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Alex Dilmaghani vs Francisco Fonseca Odds & Picks

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated Mar 31, 2020 · 4:38 PM PDT

Dilmaghani vs Fonseca
Dilmaghani vs Fonseca goes Saturday, November 16th. Photo by @HennessySports (Twitter)
  • Dilmaghani vs Fonseca goes Saturday, November 16th at 4:00 pm EST
  • Can Dilmaghani capitalize on this long-awaited title fight opportunity?
  • Can Fonseca win a world championship after going 0-2 in prior efforts?

Dilmaghani vs Fonseca is a high stakes clash between high-level contenders. The event emanates from York Hall in London, England. The vacant IBO world super featherweight title hangs in the balance when these two compete. For Fonseca, this represents his third crack at a world title belt on the heels of coming up short twice prior.

For Dilmaghani, this represents his first taste of the world title stage and he intends to make an impression.  It will surely be an intriguing 12 round prizefight. You can check out the odds for this fight and my analysis of the bout below.

Dilmaghani vs Fonseca Odds

Fighter Odds
Alex Dilmaghani -325
Francisco Fonseca +250

Odds taken Nov. 12th

Fonseca is hoping that third time’s the charm will ring through with this fight. These two were supposed to fight last month but a last-minute issue derailed the fight. Fonseca was ill prior to the ring walk and the main event fight was scrapped on the advice of medical professionals.

A few weeks later, these two are finally set to go at in a compelling style clash. Calculated purveyor of the sweet science versus a roughneck fighter with nuclear power in his hands. I see the fight going in the favor of the nuclear power-wielding Fonseca.

Third Time’s the Charm for Fonseca

Dilmaghani has not been defeated in nearly ten years. This fight is a jump up in competition that he has long campaigned for and Dilmaghani will have a chance to test his mettle. Fonseca has a 76-percent finishing rate and is only 25 years old.

Considering his relative youth is kind of wild considering how much high-level experience he has had in his pro-boxing efforts. Of the two losses Fonseca has, they took place to elite pugilists Tevin Farmer and Gervonta Davis. Since the Farmer loss, he has scored three straight stoppage wins en route to another crack at the gold.

Dilmaghani is riding a 14 fight win streak after suffering the lone loss of his career. He is a crafty southpaw that has carved his name out on the Mexican and Canadian circuits. His KO rate is a fair bit lower then Fonseca’s but that doesn’t tell the whole story.

Dilmaghani has the confluence of aggressive yet effective bodywork coupled with being defensively savvy. The approaches both of these men bring to the ring leads me to believe they’ll paint a masterpiece on the canvas.

Dilmaghani vs Fonseca Tale of the Tape

19-1 Record 25-2-1
8 Knockouts 19
5’8 Height 5’7.5
69.5″ Reach 69.5″
Martin Parlagi, Miguel Angel Gonzalez, Tuomo Eronen Significant Wins Luis Gonzalez, Eliecer Lanzas, Sandro Hernandez
southpaw Stance orthodox

The strength of schedule that each man has had is worth noting. Though Dilmaghani has stepped up in his last six bouts, he took on a lot of journeyman types/club circuit fighters prior. Fonseca has been in there with top of the heap world champions and has galvanized his skillset from those experiences. This isn’t to say that Dilmaghani can’t thrive in this bout. It’s just that he hasn’t made a foray into the ring with a world title caliber opponent.

I think the confidence from relevant experience will lend itself to Fonseca’s performance. Dilmaghani has never suffered a KO loss as a pro but I feel like that will soon change. I see Fonseca getting a stoppage victory over his opponent inside of eight rounds.

Pick: Fonseca (+250)

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