Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Odds & Matchup Stats

Miami

33-25

Denver

40-19

February 29, 2024

10:00 PM EST

Ball Arena

Closing Odds

Matchup				Bet %	Money %	Consensus
Miami	+6 -106	+6.5 -112	+6.5 -110	42%
Denver	-6 -114	-6.5 -108	-6.5 -110	58%

This game was played on February 29, 2024. Closing Odds were accurate as of 10:00 pm. Check out upcoming NBA Odds.

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Predicted Score

109.1 - 111.3

Our formula predicts the Denver Nuggets will beat the Miami Heat by a score of 111.3–109.1.

Win Probability

31.7% - 68.3%

The Nuggets have a 68.3% chance of beating the Heat based off the odds.

Pick

Denver To Win

Heat COVER the +6 spread and the total is OVER 214.5

SportsBettingDime’s formula is picking the Heat (+6) to cover the spread, and has the total going Over 214.5.

Consensus
Picks

13%

87%

42%

58%

56%

44%

MLATSO/U

58% of the bets placed against the spread are on the Nuggets ; the moneyline splits show 87% of the moneyline bets are on the Nuggets at -245 odds; 56% of the public bets are on the Over ().

Trends

Miami

Denver

RETURN ON INVESTMENT: LAST 10 GAMES

Apr.10DateMay.1

ATS

OVER

UNDER

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Miami

RETURN ON INVESTMENT: LAST 10 GAMES

Apr.10DateMay.1

ATS

OVER

UNDER

KEY INSIGHT: Available exclusively for SBD Plus users. Login or Register for FREE.

Denver

RETURN ON INVESTMENT: LAST 10 GAMES

Apr.10DateMay.1

ATS

OVER

UNDER

KEY INSIGHT: Available exclusively for SBD Plus users. Login or Register for FREE.

Understanding Return on Investment Trends

SBD Sharp measures the profitability of teams over time. A positive percentage indicates that betting the team has been profitable in recent games. Visit SBD Sharp for a detailed explanation of ROI trends or register for your free SBD Plus account account today.

Futures Trackers

Track the NBA Championship odds all season and see how Miami and Denver compare to the top contenders.

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Stats

Records

Miami

Denver

33-25

Overall

40-19

18-12

Away/Home

23-5

12-29Udog/Fav55-22

Each team's record on the moneyline, spread, and over/under, with home and road splits for each.

Team Leaders

Jimmy Butler

Nikola Jokic

21.5

PPG

25.9

50%

FG%

58%

45%

3P%

35%

Compare key stats for each team's most impactful players.

Head to Head

Miami

Denver

Offensive Rating

114.9

119.2

Points Per Game

110.6

114.6

Assists Per Game

25.9

29.1

Field Goal %

46.0%

49.0%

3-Point %

37.0%

Defensive Rating

115.8

117

Points Per Game Allowed

109.9

110.4

Field Goal % Allowed

47.0%

3-Point % Allowed

36.0%

Rebound +/-

-47

138

Directly compare team stats for the most important metrics.

Injuries

Miami

Denver

Player	Status
Tyler Herro Out	Knee 02/28/2024 @ 12:00AM EST
Kevin Love Out	Heel 02/28/2024 @ 12:00AM EST
Josh Richardson Out	Shoulder 02/12/2024 @ 12:00AM EST
Dru Smith Out For Season	Knee 11/24/2023 @ 12:00AM EST

Miami

Player	Status
Tyler Herro Out	Knee 02/28/2024 @ 12:00AM EST
Kevin Love Out	Heel 02/28/2024 @ 12:00AM EST
Josh Richardson Out	Shoulder 02/12/2024 @ 12:00AM EST
Dru Smith Out For Season	Knee 11/24/2023 @ 12:00AM EST