College Football Predictions Against the Spread for Every Big Game Today
By Chris Amberley in College Football
Published:
- Today’s college football slate is loaded with big games and even bigger stakes
- Texas is a live dog to upset LSU in Baton Rouge
- See below for my complete card of college football predictions against the spread for every big game today
My Saturday college football predictions against the spread start with three home favorites today. Miami has the biggest number to cover of the three at -13.5 against Duke.
This week’s slate features the undefeated Utah Utes (9-0) hitting the road against the Arizona Wildcats (7-2). Elsewhere, the Indiana Hoosiers aim to validate their 8-1 record as home favorites against the USC Trojans (7-2).
Below, I’ll break down the betting angles for Saturday’s slate. Compare our College Football betting apps before you lock anything in. Keep reading for my college football predictions against the spread for every big game today.
Editor’s note: Ole Miss at Oklahoma has moved to Sunday, Nov. 15, at 1 p.m. ET. Our Ole Miss +2.5 pick still applies.
College Football Predictions Against the Spread Today (Nov. 14)
Prices as of Saturday, Nov. 14. Sign up with the BetMGM promo code to score a bonus to use on any of these games.
I’m backing six favorites and taking the points with Vanderbilt, Ole Miss and Texas. Four favorites on my card lay at least 9.5 points.
College Football ATS Picks for Every Big Game Today
1. Duke Blue Devils at Miami (FL) Hurricanes
In Duke vs Miami, I like the 8-1 Hurricanes at home led by Heisman Trophy odds contender Darian Mensah. The half-point matters here. If Miami gets the ball back up seven in the fourth quarter, a touchdown and extra point would put it ahead by 14 and cover my number.
Duke comes in 7-2. The biggest risk to my Miami pick is a late Duke touchdown. Even if the Hurricanes lead by 17 inside the final two minutes, a score by the Blue Devils would bring them back inside the spread.
- Pick: Miami (FL) -13.5 (-114 at BetMGM).
2. Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks
I’m laying 10.5 in Michigan vs Oregon. Against the 5-4 Wolverines, I like the 6-3 Ducks to build a lead at home and make Michigan throw more often than it wants to. A ten-point Oregon win would still leave this pick half a point short.
Still, Michigan could cover if it stays ahead of the chains on the ground, drains the clock, and forces Oregon into long third downs.
- Pick: Oregon -10.5 (-111 at BetMGM).
3. USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana enters USC vs. Indiana as a 9.5-point favorite in the college football odds. I’m backing the 8-1 Hoosiers to get pressure without having to send an extra rusher. The Hoosiers can cover by stifling USC’s drives and consistently controlling the line of scrimmage.
The 7-2 Trojans can spoil that pick by extending drives on third down. With USC getting 9.5, a late field goal matters even if it only cuts Indiana’s lead from 12 to nine.
- Pick: Indiana -9.5 (-111 at BetMGM).
ATS Picks for the Rest of Today’s Big Games
Northwestern at Ohio State pits two 6-3 teams, but I trust the Buckeyes to separate at home. Ohio State covers by turning Northwestern mistakes into short fields. The Wildcats beat this number if they shorten the game and keep it inside 14 late.
- Pick: Ohio State -14 (-108 at BetMGM).
In Alabama vs. Vanderbilt, two touchdowns is a lot to lay on the road for 7-2 Alabama against 4-5 Vanderbilt. The Commodores cover by controlling the clock and limiting Alabama’s possessions. They lose the cover if they fall behind early and abandon the run.
- Pick: Vanderbilt +14 (-108 at BetMGM).
For Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma, I will take the 6-3 Rebels and the points against the 5-4 Sooners. Ole Miss covers by winning the turnover battle. A late Oklahoma field goal to win by three would sink this ticket.
- Pick: Ole Miss +2.5 (-105 at BetMGM).
Texas vs. LSU now gives the 7-2 Longhorns a full five points against the 6-3 Tigers. Texas has been playing like a National Championship odds contender recently and can cover by keeping LSU’s offense off the field in the second half. The Longhorns lose this if they settle for red zone field goals while LSU finds the end zone.
- Pick: Texas +5 (-111 at BetMGM).
Utah vs. Arizona is close to a pick’em, and I am backing the unbeaten 9-0 Utes over the 7-2 Wildcats. Utah needs to win by two or more, while a one-point Utah win pushes. An Arizona win cashes the other side.
- Pick: Utah -1 (-111 at BetMGM).
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State has the 8-1 Red Raiders as road underdogs, and I am siding with the 6-3 Cowboys at home. Oklahoma State covers if it wins by four or more. Texas Tech beats this by keeping it a field goal game.
- Pick: Oklahoma State -3.5 (-105 at BetMGM).
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
