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Commanders Still Have Worse AAF Championship Odds Than Hotshots & Fleet

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in AAF

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 4:02 PM PDT

Kenneth Farrow San Antonio Commanders RB
Kenneth Farrow leads the Commanders rushing attack, posting 305 yards on the ground this season. (Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire)
  • The 3-2 San Antonio Commanders share the AAF West Division lead
  • San Antonio scored an AAF-record 26 first-half points in a Week 5 victory over Arizona
  • Despite this, the Commanders are only given the fifth-best odds to win the AAF championship

Can the San Antonio Commanders be masters of the Alliance of American Football? The online sports betting sites don’t seem to think so.

Across the top sportsbooks, San Antonio sits at average AAF Championship odds of +650. Oddsmakers have the Commanders at odds of +700 to win the title.

2019 AAF Championship Odds

Team Odds to Win 2019 AAF Championship a
Orlando Apollos +100
Arizona Hotshots +500
Birmingham Iron +500
San Diego Fleet +550
San Antonio Commanders +700
Salt Lake Stallions +2500
Atlanta Legends +2500
Memphis Express +7500

*Odds taken on March 13

Among those teams given better odds of winning the league championship are the Arizona Hotshots and San Diego Fleet. Both squads have been defeated by the Commanders this season.

Reasons To Like San Antonio

The Commanders have won two in a row. They knocked the Birmingham Iron from the ranks of the unbeaten in Week 4. Last week, they roared to a 26-0 lead at Arizona and held on for a 29-25 decision over the Hotshots.

There’s speculation the team is considering signing 2012 Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel.

But last week, San Antonio quarterback John Woodside lit it up. He was AAF Offensive Player of the Week for Week 5. Woodside was 21-of-27 for 290 yards and two touchdowns. His passer rating was an impressive 120.7.

Wide receiver Mekale McKay caught five balls for 91 yards. A three-pronged running attack of Kenneth Farrow, Trey Williams, and Aaron Green grinds down both opposing defenses and the game clock.

Defensively, the Commanders forced five Hotshots turnovers.

They’ve also developed a fanbase. They lead the league in attendance. San Antonio averages 28,517 fans per game.

Reasons To Doubt The Commanders

San Antonio’s been wildly inconsistent. They won their season opener. Then they lost two in a row. Now they’ve won two in a row.

The Commanders squandered a 27-19 lead in a 37-29 loss to unbeaten Orlando. They nearly threw away that 26-point lead last week against Arizona.

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San Antonio assembled five scoring drives of 10 or more plays in the loss to the Apollos. However, the next week, in a loss to the Fleet, they engineered no such drives.

The Commanders actually have a minus-14 point differential.

They’ve surrendered 110 points. That’s the most of any AAF team with a winning record.

Where Should You Put Your Money?

The Orlando Apollos are going to win the AAF championship. And when they do, instead of Disneyland, they should announce that they’re going to Disney World. They’re already there, after all.

Orlando is 5-0. They’ve clobbered everybody. Their offense looks unstoppable. The Apollos have sliced and diced every team in the league, and made mince meat of Birmingham’s AAF-best defense.

If you’re putting your wager on any other team to win the AAF title, you’ll just be throwing your money away.

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