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USC vs Indiana Player Props: Best Jayden Maiava & Charlie Becker Prop Bets

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in College Football

Published:


Charlie Becker first down celebration
Indiana's Charlie Becker (80) celebrates a first down during the Indiana versus Northwestern football game at Memorial Stadium on Friday, Sept. 25, 2026.
  • USC brings its pass-first offense to Bloomington for a key Big Ten test
  • Indiana’s unsettled quarterback spot shapes how I approach the prop board
  • See below for my USC vs Indiana player props, targets and matchup predictions

USC (7-2) visits Indiana (8-1) on Saturday, Nov. 14, at 3:30pm ET on CBS from Memorial Stadium in Bloomington. The Trojans arrive off a 30-18 win over Ohio State, while the Hoosiers return from a bye week.

Indiana has not named a starter between Josh Hoover and Grant Wilson. Wilson replaced Hoover against Minnesota and led the Hoosiers to an overtime win, capped by a Charlie Becker touchdown, according to Indiana’s official notes.

That uncertainty makes the prop board more selective than usual. I’ll lay out the USC vs Indiana player props I’m targeting, the prices I need and the evidence behind each angle.

USC vs Indiana Player Props: Odds and Targets

MarketPrice or TargetStatus
Indiana to Win75¢Kalshi quote
USC to Win26¢Kalshi quote
Indiana -7.553¢Kalshi quote
Over 50.5 Total Points49¢Kalshi quote
Jayden Maiava 234+ Passing YardsYES below 53¢Target only, no verified quote
Charlie Becker Anytime TDYES below 55¢Target only, no verified quote
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Kalshi prices as of Nov. 13, 1:41pm ET.

Kalshi prices Indiana at 75¢ to win and puts the Over 50.5 at 49¢, so the market expects a Hoosiers win in a game with real scoring potential. That backdrop supports both of my prop angles. Neither prop has a verified quote yet, so each one stays a target until it posts below my price.

USC vs Indiana Player Prop Predictions

Jayden Maiava 234+ Passing Yards

Evidence: Jayden Maiava has averaged 310.1 passing yards in seven career USC starts against ranked opponents. That gives the 234-yard target some context, though his completion rate in those games was 61.2%. The Trojans have 2,650 passing yards against 1,164 rushing yards and average 423.8 total yards per game. Their 49.5% third-down rate (53 of 107) keeps drives alive and gives Maiava steady volume.

If Indiana takes an early lead, as the 75¢ moneyline suggests it could, USC’s pass-first approach should lean even harder on the air. A trailing game script tends to add attempts, which helps a yardage target like this one.

Risk: Indiana’s pass rush has 32.0 sacks this season, and every sack costs yards and snaps. USC has also committed nine turnovers for a -2 differential, so a stalled or short drive can cap the ceiling quickly. The target only works at a price that accounts for that pressure.

  • Target: Jayden Maiava 234+ Passing Yards, Consider only below 53¢ if a matching NoVig market opens

Charlie Becker Anytime Touchdown

Evidence: Becker caught eight passes for 149 yards against Minnesota, including the touchdown that won it in overtime. It was his fourth 100-yard receiving game this season. When the game was on the line, Indiana went to him, and that trust matters near the goal line regardless of which quarterback starts.

The game environment helps too. With the Over 50.5 priced near a coin flip and Indiana favored, the Hoosiers project to reach the end zone multiple times. More Indiana touchdowns mean more chances for their go-to receiver.

Risk: The quarterback decision cuts both ways. A new starter or a midgame change can shift red-zone targets, and Indiana could lean on the run inside the 10. Touchdown props are all-or-nothing, so the entry price has to stay disciplined.

  • Target: Charlie Becker Anytime Touchdown, Consider only below 55¢ if a matching NoVig market opens

Indiana Quarterback Props: No Position

Evidence: Indiana has not named Hoover or Wilson as the starter. Without a confirmed starter, any passing yardage or touchdown market for either player depends on a decision that hasn’t been made yet.

Risk: Buying a quarterback prop now means betting on the depth chart as much as on performance. If one player starts and the other plays in relief, both markets could miss. I’m passing until Indiana confirms its plan.

  • No Position: Josh Hoover and Grant Wilson props until Indiana names a starter

Compare the college football odds before kickoff.

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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