytime TD Scorer (price not yet posted at BetMGM)

Heavner has already added 217 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns, and his dual-threat profile makes him a high-probability red zone weapon. His mobility allows the offense to sustain drives, chew clock and capitalize on high-leverage red zone trips.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Same Game Parlay

• Leg 1: Miami (OH) Moneyline (-238 at BetMGM)
• Leg 2: Under 44.5 Total Points (-111 at BetMGM)
• Leg 3: Caleb Heavner Anytime TD (unpriced target)
• Leg 4: Messiah Burch Over 105.5 Rushing Yards (unpriced target)

Messiah Burch is the engine of Buffalo’s ground game, with 845 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Correlating Burch’s rushing volume with a clock-draining Under crafts a logical, narrative-driven SGP. Adding a Heavner score and a Miami win completes a parlay rooted heavily in field position battles and clock control.

The player props above are targets, not verified sportsbook quotes. This is a proposed combination, with availability and the combined price still to be checked.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Betting Predictions

Prediction: Miami (OH) covers -6.5 in a low-scoring game that stays Under 44.5.

This game comes down to Buffalo’s ground attack against one of the country’s better run defenses. If Miami keeps Burch in check the way it has bottled up opponents over the last four weeks, the Bulls will struggle to sustain drives.

On the other side, Heavner gives the RedHawks a quarterback who can hurt Buffalo with his legs as well as his arm. With Buffalo sitting 3-1 in MAC play, keep an eye on how the result shifts the college football conference championship odds.