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San Antonio Commanders Finally a Top 3 AAF Championship Contender After Week 7

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in AAF

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 9:50 AM PDT

San Antonio Commanders
The Commanders have been unbeatable lately. Photo by @aafcommanders (Twitter)
  • The San Antonio Commanders’ AAF Championship odds have been shortened to +350
  • The Commanders have won four straight and sit alone atop the Western Conference
  • Is there any value in betting San Antonio to win the title?

The AAF Championship game is set to kick-off April 27th in Texas, and there’s a high probability the home state team will be playing for the title.

The red hot San Antonio Commanders are playing their best football of the season and have seen their AAF Championship odds shortened to +350.

2019 AAF Championship Odds

Team 2019 AAF Championship Odds
Orlando Apollos +115
Arizona Hotshots +325
San Antonio Commanders +350
Birmingham Iron +500

*Odds taken on 03/27/19

It’s the first time this season they’ve been a top three contender and their current price is a far cry from the +1200 odds bettors could have grabbed after San Antonio’s sluggish 1-2 start.

San Antonio Has Depth at QB

In a league starved for Quarterback talent, the Commanders can take comfort in the fact that they have two reliable options. After starter Logan Woodside went down in the fourth quarter Saturday, Marquise Williams stepped in and engineered a nine play, 70-yard drive for the go ahead score.

Woodside expects to be ready for a pivotal Week 8 clash against Arizona, but if he’s unable to go, Williams is more than capable of leading San Antonio to another victory.

He put up big numbers at North Carolina, both with his arm and with his feet, and had enough talent to keep second overall pick Mitchell Trubisky on the bench during his tenure at UNC.

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Commanders Defined by Defense

While the Commanders feature plenty of talent on offense, the biggest reason for their rise to the top of the Western Conference has been the play of their defense.

They sealed a fourth straight win by intercepting a two point conversion in the dying moments against Salt Lake, and they’re the league’s number one graded coverage unit according to Pro Football Focus. They lead the AAF with 13 interceptions and have PFF’s top graded player patrolling the secondary.

They’ve also allowed the second fewest total yards and boast PFF’s second best pass rushing unit, led by Jayrone Elliott and his 6.5 sacks.

Riding a Rowdy Crowd to the Title Game

Two of the Commanders’ final three games are in San Antonio, and there’s no bigger home field advantage in the AAF.

They average nearly 10,000 more fans per game than any other team in the league, and the atmosphere at the Alamodome is reminiscent of the Superdome in New Orleans.

The excessive noise can wreak havoc on an opposing offenses and when you combine it with a dominant defense, the odds of winning dramatically shift in San Antonio’s favor. If they hold serve at home in Week 8, they’ll be a virtual lock to host the Western Conference Championship game, giving them a favorable road to the title game. I’d pounce on their AAF championship odds now, because their price will surely drop if they take care of business again on Sunday.

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