The Best Touchdown Picks & Player Props for Seahawks/Raiders

The Seattle Seahawks travel to Allegiant Stadium to face the Las Vegas Raiders on November 15, 2026, at 4:05 PM ET on CBS. With the full-game total sitting at 40.5, player prop bettors have plenty to dissect. Seattle faces a notable offensive shakeup with signal-caller Sam Darnold sidelined by a ribs injury, shifting the spotlight to running back Zach Charbonnet and receiver Cooper Kupp. Meantime, Las Vegas will lean on running back Ashton Jeanty and tight end Brock Bowers to drive their offense. Here are the top player prop picks for this matchup.

Seahawks vs Raiders Player-Prop Picks

With a backup quarterback stepping in for Seattle and the Raiders struggling defensively, this matchup offers unique angles for player prop bettors. The market reflects these uncertainties, creating exploitable lines for depth targets and established weapons alike.

Tre Tucker Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-113, Novig)

Las Vegas pass catchers face a difficult assignment against Seattle, a unit that ranks first overall by allowing just 168.78 passing yards per game. However, this yardage total remains low enough to attack comfortably. Tre Tucker has exceeded 26.5 receiving yards in at least 11 of his last 12 games (54.2 receiving yards per game average). Even if the Raiders rely heavily on the ground game early, a trailing game script could easily force enough late passing volume toward Tucker to clear this modest number.

With rookie Fernando Mendoza taking over under center following the Kirk Cousins trade and Dont’e Thornton Jr questionable with a back issue after missing Friday’s practice, Tucker steps into an elevated perimeter role. Tucker commands an 86.4% route participation rate and an 11.8-yard average depth of target, providing Mendoza with a proven boundary outlet who can erase this 27.5-yard hurdle on one or two intermediate catches.

Seattle’s top-ranked pass defense leans heavily into single-high safety coverage looks on the road, creating one-on-one boundary isolation for Tucker against secondary cornerbacks. Given his consistent ability to generate explosive plays – averaging 13.6 yards per reception this season – Tucker does not need heavy target volume to smash this depressed line.

Rashid Shaheed Over 1.5 Receptions (-150, Kalshi)

Shifting to the Seahawks’ pass catchers, one specific matchup stands out for a depth target. The Raiders defense ranks 32nd in total net yards allowed per game (385.44) and 32nd in scoring defense (29.78 points allowed per game), providing ample room for secondary weapons to thrive on extended drives. Rashid Shaheed has exceeded 1.5 receptions in at least five of his last six games (2.5 receptions per game average). With Drew Lock filling in under center, reliable quick-game targets will be essential to keeping the chains moving.

Lock enters this contest operating behind an offensive line missing both starting left tackle Charles Cross and guard Quenton Nelson, which severely restricts Seattle’s ability to develop slow, deep-drop passing concepts. Offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb will rely heavily on schemed quick touches, manufactured receiver screens, and jet sweeps to get the ball out of Lock’s hands before the pass rush arrives.

Shaheed has logged an 82% catch rate on targets under 10 yards, giving Lock a lightning-fast option in space against a Las Vegas defense that ranks dead last in defensive EPA allowed on quick throws. Needing just two simple receptions in a dome environment against the NFL’s worst total defense makes this Shaheed prop an elite high-floor selection.

Zach Charbonnet Under 15.5 Rushing Attempts (-122, Novig)

Despite the quarterback change, Charbonnet’s rushing volume has historically capped out early in favorable matchups. Las Vegas permits 151.22 rushing yards per game, which ranks 32nd in the league. Surprisingly, Zach Charbonnet has failed to exceed 15.5 rushing attempts each of his last 12 games against bottom-10 rushing defenses (8.4 rushing attempts per game average). Given this remarkably low historical usage in similar spots, bettors should fade his attempt volume even in what appears to be an ideal matchup on paper.

Seattle’s offensive identity with Lock under center leans into a diversified rotation rather than feeding Charbonnet workhorse volume between the tackles. Without Cross and Nelson anchoring the left side of the line, Seattle’s interior rushing efficiency faces significant headwinds, disincentivizing Mike Macdonald from running directly into stacked eight-man defensive boxes.

Additionally, Seattle routinely deploys secondary backs and incorporates quick perimeter swing passes to Cooper Kupp and Jaxon Smith-Njigba as an extension of the run game. With Charbonnet handling more than 15 carries only once all season and game flow likely demanding sustained passing downs, his attempt ceiling remains firmly suppressed.

SEA vs LVR Touchdown Odds

For bettors looking to add an anytime touchdown pick to their card, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands out at the top of the pricing board. With backup Drew Lock under center, securing reliable underneath targets in the red zone becomes critical.

Anytime Touchdown Pick: Smith-Njigba (+108 / 48¢, Kalshi)

At 48¢ (+108), Smith-Njigba offers a statistically backed anytime touchdown pick to target.

Smith-Njigba has been an unstoppable scoring machine in 2026, crossing the 1,000-yard receiving mark after just nine games while averaging a touchdown catch per contest. Even with Drew Lock under center, Smith-Njigba remains the undisputed focal point of Seattle’s aerial attack, commanding a massive 33.4% red-zone target share and 42.1% of first-read looks inside the 20-yard line.

Las Vegas has surrendered 20 passing touchdowns through nine games and ranks 31st in passer rating allowed inside the red zone (114.6), repeatedly giving up scores to shifty route-runners in the slot. With Lock relying on his premier playmaker on quick slants, option routes, and back-shoulder fades, getting plus-money odds (+108 / 48¢ on Kalshi) on a receiver scoring at a touchdown-per-game pace is exceptional value.