Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Richard Commey Odds and Pick

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Dec 9, 2021 · 5:22 AM PST

Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Jamaine Ortiz
Vasiliy Lomachenko, of Ukraine, celebrates after defeating Masayoshi Nakatani, of Japan, by technical knockout during a lightweight bout Saturday, June 26, 2021, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
  • Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Richard Commey goes Saturday, December 11th, 2021 at 9 PM EST
  • Lomachenko is an enormous favorite to emerge victorious on fight night
  • Check out the Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Richard Commey odds, analysis, and predictions, below

Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Richard Commey transpires at Madison Square Garden in New York City and broadcasts on ESPN. The former is listed as a massive favorite over the latter in the Lomachenko vs Commey boxing odds.

Let’s analyze the Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Richard Commey odds via BetMGM as we provide our best bet for the bout.

Lomachenko vs Commey Odds

Fighter Odds
Vasiliy Lomachenko -1000
Richard Commey +600

Odds as of December 9th at BetMGM

This is a highly important contest for the lightweight hierarchy leading into 2022.

The winner of this fight could easily find themselves positioned against a belt holder next like Gervonta Davis, Devin Haney, or George Kambosos Jr next.


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Vasiliy Lomachenko’s Boxing Odds & Betting Outlook vs Commey

Lomachenko returned to the win column after dropping his lightweight belts to Teofimo Lopez in 2020 by besting Nakatani this Summer. Lomachenko was listed as even bigger favorite in the boxing odds in that bout.

The former three-weight world champion has aligned his focus on once again being the primary kingpin at lightweight.

After the uncharacteristic Lopez performance, Loma re-tapped into The Matrix last time out. The Ukrainian warrior’s fans are hoping he can sustain that form en route back to being a unified champion once more.

This arena has special importance to Lomachenko, who previously captured a lightweight title against Jorge Linares in that venue.

Lomachenko vs Commey Recent Fights

Masayoshi Nakatani, win via TKO Fight 1 Jackson Marinez, win via KO
Teofimo Lopez, loss via UD Fight 2 Teofimo Lopez, loss via TKO
Luke Campbell, win via UD Fight 3 Raymundo Beltran, win via KO
Anthony Crolla, win via KO Fight 4 Isa Chaniev, win via TKO

While I don’t dispute Lomachenko’s depth of skill or the fact that he’s a pound-for-pound ranked fighter, I still think this line is more lopsided than it should be.

Loma is stellar, but the nature of the oddsmakers figures almost discount the pugilistic profile of Commey.

Richard Commey’s Boxing Odds & Betting Outlook vs Lomachenko

Commey is seeing this Lomachenko showdown as like fighting for a world title without the belts. He understands the magnitude of the moment, and how big this one could be for his overall legacy.

He is the former IBF lightweight champion and Richard Commey also lost his hardware to Teofimo Lopez. This was Commey’s only stoppage loss, with his other two defeats being by way of razor-thin split decision.

Richard Commey returns to the same venue where he lost his belt two years ago and has similar aspirations to advance back towards a championship opportunity.

Commey is one of the more heavy-handed warriors at 135 pounds, with an overall finishing rate of 90 percent. Lomachenko’s speed as well as the angles/ footwork and high fight IQ are huge attributes of his.

The two-time Olympic gold medalist has married the beneficial aspects of what he’s learned from the amateur circuit. But smoothly adapting it to the professional considerations pugilists face moving to that stage of their career.

Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Richard Commey Tale of the Tape

15-2 Record 30-3
11 Knockouts 27
5’7 Height 5’8
65.5″ Reach 71″
Southpaw Stance Orthodox

Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Richard Commey Pick & Prediction

This prizefight is scheduled for twelve rounds, but I do not think the judges will play a role in the outcome of this bout (this bout not going the distance is valued at -330).

I think the evasiveness and speed of Lomachenko will subvert a lot of opportunities for the brick-fisted Commey to connect with those lauded power shots.

I think Vasiliy Lomachenko will incrementally pick up his pace as he collects intel on Commey, and I can see a late stoppage being secured.

Ultimately, I think the Lomachenko KO or TKO prop (positioned at -225) and the round group betting prop for Loma winning between rounds 7-9 (situated at +260) both present good value in the Lomachenko vs Commey odds.

Pick: Vasiliy Lomachenko (-1000) at BetMGM

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