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Rams vs Cardinals Expert Picks & TD Scorer Bets (Week 10)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NFL News

Published:


Kyren Williams busts a big run vs the Raiders.
Oct 25, 2026; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams (23) rushes for a touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
  • The Rams and Cardinals square off on Sunday in a clash of depleted rosters
  • Arizona will start third string QB Carson Beck, while LA will be without its top-2 wideouts
  • Keep reading for my Rams vs Cardinals expert picks and TD scorer best for Week 10, below

The Los Angeles Rams visit the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium this afternoon, for a 4:05 PM ET kickoff on CBS. Oddsmakers have set the full-game total at a modest 39.5 points in the NFL odds, pointing to a gritty field position battle.

With both squads leaning heavily into clock-chewing run schemes and a depressed game total reflecting limited scoring ceiling, betting value sits squarely in individual usage props. Los Angeles funnels scoring equity directly through Kyren Williams and Blake Corum, while Arizona’s offense remains heavily condensed around tight end Trey McBride and young quarterback Carson Beck navigating a fierce Rams front.

Keep reading for my Rams vs Cardinals expert picks and TD scorer best for Week 10, below.

Rams vs Cardinals Expert Picks and TD Scorer Bets

PlayerPropLineOddsSportsbook
Kyren WilliamsAnytime TDYes-122Kalshi
Blake CorumAnytime TDYes+114Kalshi
Carson BeckPassing YardsUnder 179.5-115BetMGM

Bettors can find serious value by analyzing individual workloads in the NFL player props market. Before locking in your card, keep these three actionable takeaways in mind:

  • Back the stable receiving floor of Kyren Williams in a favorable game script
  • Target high-leverage goal-line touches for Blake Corum at plus money
  • Fade the struggling Arizona passing attack against a disruptive Los Angeles pass rush

Pick #1: Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (-122, Kalshi)

Williams remains Sean McVay’s primary offensive engine, handling a commanding 74.2% snap share and scoring at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine NFC West divisional matchups. Against Arizona specifically, Williams has terrorized the desert front, crossing the goal line five times in his last three appearances while averaging 21.3 high-leverage touches per contest.

The Cardinals rank 28th league-wide in defensive rush EPA (0.052) and surrender 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game, frequently getting pushed back on duo and zone-lead concepts. McVay consistently dials up designed red-zone touches for Williams both between the tackles and on swing routes in the flat, giving him multiple avenues to cash this ticket inside the 20-yard line. New users can claim the Kalshi promo code to score a bonus to use on this game.

Pick #2: Blake Corum Anytime Touchdown (+122, Kalshi)

The Super Bowl 61 odds contender’s red zone offense has shifted heavily toward the ground game, and Corum has emerged as the designated closer near the goal line. He boasts a robust red zone snap share. Arizona has struggled immensely with gap discipline, meaning Corum should see plenty of high-value carries in scoring position. Securing these odds via an anytime touchdown prop is an absolute steal for a player getting premium touches.

Corum’s short-yardage footprint has expanded dramatically, taking over 42.8% of the Rams’ designed carries inside the opponent’s 5-yard line over the last month as McVay spells Williams in heavy jumbo packages. Corum brings an explosive 80.0% goal-to-go conversion rate, utilizing his low center of gravity to punch through interior defensive fronts.

Arizona’s defensive line has surrendered touchdowns on 73.3% of opponent red-zone visits over their last four games, coughing up eight rushing scores in that span alone. Grabbing plus-money (+122 / 45¢ implied on Kalshi) on a dynamic power back who gets dedicated, schemed touches at the one- and two-yard line is an enormous mathematical edge over the market. Before making any bet, scan the prediction market apps to find the best price.

Pick #3: Carson Beck Under 179.5 Passing Yards (-115, BetMGM)

Beck’s passing volume faces a massive hurdle against an aggressive Los Angeles defense designed to fluster young quarterbacks. The Rams pass rush should dictate the pace from the opening snap, forcing Beck off his spots and disrupting timing. Fading the Arizona passing attack is the sharp play here.

Asking a young quarterback to clear 180 passing yards against this Los Angeles front is a brutal assignment. The Rams feature one of the league’s most disruptive defensive lines, ranking top-three in quarterback pressure rate (38.9%) and collapsing pockets without needing to blitz. That front poses a nightmare matchup for an Arizona offensive line that has struggled with protection breakdowns.

With Arizona likely to lean on a heavy dose of the run game to protect their young signal-caller and shorten the game, Beck’s dropback ceiling projects to be severely capped, making the Under 179.5 the smartest angle on Arizona’s passing attack. Grab the BetMGM promo code to lock in this line.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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