Cal vs Duke Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Feb 12)

• The #3 Duke Blue Devils are 23.5-point home favorites tonight versus the unranked California Bears
• Duke ranks top-five in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency
• See the Cal vs Duke odds, predictions and player props, below

Prior to Saturday’s loss to Clemson, Duke (20-3, 12-1 ACC) hadn’t lost a game since November. They responded from that defeat with a 20+ point victory the next time out, and online sportsbooks are expecting history to repeat itself on Wednesday. The Blue Devils host unranked Cal (12-12, 5-8 ACC) at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and will do so as big favorites in the college basketball odds. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 pm ET / 6pm PT, with the ACC Network providing the broadcast coverage.

Cal vs Duke Odds

Duke is currently favored by 23.5-points in a contest with a total of 142.5. The Blue Devils are massive -10000 moneyline favorites, with the Golden Bears coming back as +2400 underdogs. Duke is 8-5 against the spread at home this season per the college basketball public betting trends, while Cal is 6-2 ATS as road dogs.

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California vs Duke Predictions

• Duke -13.5 First Half (-110) at Caesars

Duke enters play as the favorite in the March Madness odds, and the lone team to rank inside the top-five in both adjusted defensive and offensive efficiency. They feature the best player in the country in Cooper Flagg, as well as two other projected lottery picks in Kon Knueppel and Khaman Maluach. The Blue Devils are 12-1 in conference play, with their lone loss coming last time out to Clemson.

That defeat snapped a 16-game winning streak, and you can expect them to rebound tonight in a big way. The last time Duke lost a game back in November, they rebounded with a 22-point win, while 13 of their 20 victories so far have come by 20+ points.

Back to Flagg, the Wooden Award odds favorite, who is in the midst of a truly special season. He leads the team in points, rebounds, assists, and blocks per game, while ranking second in steals. Flagg is threatening to become the first freshman ever to lead his team to the NCAA Tournament, while ranking first in every major statistical category. There’s a good chance he would have been the first pick in last year’s Draft if eligible, and the kicker is he shouldn’t even be here yet. Flagg skipped ahead a year, and should technically still be a senior in high school.

The Blue Devils are suffocating on defense yielding a shooting percentage below 39%. They’re a top-13 defensive rebounding team, and the best scoring defense in the conference. That spells trouble for Cal, who are woeful offensively. The Golden Bears are the worst shooting team in the ACC, with the second worst efficiency from three. They’ve lost three of four coming in, and have a long history of coming up short versus top ranked teams.

The last time Cal played a top-three opponent was three years ago when fell by 28 to Arizona. They haven’t beaten three-program since 2014, and they’ve never accomplished the feat on an opponent’s home floor. Expect that trend to continue, with Duke running them off the court in the opening half.

Cal vs Duke Player Props

College basketball player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on Feb 12.

• Andre Stoakovic Under 14.5 Points (-125) at DraftKings

Switching over to the player props market, where we’re looking to fade Cal shooters anyway we can. Andre Stojakovic has been ice cold lately, and that isn’t likely to change versus the Blue Devils. Stojakovic has shot below 32% in four straight outings versus much weaker competition. He’s knocked down only 1-of-16 three-point attempts during that stretch, and has been unable to get to the line.

The sophomore has just six trips to the charity stripe in his last four outings, while Duke is top-20 in the nation at limiting freebies. Stojakovic has faced one top-25 team all season, and that led to a 2-of-12 outing, for only 10 points. With Cal projected to put up only 59.5 points, fading their top scorer is an easy decision.